CF Montreal, playing at home, faces D.C. United in a Major League Soccer matchup. Montreal shows a slightly better recent form and defensive solidity, while D.C. United has struggled with consistency and concedes more goals on average.
Key Factors to Consider
Montreal has a modestly better goal difference and win percentage, and concedes fewer goals per game. Both teams average around 1.4 to 1.5 goals scored per game, but D.C. United concedes over 2 goals per game suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent H2H data is limited, but Montreal's home advantage and stronger defensive record suggest they have a slight edge in this matchup.
No major injury reports are highlighted for either team, indicating both squads likely available near full strength.
Montreal plays at home (Stade Saputo), potentially benefiting from familiar conditions and travel fatigue impacting D.C. United.
Montreal has a marginally better motivation stemming from a higher win percentage and home advantage, whereas D.C. United's lower form and away status reduce their momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
CF Montreal -105, D.C. United +260, Draw +270
CF Montreal
β β β β β 72%
Spread
CF Montreal -0.5 -110, D.C. United +50 -120
CF Montreal -0.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -147, Under 2.5 +111
Under 2.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
CF Montreal 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 27%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
CF Montreal to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and a moderately low-scoring game under 2.5 goals.
New England Revolution, playing at home, face a mid-to-lower table D.C. United side. New England are slight favorites based on betting odds and home advantage. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, but New England has a stronger offense and better overall standings.
Key Factors to Consider
New England Revolution have had inconsistent recent form but maintain a higher league position, with a stronger attack and defense metrics. D.C. United have struggled with consistency and form, and their away record is weaker.
Historically, New England have an advantage in head-to-head matchups, especially at home, with more wins and better goal difference in recent encounters.
No major injuries reported for New England Revolution, retaining full strength. D.C. United are missing one midfielder due to injury, slightly weakening their midfield control.
Home advantage for New England at Gillette Stadium is significant. Weather is expected to be mild, with no external disruptions or travel fatigue reported.
New England are motivated to maintain playoff positioning; D.C. United appear less motivated as they are out of playoff contention and may rotate squad.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New England Revolution: -136, D.C. United: 330, Draw: 295
New England Revolution
β β β β β 75%
Spread
New England Revolution -0.5: -139, D.C. United +50: 104
New England Revolution -0.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 goals: -149, Under 2.5 goals: 112
Under 2.5 goals
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New England Revolution 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 38%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with the match staying under 2.5 goals.
MLS 2025, Week 23. 18th-placed Austin FC (8-6-8, 30 pts) are pushing for a playoff spot in the Western Conference, fresh off a win, and are riding a 100% record against D.C. United, who are in deep last place (4-7-13, 19 pts) and mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. Austin FCβs 75.8% save rate and strong goalkeeping (Brad Stuver) contrast sharply with D.C. Unitedβs leaky defense (63.7% save rate, 1.88 goals conceded/game) and lack of offensive threat (0.79 points/match).
Key Factors to Consider
Austin FC is in better form, having just beaten LA Galaxy on the road and showing above-average defensive numbers. D.C. United, mired in a three-game losing streak, has the leagueβs worst goal difference (-25), a poor expected goals metric, and has conceded the third-most goals in MLS. Austin FC averages 1.15 goals/game, allows 1.41 goals/game, and has a strong +9 goal difference; D.C. United averages a league-low 20 goals for, allows 45, and has just 4 clean sheets in 24 games.
Austin FC has a 100% record against D.C. United, having won all previous meetings.
No significant injury updates available in the sources provided.
Game is at D.C. Unitedβs home ground, but Audi Field has not provided much of an advantage for the struggling hosts.
Austin FC is fighting for a playoff spot, while D.C. United is already eliminated and playing with little to no stakes.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Austin FC +170, D.C. United +154, Draw +238
AUSTIN FC (AWAY)
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Austin FC 50 (-196), D.C. United -0.5 (+145)
AUSTIN FC (0.5)
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-116), Under 2.5 (-114)
UNDER 2.5
β β β ββ 53%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Austin FC 46%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 -2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Austin FC at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Austin FC, despite being on the road, is the clear value play due to superior form, goalkeeping, and motivation. D.C. United lacks the defense and attacking efficiency to slow them down.
Columbus Crew, currently in stronger form with three consecutive home wins, face D.C. United, who have struggled in recent away games and are on a three-match losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
Columbus Crew have shown solid home form, while D.C. United struggle away from home.
Previous matchups have seen mixed results, but recent trends favor Columbus.
Columbus have several players missing due to injuries, while D.C. United have players returning from suspension.
Weather and crowd support could favor Columbus.
Columbus seek to extend their home winning streak, while D.C. United aim to end their losing run.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -290, away: 675, draw: 460
Columbus Crew
β β β β β 85%
Spread
home: -1.5 -108, away: 1.5 -112
Columbus Crew -1.5
β β β β β 78%
Over/under
over: 3.25 -105, under: 3.25 -115
Over 3.25
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Columbus Crew SC -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.25 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew are expected to dominate this match, given their recent form and home advantage.
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC, USA
Game Overview
Charlotte FC, sitting 9th in the MLS table, will host D.C. United, currently 13th, in a crucial matchup. Charlotte recently ended a winless streak with a 2-0 victory over New York City, while D.C. United struggles with only four wins in 22 games.
Key Factors to Consider
Charlotte has shown strong home form, winning 70% of their matches at Bank of America Stadium. D.C. United has struggled with consistency, winning only one of their last eleven league games.
Charlotte FC has a strong home record against D.C. United, keeping a clean sheet in their last three encounters.
No significant injury reports available.
Home advantage and recent momentum favor Charlotte.
Charlotte's push for playoff spots and D.C. United's need to regain form provide strong motivation for both teams.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-150 (Charlotte), 370 (D.C. United), 320 (Draw)
Charlotte FC
β β β β β 78%
Spread
-0.75 -120 (Charlotte), 75 100 (D.C. United)
Charlotte FC
β β β β β 74%
Over/under
Over 3 -102, Under 3 -118
Under 3
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Charlotte FC 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC is favored to win due to their strong home form and recent performance.
LA Galaxy hosts D.C. United in a Major League Soccer matchup with LA Galaxy showing clear superiority in form, home advantage, and scoring metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
LA Galaxy has a strong recent run with a 3-0 win over Vancouver Whitecaps and a higher goal difference (+33) and goals per game (2.23) compared to D.C. United (1.53 goals/game, -18 goal difference). LA Galaxy also boasts a 61% win rate versus D.C. United's 33%.
Simulations give LA Galaxy a win probability around 60-63%, with D.C. United around 16-24%, and draws roughly 20-23%. The most common predicted score is 2-0 in favor of LA Galaxy.
No major injury concerns reported for either side directly affecting key players, suggesting both teams field near full-strength lineups.
Home advantage for LA Galaxy at Dignity Health Sports Park is significant; no notable adverse conditions impacting the match.
LA Galaxy appears more motivated, playing at home and with better recent form, while D.C. United struggles with fewer wins and a poor away record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
LA Galaxy -151, Draw 290, D.C. United +390
LA Galaxy
β β β β β 72%
Spread
LA Galaxy -0.5 (-156), D.C. United +50 (117)
LA Galaxy -0.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-139), Under 2.5 (105)
Over 2.5 goals
β β β ββ 65%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
LA Galaxy 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -0%
π₯ Best Value Pick: LA Galaxy at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
LA Galaxy to win on the moneyline and cover the -0.5 spread with a moderately high scoring game expected over 2.5 goals.
The MLS match between D.C. United and Atlanta United FC is set at Audi Field on July 5, 2025. Both teams have struggled this season, with D.C. United losing 50% of their matches and Atlanta United suffering 5 losses in their last 6 away games. Historically, Atlanta United has a slight edge in head-to-head with 10 wins to D.C. United's 7 in their last 19 encounters. Recent form shows both teams have difficulty keeping clean sheets and scoring consistently.
Key Factors to Consider
D.C. United have won only 1 of their last 9 home MLS matches and have conceded at least 1 goal in their last 11 meetings with Atlanta United. Atlanta United scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches but have lost their last 3 games and have not kept a clean sheet in 16 matches.
Out of their last 19 matches, Atlanta United leads with 10 wins, D.C. United has 7 wins, and there have been 2 draws. Historically, D.C. United has struggled defending against Atlanta United, conceding at least 1 goal in the last 11 consecutive encounters.
No specific injury information is currently available for either team ahead of this match.
Playing at home in Audi Field should be an advantage for D.C. United, despite their poor recent home form. Atlanta United's poor away form could also influence the match outcome. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but assumed typical for early July in Washington, D.C.
Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the MLS standings (D.C. 12th, Atlanta 14th) and are likely motivated to secure important points to climb the table, increasing competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta United FC: 150, D.C. United: 165, Draw: 270
D.C. United to win
β β β ββ 58%
Spread
Atlanta United FC 0: -115, D.C. United 0: -105
D.C. United to cover the spread (draw no bet)
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108
Over 2.75 goals
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
D.C. United -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match with a slight edge to D.C. United at home, potentially winning 2-1. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting goals on both sides but a narrow D.C. United victory.