Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Toronto FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-20
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Geodis Park, Nashville, USA
Game Overview
Nashville SC, currently 3rd in the MLS standings, hosts Toronto FC, ranked 14th, at Geodis Park. Nashville SC has shown strong recent form with multiple wins and some big victories while Toronto FC struggles with lower table performance. The match is part of the MLS regular season and marks their second meeting this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville SC has been in good form, coming off wins including a 3-0 over Columbus Crew and a 5-2 victory against DC United. They have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, showing offensive strength, particularly led by Sam Surridge, the leagueβs top scorer with 17 goals. Toronto FC has scored 7 goals in their last 5 games but ranks lower at 14th place and has had less consistent performances.
- Historically, Nashville SC leads the head-to-head series with 5 wins versus 2 for Toronto FC and 3 draws. The teams played twice last season and once this season, giving Nashville a psychological edge especially playing at home.
- No specific injury details are available from the search results; likely normal squad availability but lineups will be confirmed about an hour before kickoff.
- The game is played at Nashvilleβs home stadium, Geodis Park, which provides home advantage. The match day event includes a Star Wars Night theme, which could boost home crowd motivation. Weather and pitch conditions are unknown but no adverse factors indicated.
- Nashville SC aims to consolidate their high table position and push for playoff spots, thus has high motivation to win at home. Toronto FC, struggling in 14th place, may be motivated to gain crucial points to improve standings but faces tough away conditions.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville SC: -235, Toronto FC: 600, Draw: 380 | Nashville SC win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Nashville SC: -1.25 -108, Toronto FC: +1.25 -112 | Nashville SC -1.25 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville SC -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Confidence favors a Nashville SC victory given their recent form, home advantage, and historical dominance. Expect Nashville to control the game and capitalize on scoring chances.
Predicted Score: Nashville SC 3 – 1 Toronto FC