Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, USA
Game Overview
Los Angeles FC (ranked 7th in MLS) hosts FC Dallas (ranked 13th) in a Major League Soccer match at BMO Stadium, Los Angeles. The match is expected to be competitive given Los Angeles FCβs home advantage and slightly better league standing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Los Angeles FC has shown a mixed form recently with 4 goals scored in their last 5 matches but have not kept a clean sheet in their last 8 matches. FC Dallas has scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches but lost their last 3 games. Key players include David Martinez (LAFC) and Luciano Acosta (FC Dallas).
- Historically, Los Angeles FC leads the head-to-head record with 6 wins, FC Dallas has 4 wins, and they have drawn twice. Notably, the teams have not drawn in their last 8 meetings.
- No specific information about current injuries is available from the search results, suggesting relatively stable squads pending official lineups closer to the match time.
- The match is played at Los Angeles' home stadium, providing a home advantage. Weather or other external conditions were not specified but could favor the home team.
- Los Angeles FC is motivated to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standings, while FC Dallas aims to recover form after recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas: 570, Los Angeles FC: -246, Draw: 400 | Los Angeles FC to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | FC Dallas +1.5: -137, Los Angeles FC -1.5: 103 | Los Angeles FC -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: 121, Under 3.5: -161 | Under 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles FC -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Los Angeles FC's home advantage, better current ranking, and favorable head-to-head record, they are likely to win. However, FC Dallasβ recent goal-scoring ability suggests the game could be competitive with multiple goals.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles FC 2 – 1 FC Dallas