Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Subaru Park, Chester, USA
Game Overview
Philadelphia Union (1st place) faces CF Montréal (15th place) in an MLS matchup at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are the strong home favorites, having won their last two meetings against CF Montréal. CF Montréal struggles this season but have a balanced historical head-to-head record against Philadelphia Union. Both teams have shown scoring capabilities with key forwards T. Baribo (CF Montréal) and B. Damiani (Philadelphia) leading their teams offensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union have a strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, scoring 5 total goals. CF Montréal has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches but sits low on the table with a poor overall record. Philadelphia's home advantage at Subaru Park further strengthens their position.
- Historically, Philadelphia Union and CF Montréal have an evenly matched record: 11 wins each and 10 draws. Recently, Philadelphia Union has won the last 2 matches against CF Montréal.
- No specific injury information is currently available for either team, suggesting likely full squads or minor absences that do not significantly affect team strength.
- The game is played at Subaru Park, giving Philadelphia Union home-field advantage. The match timing (23:30 UTC) favors neither side specifically. No weather or other external disruptions are reported.
- Philadelphia Union, leading the MLS standings, are highly motivated to consolidate their top position, while CF Montréal, struggling lower in the table, aim to upset the favorites and improve their season standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montreal: 460, Philadelphia Union: -185, Draw: 350 | Philadelphia Union win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | CF Montreal +1: -105, Philadelphia Union -1: -115 | Philadelphia Union -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3: 102, Under 3: -122 | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Union -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the form, home advantage, and current odds, Philadelphia Union is favored to win the match. The game is expected to be competitive with a probable moderately high scoring outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Philadelphia Union