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Bahia vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Cruzeiro in a key Brazilian Serie A matchup. Cruzeiro hold a better overall H2H record but Bahia is strong at home. Both teams have similar recent form with Cruzeiro slightly stronger overall and more consistent defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has a superior overall record (13-5-4) compared to Bahia (10-6-4), with a better points total (44 vs 36). Bahia is strong at home (7-3-0), while Cruzeiro also performs well away (4-4-2). Both teams have comparable recent results with Cruzeiro slightly sharper defensively.
  • Across 23 meetings, Cruzeiro leads with 12 wins compared to Bahia's 4; 7 matches ended in draws. Cruzeiro holds a historical edge both overall and in 2nd half performance.
  • No significant injury information available, suggesting both squads close to full strength.
  • Match played at Bahia’s home ground may provide an advantage for the home side. No adverse weather or travel factors noted.
  • Cruzeiro sits higher in the table and may be more motivated to maintain or extend their lead, but Bahia’s home form and need for points keeps motivation high on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 145, Cruzeiro: 205, Draw: 200 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia -0.25: 110, Cruzeiro +25: -130 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win on moneyline; Bahia -0.25 on spread; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Cruzeiro vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Sao Paulo in a crucial Brasileirão Série A match. Cruzeiro is currently 3rd with 41 points and strong home form, while Sao Paulo is 7th with 32 points but coming off a recent win. Both teams have motivation to secure a positive result to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro shows strong home stats with 8 wins in 11 matches, averaging 2.82 goals and conceding 0.82 at home. Sao Paulo has inconsistent away form, with only 2 wins in 10 away games. Cruzeiro’s defense is solid, conceding only 15 goals in 21 games overall.
  • Historical matchups are competitive, with no clear dominance. Probability models and recent form slightly favor Cruzeiro at home with a 34.3% win probability versus Sao Paulo's 33%. Draw chances stand around 32-33%.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side.
  • Game played at Cruzeiro’s home stadium provides home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal without impacting play significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated; Cruzeiro aims to maintain top 3 placement while Sao Paulo pushes to climb for continental qualification. Recent wins for both sides add competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -124, away: 385, draw: 241 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cruzeiro: -0.5 -123, Sao Paulo: +50 -107 Cruzeiro -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: -111, Under: -115 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Cruzeiro win; Spread: Cruzeiro -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Cruzeiro vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: August 23, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Cruzeiro is favored to win at home against Internacional in a Serie A Brazil match. Recent form and home advantage contribute to their higher win probability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has been performing well lately, with a strong home record. Internacional, while capable, has struggled on the road.
  • Head-to-head statistics do not strongly favor either team, but recent encounters suggest a competitive match.
  • No significant injury news for either team is available, but this could impact performance if there are any last-minute changes.
  • External factors like weather and crowd support could favor Cruzeiro, given the home advantage.
  • Both teams have strong motivation, as points are crucial in the Serie A standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro -136, Internacional 445, Draw 230 Cruzeiro Win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Cruzeiro -0.75 100, Internacional 75 -120 Cruzeiro to cover -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 -102, Under 2.25 -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on form, home advantage, and current odds, Cruzeiro is the most likely winner.

Predicted Score: Cruzeiro 2, Internacional 0


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Mirassol vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-18
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Game Overview

This Brasileirão Série A match pits 6th-place Mirassol at home against 2nd-place Cruzeiro. Cruzeiro won their previous league meeting this season 2-1 away, showing a slight edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro sits 2nd in the league, showing stronger recent form and squad depth; Mirassol is mid-table 6th, competitive but less consistent.
  • Only one meeting this season, Cruzeiro won 2-1 away, indicating Cruzeiro have a psychological and tactical advantage.
  • Mirassol missing Luiz Otavio (injured until late August) and Matheus Sales (injured mid-August); Cruzeiro appear largely healthy with no reported key injuries.
  • Match played at Mirassol's home stadium, which might provide some advantage to the home side. No weather or travel concerns noted.
  • Cruzeiro chasing a higher table position, likely highly motivated; Mirassol playing for mid-table stability with moderate urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: 1.3, Mirassol: 2.05, Draw: 2.1 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cruzeiro -0.25: 1.08, Mirassol +25: 1.28 Mirassol +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: 1.4, Under 2: 1.15 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 50%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cruzeiro at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away win (Cruzeiro) on moneyline, home +0.25 on spread with under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Mirassol vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Cruzeiro 130 50%
Leeds United vs. Everton Prediction Leeds United 138 28%
Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction Under 2.5 -110 15%

Combined Odds: +945 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $209.01

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Mirassol vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Cruzeiro Win 130 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction FC Porto Win -214 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Prediction Real Betis Win 119 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +639

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $147.81

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Cruzeiro vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Santos in a Brasileirão Serie A clash. Cruzeiro is in strong form and ranks 2nd in the league, while Santos struggles near the relegation zone at 15th place. The match is critical for Cruzeiro to maintain title push momentum and for Santos to avoid further distancing from safety.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has won 11 of 18 matches with a +19 goal difference, showing balanced attack and defense. Santos has only 5 wins in 17 matches with a -4 goal difference, reflecting struggles on both ends.
  • Historically, Cruzeiro dominates recent encounters vs. Santos, with a higher win rate and positive goal differential, giving them psychological and tactical edges.
  • No major absences reported for either team, suggesting near-full strength squads available for selection.
  • Match played at Cruzeiro's home ground, where they have strong support and a high win rate, providing a clear advantage.
  • Cruzeiro motivated to consolidate top league position and fight for the title. Santos highly motivated to escape relegation zone but lacks consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: -180, Santos: 525, Draw: 300 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cruzeiro: -1 -102, Santos: 1 -118 Cruzeiro -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 10, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Braga vs. Tondela Prediction Braga Win -285 ★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids Prediction Minnesota United FC Win -158 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Cruzeiro vs. Santos Prediction Cruzeiro Win -180 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +243

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $68.63

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Botafogo vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Cruzeiro in a key Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A fixture. Botafogo has shown resilience with a 5-match unbeaten streak including home successes, while Cruzeiro remains defensively solid and unbeaten in their last 13 meetings versus Botafogo, making this a tightly contested matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo averages 0.93 goals per match at home with a strong recent unbeaten run; Cruzeiro averages 1.07 goals per match away and have not lost a direct encounter to Botafogo in the last 13 meetings.
  • In 40 historical matches, Cruzeiro leads with 16 wins vs. Botafogo's 11; 13 draws recorded. Over 60% of matches have both teams scoring (BTTS). Average goals per match between them is 2.48.
  • No significant injury updates currently available for either side.
  • Match played at Botafogo's home ground, Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos, which favors the home side; no adverse weather or scheduling concerns noted.
  • Botafogo looks motivated to continue strong home form as a top scorer ‘Kaio Jorge’ from Cruzeiro challenges them, while Cruzeiro aims to maintain dominance in this fixture to fight for league positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 115, Draw: 225, Cruzeiro: 265 Botafogo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Botafogo -0.25: -120, Cruzeiro +25: 100 Botafogo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, cover -0.25 spread, and match to go under 2 goals total.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 3, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 3, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Corinthians vs. Fortaleza Prediction Under 2 102 25%
Internacional vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Under 2 -109 21%
Botafogo vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Botafogo 115 18%

Combined Odds: +733 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $166.55

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