Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Cremonese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-15
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
Game Overview
The Serie A Round 3 match between Hellas Verona and Cremonese features a home side struggling for form, having gained just one point from two matches, against a newly promoted Cremonese who have made a strong start with two wins from two. Hellas Verona suffered a 4-0 defeat to Lazio recently and are seeking their first win. Cremonese arrives with momentum, having scored well and defended solidly in early fixtures.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hellas Verona has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Cremonese are undefeated so far this season in Serie A, showing strong attacking and defensive discipline.
- Previous encounters suggest competitive balance but with a slight edge to Hellas Verona historically. Current form favors Cremonese, but detailed head-to-head records reflect close contests.
- No explicit recent injury reports highlighted from available data, suggesting both teams likely have near full strength squads.
- The match is at Hellas Veronaβs home ground, which should give them some advantage, but current poor form may offset home support. Weather and pitch conditions have not been noted as impactful.
- Hellas Verona is motivated to secure their first win and improve a poor start, while Cremonese aims to continue their winning run and consolidate their unexpectedly strong position in Serie A.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cremonese: 215, Hellas Verona: 146, Draw: 200 | Hellas Verona win | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Cremonese: -0.25 -128, Hellas Verona: +25 108 | Hellas Verona +0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2 -118, Under: 2 -102 | Over 2 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hellas Verona 28% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Hellas Verona at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match with both teams likely to score. Given Cremonese's unbeaten start and Verona's defensive struggles, a draw or narrow win for Cremonese is predicted.
Predicted Score: 2-2