Botafogo, playing at home, has a slightly better head-to-head record against Corinthians, with 11 wins to Corinthians' 9 in recent history. Both teams have similar scoring averages, and recent matches have been low-scoring. Botafogo has won the last 2 direct encounters and holds a home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Botafogo scores on average 1.16 goals per match at home this season, while Corinthians averages 1.20 goals per away match. Botafogo has shown stronger form at home with a good percentage of games going over 1.5 goals. Corinthians' away matches tend to have fewer total goals over 2.5.
Out of 40 matches, Botafogo won 16, Corinthians 13, and 11 draws. Average goals per match in these H2H is roughly 2.6. Recent encounters favor Botafogo with two consecutive wins and a slight scoring edge.
No specific injury information provided, but lineups are predicted to be close to full strength for both teams.
The match is played at Botafogo's home stadium, giving them a tangible home field advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues reported.
Botafogo sits higher in the league table and is motivated to maintain position, while Corinthians, lower ranked, may seek upset but have lacked recent strong away form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Botafogo -160, Corinthians 500, Draw 275
Botafogo
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Botafogo -0.75 (-122), Corinthians +75 (102)
Botafogo -0.75
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 2.25 (108), Under 2.25 (-128)
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Botafogo 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Corinthians host Cruzeiro in a closely contested Brazilian Campeonato match. Both teams have similar odds, reflecting their evenly matched head-to-head history and current form.
Key Factors to Consider
Corinthians and Cruzeiro have been performing competitively in recent matches. Corinthians are currently ranked 10th, while Cruzeiro leads the league, but recent form suggests a intense encounter.
Historically, both teams have won nearly the same number of matches against each other, with Corinthians edging out slightly in direct matches.
Injury reports are not detailed in available data, but both teams should be at near full strength.
The match is at Corinthians' home stadium, which could provide an advantage. However, Cruzeiro's strong league position indicates they are well-prepared for away games.
Cruzeiro's motivation is high to maintain their lead in the league, while Corinthians seek to climb the rankings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Corinthians: 175, Cruzeiro: 175, Draw: 205
Draw
★☆☆☆☆ 28%
Spread
Corinthians: 0 -110, Cruzeiro: 0 -110
Cruzeiro
★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under
Over: 2 -105, Under: 2 -115
Over
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Corinthians 37%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the tight odds and historical data, the best value lies in the draw and over markets. However, the draw is less likely due to the strong form of both teams, making the over market more appealing.
Sao Paulo hosts Corinthians in a classic Paulista derby with both teams having mixed recent form. Home advantage and a slightly superior run of results prior to the matchup make Sao Paulo a marginal favorite, but Corinthians have consistently proven tough to beat on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
Sao Paulo comes off a 2-2 away draw against Bragantino, showing attacking potency with Andre scoring twice. Corinthians delivered a 1-0 road win at Ceará, demonstrating strong defensive organization. At home, Sao Paulo averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match; Corinthians 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded away. Both teams have recorded 50% of matches under 2.5 goals in their respective leagues, but head-to-head meetings tend to see higher averages (2.6 goals per match)[3].
Recent H2H history reveals a competitive split but Sao Paulo claimed a 3-1 win in the previous encounter. Over the last 10 meetings, both teams have 4 wins each with 2 draws. In the last 10, Sao Paulo won 1 at home, Corinthians won 2 away, with 7 matches featuring both teams scoring[3].
No major injury news reported in the latest previews[2].
No significant weather or venue issues expected. Morumbí stadium, with high capacity, traditionally boosts home support for Sao Paulo[3].
Both teams have similar motivation fighting for mid-table or potential continental qualification spots. Local derby pressure may raise intensity but risk-aversion is common in these rivalries.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Sao Paulo 143 | Draw 169 | Corinthians 275
Sao Paulo Win
★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread
Corinthians 25 (-120) | Sao Paulo -0.25 (100)
Sao Paulo -0.25
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 2 +118 | Under 2 -138
Over 2
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sao Paulo 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2 26%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Close, tense Paulista derby with Sao Paulo slightly favored at home, but both teams carry threats and defensive vulnerabilities. Under 2.0 goals is statistically overrated by the bookmakers.
Serie A clash between Corinthians and Bragantino-SP. Corinthians sits in 10th place with 16 points; Bragantino-SP ranks 3rd with 23 points. Corinthians have been involved in many draws recently, while Bragantino-SP have a strong league performance but recent form is less consistent.
Key Factors to Consider
Corinthians have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in last 5 games (GD +2, avg 1.4 goals/match). Bragantino-SP also have 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5 (GD -1, avg 1 goal/match). Corinthians unbeaten in 19 of last 20 home games, last 4 home matches under 2.5 goals[1][3].
Bragantino-SP have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Corinthians have struggled in recent H2H matchups[1].
No major injuries reported for either side.
Corinthians playing at home, where they are historically strong[1].
Bragantino-SP aiming to stay near top of table, Corinthians eager to climb to mid-table.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Corinthians: 110, Bragantino-SP: 265, Draw: 230
Draw
★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread
Bragantino-SP: +25 102, Corinthians: -0.25 -122
Bragantino-SP +0.25
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 2: -125, Under 2: 105
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Corinthians 25%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 31%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Corinthians are favorites due to home strength and recent form, but market odds undervalue Bragantino-SP's consistency and H2H edge. However, home advantage and low-scoring home trend are key.