Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Vitoria – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium
Game Overview
Mirassol, with a strong home record, faces Vitoria, who are struggling on the road. This match presents a significant test for Vitoria to secure their first away win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mirassol has a formidable home record, having not lost in their last six home matches. Vitoria has struggled away from home, failing to win in their last five away games.
- The head-to-head record shows Mirassol and Vitoria each having one win with one draw in their last three matches.
- No significant injury updates are available for either team.
- Weather conditions and other external factors do not appear to favor either team specifically.
- Vitoria is highly motivated to secure their first away win, while Mirassol aims to maintain their undefeated home streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol: -115, Vitoria: 350, Draw: 245 | Mirassol win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Mirassol: -0.5 -115, Vitoria: 50 -105 | Mirassol covers | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2 -120, Under: 2 100 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol 22% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol win
Predicted Score: 1-0 Mirassol