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Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Alverca and Rio Ave FC is a Portuguese Primeira Liga clash scheduled for November 8, 2025, at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Both teams have displayed mixed form in recent fixtures, with Rio Ave showing somewhat more stability defensively but Alverca holding a slight advantage in their historical direct encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca has recorded mixed results recently, scoring an average of 0.5 goals per home match while conceding 2.5, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Rio Ave has better defensive figures conceding 1.8 goals per match but scoring fewer goals overall, with recent results including draws and some losses. Rio Ave won 4 of their last 5 matches, whereas Alverca won 2 and drew 2, showing both teams have room for improvement offensively and defensively.
  • Historically, the teams have played 3 matches since 2003; Alverca won 2, Rio Ave won 1, with no draws. Alverca has the slight psychological edge, but recent forms suggest Rio Ave may be better positioned. Their head-to-head matches have featured low scoring, with Alverca averaging 1 goal per game and conceding slightly more.
  • No specific injury data is available for key players from either team in the sources. Hence, the teams are assumed to be near full strength or no impactful player absences have been reported.
  • The match is played at Alverca's home ground, which could provide some home advantage. The kickoff time and weather or pitch conditions have not been indicated but presumed standard for November in Portugal.
  • Both teams are mid-table contenders aiming to improve their standing. Rio Ave appears slightly more motivated given recent better form and consistency in results compared to Alverca. Alverca might look to leverage home advantage to secure important points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 149, Rio_Ave_FC: 183, Draw: 220 Alverca win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Alverca: -125 (0 spread), Rio_Ave_FC: 105 (0 spread) Alverca to cover the spread (0) ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: -110 (2.25 goals), Under: -110 (2.25 goals) Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is predicted to end in a narrow victory for Alverca due to their home advantage and slight historical advantage, but Rio Ave’s form suggests a close contest possibly decided by a single goal.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – November 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – November 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sevilla vs. CA Osasuna Prediction Sevilla 114 37%
Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Alverca 149 32%
Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Vitória SC 151 26%

Combined Odds: +1237 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $267.5

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Sporting Lisbon vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-31
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

The Portugal Primeira Liga match features Sporting Lisbon hosting Alverca. Sporting Lisbon is the stronger side based on recent form and squad strength, having won 8 league matches this season and showing strong performances in UEFA Champions League and domestic cups. Alverca, while more modest, has had mixed results including a heavy recent 0-4 home loss. Sporting dominates in possession and chance creation, whereas Alverca has shown resilience but limited goal threats against stronger opposition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has been in solid form recently with comprehensive wins including a decisive 3-0 victory at Tondela and a Champions League win against Marseille. Alverca has suffered heavy losses such as 0-4 at home to Gil Vicente and drew some lower-profile cup matches. Sporting's expected goals (xG) are much higher, reflecting more consistent threat creation.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon and Alverca have played few competitive fixtures against each other. Sporting has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 1 in 6 total encounters. However, the most recent meetings noted Sporting CP has yet to beat Alverca in their last matchup and lost 0-2 at Alverca's ground. Overall, Sporting has the stronger record but recent form suggests a level of caution.
  • Sporting Lisbon has key doubts including Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos with cruciate ligament injuries impacting squad depth. No significant injury reports affecting Alverca were identified.
  • Playing at home at Estádio José Alvalade with typically strong fan support heavily favors Sporting Lisbon. The match timing and pitch conditions appear normal without adverse weather or logistical concerns.
  • Sporting Lisbon is motivated to maintain their Primeira Liga title challenge and continue positive form before upcoming European fixtures. Alverca, as underdogs, aims to secure points to avoid relegation troubles and prove competitive against top-tier teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 1971, Sporting Lisbon: -1028, Draw: 896 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Alverca +2.5: -116, Sporting Lisbon -2.5: -114 Sporting Lisbon to cover -2.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: -109, Under 3.5: -121 Over 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is favored to win with a high probability considering squad strength, home advantage, and recent form, though Alverca may keep the match competitive and limit the goal margin.

Predicted Score: Sporting Lisbon 3 – 1 Alverca


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 31, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction Borussia Dortmund -149 25%
Sporting Lisbon vs. Alverca Prediction Over 3.5 -109 25%
PSV Eindhoven vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction Over 3.75 -122 18%

Combined Odds: +483 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $116.62

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Alverca vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-24
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo, Portugal

Game Overview

Alverca hosts Gil Vicente in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Alverca sits 9th in the league with 10 points, showing moderate form with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Gil Vicente ranks 4th with 16 points and a strong recent performance boasting a 67% win rate in their last 6 games. The match is expected to be competitive but with Gil Vicente favored due to better league standing and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca's recent form includes a mixture of wins and losses with some scoring ability but inconsistency. Gil Vicente have shown more consistent results, strong attacking options like Pablo (6 goals) and solid midfield support, indicating a tendency to control matches and create scoring chances.
  • Historically, Gil Vicente has had an edge over Alverca, with multiple previous encounters favoring Gil Vicente. The head-to-head statistics reinforce Gil Vicente as the stronger side overall, increasing their confidence for this fixture.
  • Currently, there are no major reported injuries impacting key players on either side ahead of this fixture, allowing both teams to field near full-strength lineups.
  • The match venue favors Alverca being a home game, allowing for local fan support. Weather and pitch conditions appear standard with no significant external disruptions expected.
  • Gil Vicente’s higher league position and recent strong form provide extra motivation to maintain their performance and capitalize on their advantage. Alverca, as home underdogs, will be motivated to upset the visitors and improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 210, Gil Vicente: 145, Draw: 200 Gil Vicente ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Alverca: -0.25 @ -130, Gil Vicente: +25 @ 110 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gil Vicente at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to edge a tight encounter with a 2-1 victory owing to their superior form and quality, although Alverca's home advantage makes a draw or narrow scorelines plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 24, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
AC Milan vs. Pisa Prediction AC Milan -1.5 -120 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Alverca vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Gil Vicente Win 145 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Paris FC vs. Nantes Prediction Paris FC Win -155 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +639

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $147.79

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Alverca vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Game Overview

The match is a Portuguese Primeira Liga encounter between newly promoted Alverca and mid-table Vitória SC. Alverca sits 15th with 4 points from 6 matches, struggling for goals and defensive solidity. Vitória SC hold 8th place with 8 points from 6 games and have shown more consistency in results and scoring ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 11 total league goals so far, with some home struggles including a recent 1-2 loss to Santa Clara and a 0-3 home defeat to Braga. Vitória SC have a slightly better form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9, but have failed to score in two of their three away matches this season.
  • Recent direct clashes indicate Vitória SC usually have the edge, but this specific fixture has limited recent history with competitive matches between the clubs. Both sides have had tight contests with no dominant victor yet.
  • Alverca’s squad is relatively intact with no major missing key players reported. Vitória SC have missing players including Chiquinho and G. Silva, which might affect squad depth and midfield creativity.
  • The game kicks off in favorable weather conditions (estimated 75°F), and Alverca will benefit from home advantage, though Vitória SC's experience at this level could neutralize that. No other significant external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points — Alverca to climb from the bottom of the table and improve their home form, Vitória SC aiming to consolidate a top-half position and avoid slipping down the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 220, Vitória SC: 124, Draw: 225 Vitória SC Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alverca: -115 (25), Vitória SC: -105 (-0.25) Vitória SC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: -108 (2.25), Under: -112 (2.25) Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC are slight favorites due to their more consistent form and experience, but the match is expected to be balanced with a potentially narrow Vitória SC win or a draw as the likeliest outcomes.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Santa Clara vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

Game Overview

The match between Santa Clara and Alverca on September 20, 2025, is their first encounter in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Santa Clara, currently ranked 10th with 5 points, hosts Alverca, placed 13th with 4 points. Both teams have shown mixed recent performances with Santa Clara struggling at home and Alverca fighting for consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has played three league matches with 5 points, showing moderate form but has stumbled in home games, scoring low goals with a defensive record conceding 0.5 goals per home match. Alverca has played fewer matches with 4 points, showing some resilience but lower attacking output, conceding about 1 goal per away match. Both teams have comparable discipline and shot stats but lack clear dominance.
  • This is the first official Primeira Liga meeting between Santa Clara and Alverca, so no historical data exists for direct head-to-head results.
  • No specific injury or suspension data is available for this match from the search results, implying squads may be near full strength or no critical absences reported.
  • No unusual external factors like weather, travel, or venue conditions have been reported that would significantly affect the match outcome.
  • Santa Clara wants to capitalize on home advantage to climb the table, while Alverca aims to improve their standing and avoid early season relegation worries, likely leading to a balanced but cautious match approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 445, Santa Clara: -136, Draw: 230 Santa Clara win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alverca: 75 -120, Santa Clara: -0.75 100 Santa Clara -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -108, Under: 2 -112 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the first-time encounter, similar poor recent form, and home advantage, Santa Clara is slightly favored to win but a draw or narrow away victory is plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo, Portugal

Game Overview

The match is a Liga Portugal Primeira Liga fixture between Alverca, ranked 16th, and Tondela, ranked 18th. Both teams have struggled defensively this season, conceding 9 goals each in 4 matches. The game is expected to be closely contested with poor defensive records indicating potential for multiple goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca has scored 4 goals and conceded 9 in 4 games, while Tondela scored 2 and also conceded 9 in their 4 games. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet. Alverca has 11 shots on goal compared to Tondela's 15, showing slight attacking edge for Tondela but defensive frailties for both.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have seen both teams scoring, with 'both teams to score' landing in the pair's last two meetings. The teams have been evenly matched historically with no clear dominance.
  • No specific injury information available from search data, implying no major absences known at this time.
  • The match will be played at Alverca’s home ground, providing them slight home advantage. There are no noted weather or external disruptions affecting the game.
  • Both teams are near the relegation zone (Alverca 16th, Tondela 18th) and will be motivated to secure points early in the season to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 1.48, Tondela: 1.93, Draw: 2.15 Alverca Win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Alverca: -0.5 at -130, Tondela: +50 at 110 Alverca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 54%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the similar poor defensive records, balanced head-to-head results, and home advantage, the prediction favors a narrow home win or a draw with goals from both sides.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Alverca 148 54%
Benfica vs. Santa Clara Prediction Over 2.75 -105 27%
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction Bayer Leverkusen 128 18%

Combined Odds: +1004 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $220.79

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