Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: David F. Couch Ballpark, Winston-Salem, NC
Game Overview
This NCAA baseball postseason matchup features the Miami (OH) RedHawks visiting the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the Knoxville Regional. Wake Forest enters as the No. 2 seed with a strong overall record of 37-20 and a solid home winning record of 24-8. Miami (OH) is the underdog in this game. Both teams have demonstrated considerable power hitting this season, with Wake Forest ranking in the top 30 in team batting average (.308) and top 15 in home runs, and Miami (OH) also known for their offensive capability. This game is pivotal as the winner advances deeper into the NCAA tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forest has a better overall and conference record (.655 overall winning percentage and .533 conference) compared to Miami (OH). At home, Wake Forest is particularly strong, winning 24 out of 32 games. Miami (OH)'s performance in this tournament setting is less favored, reflected by the underdog moneyline. Wake Forest's balanced offensive approach and pitching staff depth give them an edge.
- The teams faced each other earlier in the season during a doubleheader at Wake Forest's ballpark, where Wake Forest won both games — 5-4 (10 innings) and 12-10 — showcasing their ability to win close contests and high-scoring affairs against Miami (OH).
- No current injury reports are available that significantly impact either team’s expected lineup or pitching staff for this matchup.
- As a postseason regional game, stakes are high, potentially increasing player motivation and intensity. Playing at home provides Wake Forest a crowd advantage and familiarity with the ballpark conditions. Weather or other conditions were not reported as impactful.
- Wake Forest, as the higher seed and home team, is motivated to advance in the NCAA tournament and has the advantage of postseason experience and support. Miami (OH) will be motivated to pull off an upset and extend their postseason, likely pushing them to play aggressively.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks: +210, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: -280 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons to Win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Miami (OH) RedHawks: +3.5 (-125), Wake Forest Demon Deacons: -3.5 (-105) | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 13.5: -115, Under 13.5: -115 | Over 13.5 Total Runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 13.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 13.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deacons are favored to win this matchup given their superior record, home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance, and stronger odds. Miami (OH) could challenge but will likely fall short.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 9, Miami (OH) RedHawks 5