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Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tondela Home Stadium

Game Overview

A closely contested Liga Portugal fixture where mid-table Vitória SC face bottom-placed Tondela at their home ground. Vitória SC have a slight recent form edge but Tondela show strong home scoring tendencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC sit higher in the table (8th-10th) with mixed away form (40% win rate) while Tondela are struggling near relegation (17th) but have strong home attacking output with 70% of home matches over 2.5 goals. Both teams concede regularly, suggesting open play.
  • Historically, Vitória SC hold a lead with 8 wins to Tondela's 5 in their last 16 encounters. Matches tend to be competitive with moderate scoring averages.
  • No specific injury reports available which could significantly impact starting lineups, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • No notable external factors such as extreme weather or travel fatigue reported. Match at Tondela's home grounds favors the hosts' attacking style.
  • Tondela face relegation danger motivating strong home performance; Vitória SC seek to distance themselves from mid-table, incentivizing a positive result on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: +174, Vitória SC: +166, Draw: +212 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Tondela: -105, Vitória SC: -115 Vitória SC 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: +108, Under 2.25: -128 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Vitória SC vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica are dominant favorites given their strong away form and historical superiority over Vitória SC. Vitória SC have shown resilience at home but struggle against top clubs like Benfica. Both teams have attacking potential, and the match could see goals from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica are undefeated in their last 4 away Primeira Liga matches with 3 wins and 1 draw, sitting 3rd in the table with 21 points. Vitória SC are mid-table (11th) with mixed recent form, scoring and conceding regularly at home.
  • Benfica have dominated with 35 wins in 49 clashes versus Vitória SC's 6, including a 3-0 away win on their last meeting on 19 April 2025. Recent meetings favor Benfica with 67% win rate.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that significantly impact starting XI or key players for this fixture.
  • Benfica's motivation to maintain top table position and secure European qualification contrasts with Vitória SC's aim to climb mid-table, possibly increasing Benfica's intensity.
  • Benfica are motivated to extend their unbeaten away run and capitalize on Vitória SC's inconsistency, while Vitória SC seek points to improve standing but face tough opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -220, Vitória SC: 500, Draw: 365 Benfica ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Benfica -1.25: 102, Vitória SC +1.25: -122 Vitória SC +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Benfica; Spread: Vitória SC +1.25; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: Benfica 3 – 1 Vitória SC


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Famalicão vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal

Game Overview

Famalicão hosts Vitória SC in a mid-table Portugal Primeira Liga clash where both teams have had mixed recent form with Famalicão slightly favored due to home advantage and marginally better recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão ranks 7th with 11W-10D-8L and shows stronger home form (1W, 2D, 1L) compared to Vitória SC’s mixed away results (1W in last four away matches). Vitória SC sits 5th with 12W-12D-5L overall but has dropped points away recently.
  • In the last 13 meetings, Famalicão has won 2 matches, showing slight struggles historically against Vitória SC. Recent H2H show Famalicão’s home ground advantage with 1W, 2D, 1L over Vitória SC.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI significantly.
  • Match played at Famalicão's home ground which provides modest advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues known that could affect performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve league standings with Vitória SC just above Famalicão; this promotes a competitive contest but slight edge to home side aiming to climb higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: -104, Vitória SC: 290, Draw: 235 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Famalicão -0.5: -102, Vitória SC +50: -118 Famalicão -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão to win on the moneyline, covering a -0.5 spread, with the match finishing under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vitória SC vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Game Overview

Vitória SC hosts Santa Clara in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash where Vitória SC has historically dominated the matchup, especially at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC currently shows mixed form but is undefeated at home this season. Santa Clara also displays mixed form with only one away win so far.
  • Vitória SC has won 9 of the last 16 encounters against Santa Clara, including strong performances at home. Recent matches suggest low scoring with under 2.5 goals common.
  • No specific injury data available; assume both sides have typical squad availability.
  • The match is at Vitória SC’s home stadium, which is an advantage given their undefeated home streak.
  • Vitória SC likely motivated to maintain strong home form and improve league standing, while Santa Clara aims to overcome struggles on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 136 Vitória SC ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread 102 Vitória SC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under -125 / 105 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win on the moneyline, Vitória SC -0.25 on the spread, and under 1.75 goals total.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alverca vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alverca Home Stadium

Game Overview

Alverca, currently struggling near the lower end of the Primeira Liga standings, hosts Vitória SC, a mid-table side showing more stability and recent success. Vitória SC is favored in the moneyline and spread markets with odds suggesting confidence in an away win or at least avoiding defeat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca has only 4 points from 6 matches with a -5 goal difference, indicating poor form and struggles in defense. Vitória SC has 8 points from 6 matches and a slightly negative goal difference but better consistency overall.
  • No previous top-flight meetings or direct H2H data between Alverca and Vitória SC are available, so no psychological or historical advantage is evident.
  • No major injury information available, suggesting both teams are relatively close to full strength.
  • No noted external factors affecting the game such as weather or travel strain; the match is played at Alverca’s home ground.
  • Alverca faces pressure to improve from its relegation-threatened position, while Vitória SC aims to consolidate mid-table security and push for European qualification spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: +220, Vitória SC: +124, Draw: +225 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Alverca +25: -115, Vitória SC -0.25: -105 Vitória SC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win on the moneyline, Vitória SC -0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Vitória SC vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal

Game Overview

A competitive Primeira Liga clash between Vitória SC and Braga, with both teams situated mid-table and showing solid recent form. Braga holds a slight edge in attack and away performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has scored 10 goals in 5 matches with a stronger attack and solid defense allowing 1 goal per game, while Vitória SC has 6 goals and concedes 1.6 per game. Braga’s away record is good with one win and one draw recently, Vitória SC is moderate at home.
  • Recent H2H meetings have been competitive. Last season both matches were close, indicating a tight matchup typically, but Braga tends to edge slightly with better overall points and form.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side; squads expected to be close to full strength.
  • Match played at Dom Afonso Henriques, home of Vitória SC but Braga’s away form suggests they adapt well in this stadium. No adverse weather or external disruptions are expected.
  • Both teams are eager to climb the table early in the season, with Braga just above Vitória SC in points and aiming to consolidate their position with a road win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga +129, Vitória SC +205, Draw +230 Braga ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Braga -0.25 -102, Vitória SC +25 -118 Braga -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 +105, Under 2.5 -125 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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CF Estrela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

CF Estrela Amadora hosts Vitória SC in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash where Vitória SC are clear favorites given their higher league standing and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC is currently 5th in the league with 54 points (14W, 12D, 6L) and a solid recent form (WWLWW), while Estrela sits 15th with 29 points (7W, 8D, 17L) and inconsistent recent results (WLLWL). Vitória SC has scored nearly double the goals of Estrela and conceded fewer, indicating stronger overall team performance.
  • In the last 4 meetings, Vitória SC holds a dominant record with 3 wins and 1 draw, winning 75% of all encounters. They also tend to control the game from the first halves.
  • Estrela will be missing key left back Guilherme Montoia and midfielder Robinho. Vitória SC’s squad is mostly intact but lost defender Tiago Silva recently, with offensive duties shifting more to veterans Nelson Oliveira and Gustavo Silva.
  • The match is played at Estrela's home ground, Estadio Jose Gomes, which gives some home advantage, yet Vitória SC's better squad depth and form offset this. No major external disruptions noted.
  • Vitória SC is motivated to strengthen their top 5 league position and maintain momentum, whereas Estrela is fighting to climb out of relegation-threatened spots, which could influence their cautious approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +245, away: +112, draw: +230 Vitória SC ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home +25: +100, away -0.25: -120 Vitória SC -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over 2.25: -102, under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC moneyline win

Predicted Score: Vitória SC 2 – 1 CF Estrela


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Vitória SC vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal

Game Overview

Vitória SC and Arouca are closely matched around mid-table in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with Vitória SC currently 9th and Arouca 8th. Both teams show similar recent form with moderate scoring but defensive vulnerabilities, making this a competitive fixture at Vitória's home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC recently scored 11 goals in 5 matches but haven't kept a clean sheet in 5 games, conceding 2.33 goals on average. Arouca scored 2 goals per game but concede more heavily at 3.33 goals on average. Vitória SC has slightly better recent results and home advantage.
  • Historically, Vitória SC leads with 10 wins to Arouca's 4 in 20 encounters; recent matches suggest a balanced dynamic with a 2-2 draw in their last league meeting earlier in 2025. Vitória SC has a slightly higher win ratio head-to-head.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players, implying both squads near full strength.
  • Match takes place at Vitória SC's home stadium, Dom Afonso Henriques, presenting a home advantage. No major external disruptions known.
  • Both teams sit in mid-table and will seek points to improve standings early in the season. Vitória SC, playing at home and with a slightly better form, have marginally stronger motivation to capitalize.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC: -125, Draw: +255, Arouca: +345 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Vitória SC -0.5: -122, Arouca +50: +102 Vitória SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: +102, Under 2.5: -122 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Moreirense FC vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos, Portugal

Game Overview

Moreirense FC, currently 5th in the Primeira Liga, hosts Vitória SC who sit 9th. Both teams have demonstrated similar average goals scored (~1.5) but differ defensively with Moreirense allowing fewer goals on average (0.5) than Vitória SC (2.5). Historically, Vitória SC holds a stronger head-to-head record, though Moreirense has been more consistent recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense have a stronger defensive record and a slightly better current form with longer unbeaten and winning runs. Vitória SC has been less consistent and concedes more goals.
  • Vitória SC leads H2H with more wins (18 to 5) but Moreirense has won 4 of their past 25 meetings. Recent encounters suggest balanced competitiveness with a slight Vitória edge.
  • No specific injury information provided for either side; assume full-strength squads.
  • Match played at Moreirense’s home ground provides a home advantage. No other external disruptions noted.
  • Moreirense higher league standing (5th) likely motivates them to secure points and maintain position. Vitória SC mid-table placement offers moderate motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense FC: 240, Vitória SC: 121, Draw: 215 Moreirense FC ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Moreirense FC: -108, Vitória SC: -112 Moreirense FC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 63%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Moreirense FC to win; Spread: Moreirense FC -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Moreirense FC vs. Vitória SC Prediction Moreirense FC 240 63%
D.C. United vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction Inter Miami CF -106 42%
Burnley vs. Sunderland Prediction Burnley 126 42%

Combined Odds: +1393 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $298.66

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