Match Analysis: Denver Pioneers vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hamilton Gymnasium, Denver

Game Overview

The Denver Pioneers (1-2) host the UTSA Roadrunners (1-2) in a Summit League matchup. Both teams enter with identical 1-2 records and are looking to find their footing early in the season. Denver holds a slight home-court advantage and is favored by 3.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams are struggling early in the season with matching 1-2 records. Denver has gone 3-0 against the spread in their last 5 games and are 3-0 against the spread in road games (context suggests strong ATS performance). UTSA has shown some offensive capability with J. Simpson averaging 17.0 PPG, while Denver's J. Burke leads with 19.7 PPG at 51.2% FG and 81.8% FT.
• No recent head-to-head history is available in the provided data. This appears to be an early-season non-conference matchup.
• No injury information is provided in the available data.
• This is a non-conference game early in the season. Denver plays at home where they have demonstrated strength against the spread. The over has hit in 3 of Denver's last 3 games, suggesting offensive momentum.
• Both teams are 1-2 and searching for their first win to build confidence. Home-court advantage may provide Denver with a slight psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Denver Pioneers to win by 4-5 points in a moderate-scoring game. Denver's home-court advantage, superior offensive efficiency (J. Burke's scoring), and strong recent ATS performance support a home victory, though the close spread reflects legitimate offensive capability from both sides.

Predicted Score: Denver 77, UTSA 73

Match Analysis: Charlotte 49ers vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Jerry Richardson Stadium

Game Overview

The UTSA Roadrunners (4-5) visit the Charlotte 49ers (1-8) in an American Athletic Conference matchup where UTSA is a heavy favorite. UTSA aims to regain momentum late in the season, while Charlotte struggles for its first conference win.

Key Factors to Consider

• UTSA has a 4-5 record but shows stronger offensive firepower and defensive capabilities compared to the 1-8 Charlotte 49ers. Charlotte's defense has vulnerabilities, especially against the pass, and they have struggled both overall and against the spread. UTSA’s road performance is weaker (1-4 ATS), though their talent level remains superior.
• Recent meetings tend to favor UTSA comfortably, with the Roadrunners often winning by double-digit margins. The matchups historically show totals leaning under, due to defensive tendencies, but UTSA's offensive ability and Charlotte’s defensive frailties suggest a possible high-scoring game this time.
• Charlotte is dealing with multiple injuries affecting key offensive players, including WR Willie McCoy III, TE Grant Laskey, and RB Henry Rutledge, limiting their offensive potential. UTSA’s injury report is lighter comparatively, preserving their more complete roster.
• Home-field advantage for Charlotte exists but is muted by their poor recent form and roster challenges. Weather conditions are mild (69°F, no rain), unlikely to influence play significantly. Public betting heavily favors Charlotte ATS (72%), possibly indicating sharp money on UTSA.
• UTSA seeks to build late-season momentum and improve from road inconsistencies, while Charlotte fights to avoid a winless conference campaign. UTSA’s higher motivation to rebound is a crucial edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UTSA to win straight up on the moneyline

Predicted Score: UTSA 42 – Charlotte 17

Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-13
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Strahan Coliseum at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX

Game Overview

Both Texas State Bobcats and UTSA Roadrunners enter the game with similar recent results but contrasting styles. Texas State is slightly favored by bookmakers at home with a close spread and balanced moneyline odds. UTSA's defense is strong, limiting opponents' shooting percentages, but their recent offensive struggles lower their scoring efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Texas State is 1-2, with a recent loss to Tulane, shooting 43.3% from the field but struggling on rebounds. UTSA is 1-1, with a dominant defensive profile holding opponents to low FG %, but with inconsistent shooting, particularly dropping to 28.2% in the last game.
• Both teams have mixed recent form with Texas State historically winning about 55.9% of similar matchups and performing slightly better ATS. No recent direct encounters available but statistical trends favor Texas State marginally.
• No major injury reports impact either team at this time.
• Texas State is playing at home and has shown better cover rates at home. UTSA has underperformed when playing with rest disadvantages, which could factor in here. Public betting is heavily skewed towards Texas State.
• Both teams aim to improve early season records; Texas State likely motivated to defend home court after recent losses, while UTSA aims to overcome offensive inconsistencies.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Take Texas State Bobcats to cover the -1.5 spread and win outright, with a moderately high confidence in moneyline and spread bets. Expect the total score to stay under 147.5 due to defensive strengths and recent low-scoring trends at Texas State's home night games.

Predicted Score: Texas State Bobcats 75 – 70 UTSA Roadrunners

Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs SIU-Edwardsville Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-07
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: UTSA Convocation Center, San Antonio, TX

Game Overview

Early season matchup between two 1-0 teams; UTSA Roadrunners hosting SIU Edwardsville Cougars. Both teams opened strong with lopsided wins, but UTSA is favored at home with deeper roster and better defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• UTSA won last game 97-30, showing dominance, especially at home. SIU Edwardsville won 119-50 but against weaker opposition. UTSA has a stronger defensive profile limiting opponents to 30 points versus SIUE's 50. Both teams start 1-0, with UTSA ranked higher.
• Limited recent H2H data but UTSA has historically been more competitive in this matchup. No major injuries noted.
• No reported injuries affecting either team for this matchup.
• Home court advantage for UTSA at the Convocation Center and ESPN+ broadcast adds to their motivation. The Cougars coming off a big win may face motivation fatigue.
• Both teams undefeated and motivated to continue strong starts, but UTSA has added incentive to assert home dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UTSA Roadrunners to win straight up and cover the spread, with the total score going under 153 points.

Predicted Score: UTSA Roadrunners 78 – SIU-Edwardsville Cougars 70

Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-30
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Alamodome, San Antonio

Game Overview

Tulane Green Wave (6-1) visit UTSA Roadrunners (3-4) in an American Athletic Conference matchup with Tulane as the clear favorite based on recent performance and conference standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tulane enters with a strong 6-1 record and undefeated 3-0 AAC conference play, showing solid defense and effective passing rush. UTSA has struggled with a 3-4 overall, 1-2 conference record, with recent form poor at 1-4 in last five games.
• No detailed recent H2H stats available, but Tulane has a defensive advantage and better team metrics, with a top 10 pass rush causing problems for UTSA's offense historically.
• No significant injury reports were found affecting key starters on either team as of current information.
• Game is at UTSA's Alamodome, which usually favors home teams, but fan support is uncertain given UTSA's recent form. Weather likely controlled indoors, neutralizing environmental impact.
• Tulane is motivated to maintain top conference standing and extend winning streak; UTSA needs a rebound win to stabilize season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Tulane Green Wave to win on moneyline and cover the -3.5 spread with total points going over 55.5

Predicted Score: Tulane 31 – UTSA 20

Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: DATCU Stadium

Game Overview

AAC conference clash between North Texas Mean Green (5-1, 1-1 AAC) and UTSA Roadrunners (3-3, 1-1 AAC). North Texas is the favorite at home, coming off a heavy loss to South Florida, while UTSA rides momentum after a dominant win over Rice. The over/under is set high, reflecting both teams' explosive offensive potential.

Key Factors to Consider

• North Texas has a stronger overall record (5-1) but was just blown out at home, raising questions about vulnerability. UTSA is inconsistent but capable of explosive performances, especially after a 61-13 win. North Texas' defense showed major flaws in their last outing, but their offense remains potent.
• UTSA has won 5 of the last 7 meetings, including a 48-27 victory in their most recent matchup, suggesting psychological edge and matchup familiarity[1]. Most games in this series have been high-scoring.
• No major injury news reported in available sources. Both teams appear to have full squads.
• Home field advantage for North Texas, but crowd impact may be muted following their recent blowout loss. Weather forecast not available, but no issues reported.
• Both teams are 1-1 in the AAC and competing for bowl eligibility. North Texas must rebound from a harsh loss, while UTSA seeks to build on momentum and continue their H2H dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Expect a high-scoring, competitive game. North Texas is slightly favored by the market, but UTSA's recent form and head-to-head success make them a live underdog. The total is set aggressively high, but both defenses have shown susceptibility to big plays.

Predicted Score: North Texas 35, UTSA 38

Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

The UTSA Roadrunners (2-3) host the Rice Owls (3-3) in an AAC conference matchup with UTSA favored by 12.5 points. Both teams come off recent losses by identical 27-21 margins, setting up a competitive but nuanced game at a neutral venue with an over/under of 49.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• UTSA has struggled slightly with a 2-3 record, losing their last game to Temple, while Rice holds a 3-3 record, also losing their previous matchup to Florida Atlantic. UTSA’s defense is solid but has shown some vulnerability, whereas Rice has been inconsistent offensively.
• Recent head-to-head meetings have generally favored UTSA, but games have often been close, suggesting the spread is ambitious given Rice’s ability to keep games competitive.
• No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect either side's performance or lineup stability.
• Playing at the Alamodome gives UTSA home-field advantage. Weather is controlled indoors, removing weather as a significant factor. The importance of conference standings adds motivation for both teams.
• Both teams need a win to improve their AAC standing; UTSA aims to snap a losing streak while Rice looks to capitalize on underdog status and momentum from recent competitive performances.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bet on UTSA Roadrunners moneyline as the highest EV play due to home advantage, stronger defense, and superior head-to-head dominance despite the modest underdog value on Rice in the spread. Expect the game to stay under 49.5 points based on recent scoring trends and defensive strengths.

Predicted Score: UTSA Roadrunners 24 – Rice Owls 14

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Match Analysis: Temple Owls vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Temple Owls Home Stadium

Game Overview

The game features Temple Owls hosting UTSA Roadrunners, both standing at 2-2 this season. UTSA comes off a close victory over Colorado State showcasing a strong rushing attack, while Temple has shown inconsistency but benefits from home advantage and motivated play.

Key Factors to Consider

• UTSA averages 31.3 points per game with strong rushing (204.8 yards/game) led by Robert Henry Jr. They allow 30.3 points against. Temple has struggled offensively but matches UTSA’s 2-2 record and will leverage home field for potentially improved performance.
• Limited recent head-to-head data is available, but both teams have been roughly evenly matched in past seasons, reflecting close games and competitive dynamics.
• No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact the outcome, so rosters appear near full strength.
• Temple enjoys home field advantage, which has historically improved their defensive effectiveness. Weather conditions are expected to be neutral with no major impact on gameplay.
• Both teams sit at .500 and need this ACC conference game for momentum. UTSA may have slight edge due to recent close win and strong running game, but Temple faces its home crowd with motivation to break even.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bet on UTSA Roadrunners moneyline for highest EV due to superior rushing attack, better momentum, and road favorites despite home advantage of Temple.

Predicted Score: UTSA Roadrunners 35 – Temple Owls 27

Match Analysis: Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Canvas Stadium

Game Overview

The matchup between the Colorado State Rams and UTSA Roadrunners features two teams with comparable early season records and offensive potential, meeting at Colorado State's home field. UTSA enters as a slight favorite based on moneyline and spread odds, but the game is expected to be competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Colorado State is 1-1 while UTSA is 1-2 this season, showing some inconsistency. Both teams are coming off competitive games, with UTSA having a stronger defensive showing but Colorado State demonstrating a balanced offense.
• Recent direct matchups are limited, with no dominant trend, though UTSA currently favored due to marginally better conference play and recent form.
• No significant injury information available that impacts key offensive or defensive starters for either team at this time.
• Game played at Colorado State's Canvas Stadium, which may provide slight home-field advantage and altitude effects favoring the Rams.
• Colorado State is motivated to defend home turf early in the season. UTSA aims to bounce back from a losing record and solidify its competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UTSA Roadrunners to win on the moneyline, covering the -5.5 spread, with the game expected to go over 59.5 points total.

Predicted Score: UTSA 32 – Colorado State 26