Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-30
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: UTSA Alumni Center/Field, San Antonio, TX
Game Overview
American Conference clash between Tulane Green Wave (6-1, 3-0 AAC) and UTSA Roadrunners (3-4, 1-2 AAC)[2]. Tulane is among the conference leaders, while UTSA is trying to climb the standings after a challenging start to the season[2].
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has a strong conference record (3-0) and overall performance (6-1), indicating consistency and momentum. UTSA's struggles (1-2 in conference, 3-4 overall) suggest inconsistency, highlighted by defensive lapses and offensive struggles against top-tier competition[2].
- No head-to-head data available for these teams in the 2025 season.
- No injury data available; for deep betting, monitor team news closer to kickoff for impactful absences.
- No weather or venue-specific issues reported. No other significant external factor noted.
- Tulane is contending for a conference championship and bowl seeding, so focus and motivation are high. UTSA has a chance to strengthen its bowl credentials and must play a spoiler role, but their inconsistency may impact urgency and execution under pressure.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane -174, UTSA +146 | Tulane moneyline (-174) is the recommended play, reflecting their better record and consistency[1][4]. | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Tulane -3.5 (-114), UTSA +3.5 (-106) | Tulane covers -3.5, given their superior recent play and UTSA's defensive struggles[1][5]. | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 55.5 (-110), Under 55.5 (-110) | Over 55.5 is the lean, with both teams capable of scoring in a conference showdown[1]. | โ โ โ โโ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave 50% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 18% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Tulane Green Wave at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane's form and conference standing make them favorites to win, especially as UTSA has struggled against stronger AAC competition. The over/under is set attractively for a moderately high-scoring game[1]. Expect Tulane to cover a tight spread, with the game likely to go over the total.
Predicted Score: Tulane 34, UTSA 24