Match Analysis: Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-31
- Time: 12:15 AM UTC
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Game Overview
The Baltimore Ravens visit the Miami Dolphins for an AFC East vs. AFC North clash. Both teams have struggling records with Baltimore at 2-5 overall and Miami at 2-6, indicating a matchup between two underperforming squads. The Ravens are favored significantly despite similar records, reflecting their stronger overall team metrics and road game performance concerns for Miami.
Key Factors to Consider
- Baltimore Ravens have a 2-5 record, showing some offensive potential led by a stronger passing game (68 completions/95 attempts, 10 TDs, 1 INT) and a balanced rushing attack. Miami Dolphins have a 2-6 record with a weaker passing game (159 completions/231 attempts, 15 TDs, 10 INTs) and similar rushing yardage, but higher turnovers impacting outcomes. Ravens' defense has been more effective at limiting big plays, while Miami struggles defensively.
- Recent head-to-head data for these two teams in 2025 is limited, but Baltimore holds the betting edge with a strong moneyline favorite status (-425) and spread (-7.5 points) indicating perceived historical or situational dominance in matchups against Miami.
- No explicit injury reports are provided in the search results, but typically mid-season injuries may impact key positions. Current odds and team performances suggest Baltimore is healthier or better compensated for any absences compared to Miami.
- Game is in Miami Gardens, FL, at the Hard Rock Stadium, which usually favors the home Dolphins. Weather is mild and unlikely to impact gameplay significantly (72ยฐF reported). Travel fatigue may slightly affect Baltimore but they appear confident.
- Both teams have poor records aiming to improve playoff positioning or avoid further decline. Miami has the home crowd advantage for motivation; Baltimore, despite being road favorites, likely motivated to assert dominance and secure an important win on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baltimore Ravens: -425, Miami Dolphins: 330 | Baltimore Ravens | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Baltimore Ravens: -7.5 -112, Miami Dolphins: +7.5 -108 | Baltimore Ravens -7.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115 | Under 51.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baltimore Ravens -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 12% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baltimore Ravens are predicted to win comfortably by covering the spread due to stronger offensive efficiency, better defense, and superior league standing momentum.
Predicted Score: Baltimore Ravens 28 – Miami Dolphins 17