Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, Nevada

Game Overview

UNLV Rebels (7-2 overall, 2-1 MWC) host Utah State Aggies (5-4 overall, 2-2 MWC) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. UNLV enters as a 6-7 point favorite with strong recent form, while Utah State seeks an upset as significant underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

• UNLV has won 5 straight games and maintains an impressive 5-0 record in their last 5 contests. At home, UNLV averages 62.5 points with an implied total of 36.5 points. Their 3-2 ATS record in recent games shows some vulnerability to public backing. Utah State (5-4) has a 2-2 conference record and enters as a clear underdog with a +6 spread.
• No specific historical H2H data provided in available sources. This appears to be a conference matchup between two MWC opponents with no notable historical precedent mentioned.
• No injury report information is available in the provided data. This represents incomplete analysis for a complete EV assessment.
• The game is played at neutral-friendly Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. UNLV's home field advantage is moderate. Public betting shows 61% of money backing UNLV with 39% backing Utah State, indicating moderate public consensus.
• UNLV is on a 5-game winning streak and has clear bowl eligibility momentum at 7-2. Utah State at 5-4 faces pressure to maintain relevance in conference standings. UNLV's ATS record of 5-4 suggests they may be slightly overvalued by markets, while being the heavy favorite creates backdoor cover risk.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UNLV defeats Utah State 31-24 (UNLV -6.5 cover, Under 71.5)

Predicted Score: UNLV 31, Utah State 24

Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs UTEP Miners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, Utah

Game Overview

Utah State Aggies host UTEP Miners in an NCAA basketball game where Utah State is undefeated (3-0) and UTEP has a 2-1 record. Utah State is heavily favored with very low odds due to their dominant form and strong home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utah State is 3-0, but recently 2-3 overall and 2-3 against the spread. UTEP is 2-1, scoring an average of 88 points but against lower-tier opponents, and struggling on the road.
• Recent matchups show Utah State winning convincingly. Simulations predict Utah State winning by a large margin (~93-64). Utah State's defense is stout, holding opponents under 70 points.
• No major injury reports for either team currently. Both teams appear at full strength.
• Utah State plays at home in Logan with strong fan support. UTEP is on the road for the first time this season, likely impacting performance.
• Utah State aims to maintain a perfect record and continue dominance; UTEP looks for an upset to build momentum on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Utah State moneyline win, Utah State to cover the -17.5 spread, and total points under 152.5

Predicted Score: Utah State 85 – UTEP 67

Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs Weber State Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-13
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, Utah

Game Overview

The Utah State Aggies (2-0) host the Weber State Wildcats (1-1) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Utah State enters undefeated and dominant at home, while Weber State seeks to rebound from a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utah State averages a strong 190 points scored per game and allows only 131 on defense, showing both offensive firepower and defensive stability. Weber State scores 109.5 PPG but has shown vulnerabilities on defense, allowing 130 points. Utah State is 2-0 at home this season with two wins, including a close 80-77 victory over VCU.
• Historically, Utah State holds a significant advantage especially at home, having won 36 of their last 39 home games against non-ranked non-conference teams. Weber State narrowly won their last head-to-head but recently lost to Utah 92-89 in overtime.
• No significant injury reports available for either team, suggesting both squads will be close to full strength.
• The game is played at Utah State's Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, where they have an overwhelming home-court advantage. Travel and schedule do not appear to negatively impact Utah State.
• Utah State is motivated to maintain a perfect season start (3-0) with a home win. Weber State looks to rebound after an overtime loss and avoid an 0-2 start on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Utah State Aggies win comfortably on the moneyline, cover the 20.5-point spread, and the total score will go under 154.5 points.

Predicted Score: Utah State Aggies 83 – Weber State Wildcats 62

Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Utah State Aggies Home Stadium

Game Overview

Utah State Aggies (4-4) face Nevada Wolf Pack (1-7) with Utah State as solid favorites based on recent performance, home advantage, and overall statistics in a Mountain West Conference matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utah State has a stronger season record and home scoring average (38.75 points scored, 19.5 conceded) compared to Nevada's poor form (1-7 overall, 0-4 in conference). Utah State is more consistent offensively and defensively at home.
• Limited recent head-to-head data but Utah State leads with 2 home wins against Nevada's zero wins in those matches, indicating Utah State's advantage historically when playing at home.
• No significant reported injuries affecting key starters for either team at this time, maintaining lineups close to full strength.
• Home crowd support and travel fatigue for Nevada contribute to Utah State's advantage; Utah State playing in favorable conditions at their venue.
• Utah State seeks to improve their conference standing and bowl eligibility, providing higher motivation, while Nevada is struggling with a poor season and low morale.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Utah State Aggies win on the moneyline and cover the spread with a moderately high-scoring game landing under the 52.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Utah State Aggies 31 – Nevada Wolf Pack 17

Match Analysis: VCU Rams vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Comerica Center, Frisco, Texas

Game Overview

The Utah State Aggies (1-0) travel to face the VCU Rams (1-0) in an early season contest. Utah State enters as a slight favorite with strong shooting efficiency and a relatively high scoring offense. VCU is known for its strong defense and solid home performance. Both teams are coming off convincing wins, with Utah State favored by 3.5 points and an over/under set at 161.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Utah State ranks 40th in scoring with 79.9 points per game and 110th in defense allowing 70 points, while VCU scores 76.9 points per game but has a top-10 defense allowing just 62.9 points. Utah State's shooting efficiency (48.4%) beats VCU's (44.5%), but VCU is more stingy defensively.
• The last meeting saw VCU winning 85-69, showing their defensive capability over Utah State, although Utah State has won its recent games convincingly, including a 110-54 home win.
• No significant injuries reported for either team, both squads appear at full strength.
• Game is played on a neutral court in Frisco, Texas, slightly reducing usual home court advantage. Early season form suggests both teams are motivated but Utah State's offensive firepower is a key factor.
• Both teams are undefeated early in the season, motivated to maintain momentum. Utah State likely aims to assert themselves as a top contender, while VCU seeks to keep their strong defensive identity intact.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Utah State Aggies ML, Utah State -3.5 spread, Under 161.5 points

Predicted Score: Utah State Aggies 79 – VCU Rams 70

Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host the Utah State Aggies in a Mountain West conference clash. Both teams enter with 4-3 records and similar recent form, making this a balanced yet strategic matchup at New Mexico's home field.

Key Factors to Consider

• New Mexico is 4-3 overall, with a solid 3-0 home record and averaging 28.4 points per game while allowing 26.3. Utah State also stands at 4-3, averaging slightly higher offensive production (34.0 ppg) but allowing more points (31.6). New Mexico has been more consistent at home this season.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but New Mexico has been favored at home and covered the spread 3-2 recently, indicating competitive but slightly advantageous performance on their turf.
• No major injuries reported affecting starting quarterbacks or key offensive players for either side, maintaining stable lineups and minimizing unknown disruptions.
• Playing at altitude and home crowd at University Stadium benefits New Mexico. Weather forecast shows mild conditions, unlikely to impact gameplay significantly.
• New Mexico is motivated to improve standing and maintain perfect home record, while Utah State aims to rebound after recent losses, adding slight edge to New Mexico’s motivation at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos to win straight up

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 34 – Utah State Aggies 28

Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs San Jose State Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-17
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, Logan, Utah

Game Overview

Utah State Aggies (3-3, 1-1 Mountain West) host San Jose State Spartans (2-4, 1-1 Mountain West) in a conference matchup. Utah State enters as a 4-point favorite, with the total set at 61.5. Both teams are coming off losses—Utah State fell to Hawai'i 44-26, while San Jose State lost to Wyoming 35-28.[1][3]

Key Factors to Consider

• Utah State has been marginally better this season, with a 3-3 record compared to San Jose State's 2-4. Both teams have shown offensive capability, but Utah State, especially at home, has been more consistent defensively. Recent losses for both suggest vulnerability, but the Aggies’ home field advantage is notable.
• San Jose State leads the all-time series 21-20-1, including a dominant 42-21 home win in the most recent meeting.[4] However, venue matters here, and Utah State is favored at home this time.
• No major injury news is available in the provided data, but always check for last-minute updates.
• The game is scheduled on a Friday night, likely increasing both crowd energy and potential for fatigue, though no weather issues are reported.
• Both teams are 1-1 in conference play and will be highly motivated to keep bowl eligibility hopes alive. Utah State, with a slight edge in overall record and playing at home, may have a psychological advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Expect a competitive, high-scoring Mountain West game with Utah State slightly favored by the odds and the data. The Aggies’ home field, combined with San Jose State’s recent defensive struggles, tips the scale in the hosts’ favor. The total is high but justified by both teams’ offensive tendencies.

Predicted Score: Utah State 34, San Jose State 28

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +178

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $55.62

Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-12
• Time: 3:59 AM UTC
• Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI

Game Overview

Mountain West Conference matchup with Utah State Aggies (3-2, 1-0 MWC) visiting Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (4-2, 1-1 MWC). Both teams have competitive recent form, with Hawaii slightly better overall record while Utah State is favored on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hawaii holds a 4-2 overall record and has shown strong scoring capability, averaging about 42.7% win probabilities in recent analysis. Utah State is 3-2 overall but with strong conference play at 1-0, favored by sportsbooks to win by a slim margin.
• Recent data does not show a significant historical advantage for either side in this matchup; close games and scorelines are expected with Utah State slightly favored based on prediction models (56.1% chance of victory).
• No specific injury updates are available to impact starting lineups significantly for either team as of the latest data.
• Hawaii is playing at home, which typically helps with travel fatigue mitigation for home team and may contribute to tighter game dynamics. The late kickoff time (approx 8:59 PM Hawaii local) could play a role in player stamina.
• Utah State is undefeated in Mountain West conference play and motivated to maintain this status. Hawaii has a 1-1 conference record and aims to leverage home advantage to improve standing.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Utah State Aggies moneyline win

Predicted Score: Utah State 30 – Hawaii 28

Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The undefeated Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0) host the Utah State Aggies (3-1) in a matchup where Vanderbilt is a heavy favorite with a large spread and strong moneyline odds, reflecting their dominant performance and SEC strength.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderbilt is 4-0 with a dominant defense allowing only 2.6 yards per carry and a top-10 early down offensive success rate, coming off a 70-21 win. Utah State is 3-1 but ranks poorly in offensive pass play success (128th nationally) and struggles to generate pass rush.
• Limited recent H2H data available, but Vanderbilt’s SEC pedigree and undefeated record significantly outweigh Utah State’s Mountain West profile and recent results.
• No significant reported injuries for Vanderbilt or Utah State that materially affect the game's outcome.
• Game is at Vanderbilt’s home stadium with favorable weather conditions (76°F, no rain, light wind), boosting Vanderbilt’s home-field advantage.
• Vanderbilt aims to maintain their perfect start and momentum securing a statement win at home; Utah State seeks to upset but faces tough odds and talent gap.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt to win convincingly, covering the large spread, with a moderately high-scoring game leaning slightly over the total line.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 41, Utah State 18