Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Utah State Aggies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-12
- Time: 3:59 AM UTC
- Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
Game Overview
Mountain West Conference matchup with Utah State Aggies (3-2, 1-0 MWC) visiting Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (4-2, 1-1 MWC). Both teams have competitive recent form, with Hawaii slightly better overall record while Utah State is favored on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hawaii holds a 4-2 overall record and has shown strong scoring capability, averaging about 42.7% win probabilities in recent analysis. Utah State is 3-2 overall but with strong conference play at 1-0, favored by sportsbooks to win by a slim margin.
- Recent data does not show a significant historical advantage for either side in this matchup; close games and scorelines are expected with Utah State slightly favored based on prediction models (56.1% chance of victory).
- No specific injury updates are available to impact starting lineups significantly for either team as of the latest data.
- Hawaii is playing at home, which typically helps with travel fatigue mitigation for home team and may contribute to tighter game dynamics. The late kickoff time (approx 8:59 PM Hawaii local) could play a role in player stamina.
- Utah State is undefeated in Mountain West conference play and motivated to maintain this status. Hawaii has a 1-1 conference record and aims to leverage home advantage to improve standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: +102, Utah State Aggies: -120 | Utah State Aggies | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: -108, Utah State Aggies: -112 | Utah State Aggies -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 57.5: -110, Under 57.5: -110 | Over 57.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Utah State Aggies 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 57.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah State Aggies moneyline win
Predicted Score: Utah State 30 – Hawaii 28