Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs Chattanooga Mocs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas
Game Overview
The UNLV Rebels host the Chattanooga Mocs in an early non-conference matchup. UNLV is coming off a home loss to start the season, while Chattanooga opened with a dominant win. The game is set for Saturday night at the Thomas & Mack Center, with national attention due to the Rebels' home court advantage and Chattanooga's strong offensive start.
Key Factors to Consider
- UNLV Rebels started the season 0-1, struggling defensively and offensively in their opener. Their recent ATS record is poor, going 0-1 in their last five games against the spread. Chattanooga Mocs opened with a commanding 92-39 win, shooting 43.6% from the field and assisting on 26 of 34 made baskets. They averaged over 82 points per game in their last five contests, showing depth and offensive efficiency.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup. Both teams are meeting for the first time this season, making historical trends less relevant.
- UNLV has several key players listed with injuries: Myles Che (foot), Isaac Williamson (foot), Mason Abittan (undisclosed), and Emmanuel Stephen (hip). Chattanooga has no reported injuries, giving them a full roster and depth advantage.
- UNLV is playing at home, which typically provides a boost, but their recent home performance has been inconsistent. The Thomas & Mack Center atmosphere may influence the game, but UNLV's injury situation could offset this advantage. Chattanooga's depth and recent offensive surge could exploit UNLV's defensive vulnerabilities.
- UNLV is motivated to bounce back after a disappointing home loss and wants to avoid starting 0-2. Chattanooga is riding high after a dominant win and will look to prove themselves against a Power 5 opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chattanooga Mocs: 205, UNLV Rebels: -255 | UNLV Rebels | Not available |
| Spread | Chattanooga Mocs: 5.5 -115, UNLV Rebels: -5.5 -105 | UNLV Rebels -5.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -110, Under: 154.5 -110 | Over 154.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNLV Rebels 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UNLV is favored by the oddsmakers, but their injury situation and poor recent form make this a risky pick. Chattanooga's depth and offensive efficiency could keep them competitive, but UNLV's home court advantage and talent should ultimately prevail. The game is likely to be close, with UNLV covering the spread and the total going over.
Predicted Score: UNLV Rebels 82, Chattanooga Mocs 74