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FC St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-23
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Game Overview

This Bundesliga fixture sees FC St. Pauli host Union Berlin at Millerntor-Stadion. St. Pauli, currently 16th with 7 points, are struggling for form, while Union Berlin sits 11th with 12 points. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with St. Pauli conceding 19 goals and Union Berlin 13 in 9 matches. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides needing points for their respective league objectives.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Pauli have lost 7 of their last 10 league matches, including a 2-1 defeat to Freiburg in their most recent outing. Union Berlin have been inconsistent, drawing their last two games against Bayern Munich and Freiburg, but have lost 7 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches. Union Berlin have scored 13 goals and conceded 13, while St. Pauli have scored 9 and conceded 19.
  • In their previous meeting this season, St. Pauli won 3-0. Historically, Union Berlin has struggled at Millerntor-Stadion, with St. Pauli holding a slight edge in recent encounters.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • The match will be played at Millerntor-Stadion, known for its passionate home support, which could provide a boost for St. Pauli. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
  • St. Pauli are fighting to avoid relegation, while Union Berlin are aiming to climb into the top half of the table. Both teams have strong motivation to secure a positive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC St. Pauli: 150, Union Berlin: 193, Draw: 220 FC St. Pauli ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread FC St. Pauli: 0 -128, Union Berlin: 0 108 FC St. Pauli ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC St. Pauli 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC St. Pauli at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent form and head-to-head record, St. Pauli are slight favorites at home, but Union Berlin's resilience and attacking threat make this a closely contested match. A narrow home win or draw is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Union Berlin vs. Bayern Munich Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Game Overview

Bundesliga match between home side Union Berlin and league powerhouse Bayern Munich. Bayern is the heavy favorite entering the fixture, while Union Berlin seeks to cause a home upset with disciplined defense and counter-attacking play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayern Munich has consistently been a top-2 Bundesliga performer in recent years, dominating possession and scoring at will. Union Berlin, by contrast, relies on a compact defensive structure and opportunistic attacks. Direct league performance data for the 2025/26 season is not available in the search results, so these assessments are based on recent trends.
  • Bayern Munich has historically dominated this fixture, winning most encounters with Union Berlin by multiple goals. Union Berlin’s rare successes against Bayern have almost always come at home, where they are difficult to break down.
  • No specific injury updates are available in the provided data. Both teams’ best available squads are expected to feature.
  • Union Berlin’s home stadium, Stadion An der Alten Försterei, is known for its passionate support and can be a tough environment for even top clubs. No weather or other external disruptions are indicated.
  • Bayern Munich is expected to be highly motivated to maintain or extend their lead at the top of the table. Union Berlin, likely positioned in the mid-table, will be eager to prove their credentials against elite competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayern Munich: -410, Union Berlin: +900, Draw: +550 Bayern Munich win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Bayern Munich -1.75 (-115), Union Berlin +1.75 (-105) Bayern Munich -1.75 (covers) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 (+102), Under 3.5 (-122) Over 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayern Munich -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayern Munich is heavily favored to win, with a high probability of covering the spread. Union Berlin’s best hope is a disciplined defensive performance, but Bayern’s attacking quality and historical dominance make a comfortable away win the most likely outcome. The total is projected to go over 3.5 goals given Bayern’s offensive firepower and Union Berlin’s potential to concede multiple times.

Predicted Score: Bayern Munich 3 – 1 Union Berlin


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Union Berlin vs. SC Freiburg Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs SC Freiburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Game Overview

The Bundesliga match between Union Berlin (home) and SC Freiburg (away) pits two mid-table teams with Union Berlin holding a historical upper hand in their head-to-head clashes. Union Berlin has been undefeated in the last five meetings (3 wins, 2 draws) against Freiburg and showed solid home form, while Freiburg struggles with key injuries and suspensions but has a balanced recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin currently sits 10th and has a mixed Bundesliga campaign, with a 1.38 average goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. They have recently scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, showing moderate attacking strength. Freiburg performs slightly worse defensively with an average of 1.63 goals allowed but also struggles with scoring consistency, averaging fewer goals per match lately.
  • In their last 16 Bundesliga meetings since 2014, Union Berlin won 9 times, Freiburg 3 times, with 4 draws. The recent 5 matches favor Union Berlin with no losses (3 wins, 2 draws). Overall, Union Berlin has a 50% win rate against Freiburg historically, underlining psychological and tactical edges at home.
  • Union Berlin is missing key players Andrik Markgraf, Josip Juranovic, Robert Skov, and Livan Burcu due to injuries. Freiburg faces suspensions for Philipp Lienhart and injuries to Cyriaque Irie, Eren Dinkci, Patrick Osterhage, and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, potentially weakening their lineup further.
  • The match is played at Union Berlin's Stadion An der Alten Försterei where they enjoy solid fan support. Weather or pitch conditions have not been indicated as concerns. Media and betting interest are high, with multiple broadcasters and streaming platforms covering the game across Europe.
  • Union Berlin aims to improve their mid-table standing with home advantage and a strong psychological edge from recent unbeaten H2H streaks. Freiburg looks to overturn their poor away record against Union Berlin and recover from injury setbacks, motivated to climb the Bundesliga table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin: 156, SC Freiburg: 183, Draw: 220 Union Berlin win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Union Berlin: -122, SC Freiburg: 102, Spread_line: 0 Union Berlin -0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Union Berlin 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Union Berlin at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Union Berlin is predicted to edge out SC Freiburg in a closely contested match, likely with a narrow margin, benefiting from their unbeaten recent record at home against Freiburg and current squad fitness advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-24
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Weserstadion, Bremen, Germany

Game Overview

Werder Bremen hosts Union Berlin in a Bundesliga match with both teams mid-table but showing defensive vulnerabilities. Bremen, ranked 12th, has struggled defensively but remains unbeaten in two matches with multiple goal-scoring threats. Union Berlin, in 9th place, has mixed recent form with some wins and losses, boasting a similarly leaky defense but showing resilience in away fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Werder Bremen is defensively weak, conceding 16 goals in their last seven games but recently unbeaten with a 1-0 win and a 2-2 draw. Their attack is diverse with four players scoring multiple goals. Union Berlin conceded 14 in seven but recently achieved a confident 3-1 away win. Away form has been tough but includes a win over Eintracht Frankfurt.
  • Historically, Union Berlin leads this fixture with 6 wins to Werder Bremen's 3, and 2 draws between them, suggesting a slight edge for the away team historically.
  • No specific current injury data available from sources; assumed no major absences impacting lineups.
  • Match takes place at Weserstadion, Bremen, providing Bremen home advantage. Both teams have defensive weaknesses that could influence shootout-type games.
  • Werder Bremen faces pressure to avoid slipping into the relegation zone, being just four points above it, while Union Berlin aims to maintain its mid-table stability and leverage recent confidence from a solid win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin: 220, Werder Bremen: 114, Draw: 260 Werder Bremen win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Union Berlin (+25): -105, Werder Bremen (-0.25): -115 Werder Bremen -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 Over 2.75 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Werder Bremen 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given home advantage and urgency for Werder Bremen to gain points, coupled with their diversified attack and recent unbeaten run, they are slight favorites, but the defensive frailties and historical head-to-head favor Union Berlin. Expect a close and competitive match likely decided by small margins, possibly a narrow home win or draw.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 24, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 24, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla Prediction Real Sociedad 100 78%
Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC Prediction Over 3.75 100 30%
Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin Prediction Werder Bremen 114 28%

Combined Odds: +756 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $171.2

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Union Berlin vs. Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Borussia Monchengladbach – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-17
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: An der alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany

Game Overview

Union Berlin (13th, 7 points) host Borussia Monchengladbach (17th, 3 points) in Bundesliga Round 7. Both teams are underperforming and desperate for points. Union are coming off a 2-0 loss at Leverkusen, while Gladbach have yet to win this season and just drew 0-0 with Freiburg. The match is high-stakes for both as they look to avoid deepening their early-season crises.[3][7]

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin's last five: L-D-W-L-L. Gladbach's last five: D-L-D-L-L. Union have conceded a league-high 13 goals but scored 8, while Gladbach are marginally better defensively (GA 12, 1 clean sheet). Offensively, both are weak with Gladbach only 3 goals from open play and Union's attack also struggling for consistency.[4][7]
  • In overall Bundesliga encounters, Union lead 6 wins to Gladbach's 4 with 3 draws. Last season, they split results. Historical edge to Union, but Gladbach have occasionally upset form.[5]
  • Union Berlin are mostly fit except for defender Andrik Markgraf. Gladbach have major injury concerns: Nathan N'Goumou and Tim Kleindienst out, Giovanni Reyna doubtful. Key absences for Gladbach's already weak attack.[6]
  • Game is at Union's home ground, a traditionally tough venue for visitors. Both sides are under early season pressure; neither can afford another negative result. Weather and referee info not reported, no notable external distractions.[3]
  • Both teams are desperate for points. Union will look to capitalize on home advantage and Gladbach's poor form and missing attackers. Gladbach must avoid falling further adrift at the foot of the table, but their lack of firepower is a major concern.[6][7]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin: 122, Draw: 255, Borussia Monchengladbach: 215 Union Berlin ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Union Berlin -0.25 -109, Borussia Monchengladbach +25 -111 Union Berlin -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under Over 2.75 102, Under 2.75 -122 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Union Berlin -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite both teams' poor form, Union Berlin's home advantage, Gladbach's injury crisis, and Union's historical edge in this fixture suggest a narrow, low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome. However, neither team inspires high confidence, and a draw is a plausible alternative.

Predicted Score: 1-0 or 1-1


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Union Berlin vs. Hamburger SV Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: An der alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany

Game Overview

The Bundesliga match between Union Berlin and Hamburger SV will take place at Union Berlin's home stadium, An der alten Försterei. Union Berlin currently ranks 10th in the Bundesliga standings, while Hamburger SV is positioned 15th. Union has shown a moderately stronger performance in recent matches and holds home advantage. The match features key forwards like Ilyas Ansah and Oliver Burke for Union Berlin and emerging talents for Hamburg. Previous meetings have seen Union secure wins such as the 2-0 victory in a recent encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin has demonstrated better form with solid recent results, including a 4-3 win recently and strong offensive output with players like Ansah scoring 4 goals in 4 matches. Hamburger SV has struggled more but managed a close 2-1 win in a prior match and showed some attacking threat through players like Oliver Burke. Defensively, Union Berlin has slightly better clean sheet records and shots on goal stats favor them.
  • Recent head-to-head matches favor Union Berlin, including a 2-0 home victory over Hamburger SV. Historical data shows Union as the more dominant side in their encounters.
  • No specific injury data available in the current search results; assume standard squad fitness for both teams given the top-tier league context and match significance.
  • Playing at home benefits Union Berlin with familiar conditions and supportive crowds at An der alten Försterei. The match takes place in early autumn conditions favorable for both teams. No other major external disruptions reported.
  • Union Berlin is motivated to solidify their mid-table position and possibly push higher, while Hamburger SV aims to climb out of the relegation-threat zone, increasing their motivation to upset the home side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamburger SV: 260, Union Berlin: 100, Draw: 260 Union Berlin win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Hamburger SV: -0.5 -120, Union Berlin: +50 100 Union Berlin -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.75 100, Under: 2.75 -120 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Union Berlin 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Union Berlin at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Union Berlin is favored to win due to better form, home advantage, and stronger recent performances against Hamburger SV. The probability of a draw or away win is moderate but lower given current league status and stats.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Fluminense vs. Botafogo Prediction Fluminense 147 38%
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC Prediction Under 2.5 132 35%
Union Berlin vs. Hamburger SV Prediction Union Berlin 100 32%

Combined Odds: +1046 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $229.22

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Corinthians vs. Flamengo Prediction Flamengo -0.5 -125 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Bahia vs. Palmeiras Prediction Palmeiras -0.25 -120 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Union Berlin vs. Hamburger SV Prediction Union Berlin -0.5 100 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +560

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $132

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Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, Germany

Game Overview

Eintracht Frankfurt will host Union Berlin in a German Bundesliga fixture at Deutsche Bank Park. Frankfurt, currently 6th in the Bundesliga, is coming off a strong 5-1 Champions League win but suffered a 3-1 loss in their last league game. Union Berlin, situated 16th in the league, have lost back-to-back Bundesliga matches recently, including a 4-2 defeat at home. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score, suggesting an open, competitive match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eintracht Frankfurt is showing mixed form in the Bundesliga but strong in Europe, boasting top scorer Can Uzun with 3 goals and 2 assists. Union Berlin struggles in the league with no clean sheets and poor defensive form but has capable scorers like Ilyas Ansah. Frankfurt's home advantage and recent high-scoring games contrast with Union’s recent defeats and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • The recent direct encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Union Berlin. Historically, matches have been competitive, but Frankfurt has generally performed stronger at home. Both teams usually find the net in these matchups.
  • No specific injury reports were detailed in the available data, indicating likely full-strength squads or minor concerns not publicly highlighted.
  • Frankfurt enjoys home ground at Deutsche Bank Park with good fan support. Union Berlin faces pressure due to their low league position and recent losses. No adverse weather or unusual external conditions reported.
  • Frankfurt aims to recover league form and maintain confidence after a Champions League victory. Union Berlin must turn around their poor run to avoid dropping further in the standings, increasing their urgency to gain points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -188, away: 460, draw: 345 Home Win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -1 at -115, away: +1 at -105 Eintracht Frankfurt -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 3 at -105, under: 3 at -115 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eintracht Frankfurt 264%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt at 264% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eintracht Frankfurt are predicted to win in a competitive game with both teams scoring. The match may have over 3 goals given both teams' attacking abilities and defensive lapses.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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