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Augsburg vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Augsburg vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: WWK ARENA, Augsburg, Germany

Game Overview

The Bundesliga match between Augsburg and Union Berlin on May 17, 2025, features two mid-table teams with Augsburg currently 11th and Union Berlin 13th. Augsburg come into this game on a poor run, having lost their last three matches with a heavy goal deficit, while Union Berlin are winless in their last five games, struggling particularly away from home. Historically, matches between these sides tend to be low-scoring affairs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Augsburg have been in a slump with three consecutive defeats conceding 9 goals and scoring just 1, signaling both offensive and defensive struggles. Union Berlin are also in poor form with no wins in five matches and have the worst away scoring record in the league with only 15 goals on the road.
  • In previous meetings, Augsburg defeated Union Berlin 2-0 away earlier this season. Overall, the historical encounters between these teams have rarely been high-scoring, with only one out of the last six matches surpassing 2.5 goals.
  • No specific injury data is available in the current information, but probable lineups suggest both teams will field close to their strongest available squads.
  • Both teams have little motivation in terms of league standings as the season concludes. Union Berlin's poor away form and Augsburg's current home advantage at the WWK Arena are notable external conditions.
  • Neither team has critical stakes in this final round match, likely leading to a cautious approach. Augsburg might want to end their poor run positively at home, while Union Berlin may be conservative given their away struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Augsburg: 105, Union Berlin: 245, Draw: 260 Augsburg win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Augsburg: -0.25 -122, Union Berlin: +25 102 Augsburg -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3 100, Under: 3 -120 Under 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Augsburg 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 28%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a low-scoring, tight match with a slight edge to Augsburg due to home form and better motivation. The predicted outcome is a narrow home win or a draw, with total goals under 3 being the most likely scenario.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Heidenheim – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: An der alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany

Game Overview

Union Berlin (13th) hosts 1. FC Heidenheim (16th) in a crucial Bundesliga encounter. Union has drawn their last four matches, while Heidenheim is undefeated in 10 of their last 11 head-to-heads against Union. Both teams have significant injury concerns, making squad depth and tactical flexibility important factors for this match[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin has been inconsistent, struggling to convert draws into wins. Heidenheim, despite their lower league position, has shown resilience, especially against Union Berlin. Both teams have had mixed results recently, but Heidenheim's streak against Union is notable[5].
  • Heidenheim is undefeated in 10 of their last 11 matches against Union Berlin in all competitions[5].
  • Union Berlin: Diogo Leite (facial injury), Aljoscha Kemlein (foot surgery), and several others (Juranovic, Skov, Roussillon) are not fully fit. Heidenheim: Kevin Müller (concussion) is out, Sirlord Conteh and Leo Scienza are struggling with injuries, but Niklas Dorsch returns from suspension[5].
  • No significant external factors reported. The match is played at Union Berlin's home ground, which could provide a slight edge[2].
  • Both teams are fighting for crucial points at the tail end of the season—Union to secure safety and Heidenheim to avoid relegation, raising the stakes for this fixture[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin: 120 | Draw: 250 | Heidenheim: 230 Draw or Heidenheim (Double Chance) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Heidenheim 25 -108 | Union Berlin -0.25 -112 Heidenheim or Draw (Heidenheim +0.25) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110 | Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Union Berlin 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Union Berlin at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Union Berlin's recent tendency to draw, their injury issues, and Heidenheim's historical advantage in this fixture, the match is likely to be tightly contested. However, Heidenheim's form and psychological edge suggest they have a slight advantage or at least the ability to avoid defeat[5].

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Game Overview

Union Berlin and Werder Bremen meet in a Bundesliga clash with contrasting forms. Union Berlin has shown defensive resilience, while Werder Bremen's attacking output is superior. Head-to-head history favors Union Berlin (6 wins in 11 meetings), but Werder Bremen's recent away form and goal-scoring efficiency add complexity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin struggles offensively (1.03 goals/game) but has better defensive metrics (1.43 goals conceded/game). Werder Bremen scores more (1.55 goals/game) but concedes more (1.74 goals/game).
  • Union Berlin leads 6-4 in 11 meetings, with 1 draw[2][4]. Recent matches show competitive balance, but historical dominance leans toward Union Berlin.
  • No specific injury data available in the provided sources.
  • Werder Bremen's superior away form (8 away wins) could counter Union Berlin's home advantage.
  • Werder Bremen (8th place) may push for higher mid-table security, while Union Berlin's position (unstated in sources) likely demands points to avoid relegation risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin +170 | Draw +255 | Werder Bremen +150 Werder Bremen (slight edge) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Union Berlin 0 (-102) | Werder Bremen 0 (-118) Werder Bremen 0 (pick'em, slight lean) ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) | Under 2.5 (-102) Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Werder Bremen 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Werder Bremen at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Value lies with Werder Bremen's attacking quality and away form. A tight match likely, but Bremen's edge in goal production gives them a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Werder Bremen


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VfL Bochum vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 27 Apr 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

Game Overview

Bochum enters with mixed recent form (L-W-L-W-L), while Union Berlin has shown inconsistency (W-D-W-L-L). The fixture is critical for potential mid-table positioning, with both teams eager to secure points late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bochum's home form shows volatility, indicated by alternating wins and losses. Union Berlin's away performances require scrutiny, though their overall attack momentum could challenge Bochum's defense[1][3].
  • Previous Bundesliga encounters suggest competitiveness, with their most recent meeting (Dec 2024) ending 1-1[4].
  • No injury data available from current sources; assume fully fit squads unless updated pre-match[2].
  • No weather disruptions reported. Home advantage for Bochum might counter Union Berlin's tactical discipline.
  • Both teams are likely fighting to avoid lower-half finishes, increasing urgency for a result[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bochum 125 | Draw 255 | Union Berlin 205 Bochum (narrow win) or Draw 55% combined confidence (Bochum 30% | Draw 25% | Union Berlin 20%)
Spread Bochum -0.25 (-102) | Union Berlin +25 (-118) Bochum -0.25 covers if avoiding loss 50% (hinges on home momentum vs. Union's defense)
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120) | Under 2.5 (+100) Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfL Bochum 58%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: VfL Bochum at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight match favoring Bochum marginally due to home edge and shorter odds (1.25 implied probability: ~44.4%), but Union Berlin's spread hedge (-0.25) complicates the outcome. Expect under 2.5 goals given both teams' inconsistency in attack.

Predicted Score: 1-1 (Draw) or 1-0 (Bochum)


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vitoria vs. Grêmio Prediction Vitoria 140 69%
Moreirense FC vs. Nacional Prediction Moreirense FC 115 64%
VfL Bochum vs. Union Berlin Prediction VfL Bochum 125 58%

Combined Odds: +1061 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.2

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Union Berlin vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 19, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: An der alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany

Game Overview

This match between Union Berlin and VfB Stuttgart brings together two teams in different positions in the Bundesliga. Union Berlin is currently ranked 13th with 34 points, while VfB Stuttgart sits at 11th with 40 points. Both teams are looking for crucial points to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin has struggled to score goals, ranking 17th in goals scored with 27 across 29 games. Meanwhile, VfB Stuttgart ranks 5th in scoring, averaging 1.8 goals per game. VfB Stuttgart's Ermedin Demirovic is a key performer with 13 goals this season.
  • In recent head-to-head matches, VfB Stuttgart has had the upper hand, winning three of their last four encounters with Union Berlin. The last meeting ended 3-2 in favor of Stuttgart.
  • No specific injury reports are highlighted for this match, though general squad fitness and availability could influence the lineup.
  • Weather conditions and the home field advantage could slightly favor Union Berlin, but VfB Stuttgart's attacking prowess may counteract these factors.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to improve their position in the Bundesliga table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin: 180, VfB Stuttgart: 145, Draw: 250 VfB Stuttgart ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Union Berlin: 0 +105, VfB Stuttgart: 0 -125 VfB Stuttgart to win by a narrow margin ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.75 -102, Under: 2.75 -118 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline VfB Stuttgart 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: VfB Stuttgart at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the stronger attacking record of VfB Stuttgart and their recent head-to-head success, they might have a slight edge. However, Union Berlin's defensive solidity could lead to a tight contest.

Predicted Score: 0-1 or 1-1


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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BayArena, Leverkusen, Germany

Game Overview

Bayer Leverkusen, currently second in the Bundesliga with 62 points, is set to host Union Berlin, who are in 13th place with 33 points. The match promises to be intense, with Bayer Leverkusen aiming to maintain their strong form and Union Berlin fighting to avoid relegation. Both teams have shown potential for high-scoring matches recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayer Leverkusen have been consistent at home, winning 14 of their last 21 home matches. Union Berlin has struggled away, losing 3 of their last 6 away games across all competitions.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have never been beaten by Union Berlin in their last 8 encounters. Union Berlin has never won against Bayer Leverkusen at the BayArena.
  • No specific injury report provided, but this factor may influence the match dynamics.
  • The match is crucial for Bayer Leverkusen's pursuit of the top spot, while Union Berlin seeks to solidify their mid-table position.
  • Bayer Leverkusen remains highly motivated to catch up with Bayern Munich, while Union Berlin's recent form suggests they are determined to avoid relegation and improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -305 for Bayer Leverkusen, 750 for Union Berlin, 440 for the draw Bayer Leverkusen to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -1.5 for Bayer Leverkusen at -108, +1.5 for Union Berlin at -112 Bayer Leverkusen to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 3 at 102, Under 3 at -122 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen is likely to win due to their strong home record and motivation to maintain a high position in the league.

Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Union Berlin


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Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-06
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: An der alten Försterei

Game Overview

Union Berlin hosts VfL Wolfsburg in a Bundesliga match, where both teams are positioned differently in the league table. Union Berlin is currently 13th, while Wolfsburg is 9th. Recent performances show Union Berlin secured a win over SC Freiburg, while Wolfsburg suffered a home defeat to Heidenheim. The match promises to be competitive given their differing league positions and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Union Berlin's recent win over Freiburg is a boost, but Wolfsburg's stronger offensive capabilities might pose a challenge. Union Berlin has allowed an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Wolfsburg averages 1.8 goals scored.
  • In their last meeting in November 2024, Wolfsburg won 1-0 against Union Berlin. Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested.
  • No specific injury reports are provided, but team lineups may influence the game dynamics.
  • Home advantage might play a role for Union Berlin, but Wolfsburg's overall league position indicates better consistency.
  • Both teams have motivation: Union Berlin to improve their league standing and Wolfsburg to consolidate in the top half.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Union Berlin: 145, VfL Wolfsburg: 190, Draw: 240 Draw or Underdog Win (Wolfsburg) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Union Berlin: 0 -130, VfL Wolfsburg: 0 110 Union Berlin pick given the draw line ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under Over 2.5 100, Under 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Given Wolfsburg's offensive prowess and recent head-to-head, they have a slight edge, but the match is expected to be tight with a possibility of few goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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SC Freiburg vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-30
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Europa-Park-Stadion

Game Overview

SC Freiburg currently holds 6th place in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin is in 13th. Freiburg aims to solidify their position in European competition, while Union Berlin seeks to escape the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SC Freiburg has a record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, scoring 36 goals and conceding 38, resulting in a -2 goal differential. Union Berlin has struggled with a 7-6-13 record, scoring only 24 goals and allowing 39, giving them a -15 goal differential.
  • In the last 18 meetings, Union Berlin has won 8 times, SC Freiburg has won 5 times, and there have been 5 draws. The goal difference in these encounters is slightly in favor of Union Berlin at 27-26.
  • SC Freiburg is missing Marco Röhl and Bruno Ogbus due to injuries. Union Berlin has similar concerns with Robert Skov, Aljoscha Kemlein, and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh unavailable.
  • Freiburg plays at home, where they have a better record (8 wins at home) compared to Union Berlin's away performance (4 wins). The home environment could positively influence Freiburg's performance.
  • Freiburg is motivated to maintain their European competition spot, while Union Berlin needs points to avoid relegation. This disparity in motivation could impact the match outcome.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Predicted Outcome

SC Freiburg to win.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Union Berlin vs. Bayern Munich Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-15
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: An der alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany

Game Overview

This match pits Union Berlin, currently ranked 13th in the Bundesliga, against league leaders Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich's strong form and Union Berlin's struggles against top-tier teams make Bayern the clear favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayern Munich has consistently performed well this season, maintaining their position at the top of the Bundesliga. Union Berlin, while capable of upsets, generally struggles against stronger opponents.
  • Historically, Bayern Munich has dominated matches against Union Berlin, with recent encounters favoring the Bavarians.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either team that would drastically impact the match outcome.
  • The home advantage might slightly benefit Union Berlin, but Bayern's experience and depth are expected to mitigate this factor.
  • Bayern Munich is highly motivated to maintain their league lead, while Union Berlin seeks to pull off an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayern Munich: -275, Union Berlin: 650, Draw: 440 Bayern Munich ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Bayern Munich: -1.5 102, Union Berlin: 1.5 -122 Bayern Munich ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over: 3 -102, Under: 3 -118 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Bayern Munich is likely to win due to their superior form and historical dominance over Union Berlin.

Predicted Score: Bayern Munich 2, Union Berlin 0


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