Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Game Overview
Bayern Munich travel to face Union Berlin in a Bundesliga clash where the Bavarians are heavy favorites. Union Berlin have struggled for goals and results, while Bayern remain in dominant form, scoring freely and rotating effectively through a congested schedule.
Key Factors to Consider
- Union Berlin have won just one of their last five league matches and have failed to score in four of their last nine games, including two at home. Bayern Munich have scored three or more goals in their last eight away league games and have won seven of their last eight matches across all competitions.
- Bayern have won four of the last five meetings, with Union Berlin's only victory coming in a rare upset. Bayern have consistently outclassed Union in recent years, often by multiple goals.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups, with Bayern rotating slightly due to fixture congestion but maintaining high quality.
- Bayern are managing a busy schedule but have shown depth and consistency. Union Berlin are at home but have shown little attacking threat, averaging only 0.8 goals per game this season. Weather and pitch conditions are neutral.
- Bayern are pushing for the Bundesliga title and have a strong incentive to maintain their lead. Union Berlin are fighting to avoid relegation and will be highly motivated defensively, but lack the firepower to trouble Bayern.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 1000, away: -435, draw: 575 | Bayern Munich | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | away: -120, home: 100 | Bayern Munich -1.75 | ★★★★☆ 76% |
| Over/under | over: -122, under: 102 | Over 3.25 | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bayern Munich -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bayern Munich will win comfortably, likely by two or more goals, with Union Berlin failing to score. Expect a clean sheet and a decisive away victory.
Predicted Score: Union Berlin 0-3 Bayern Munich