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UCF Knights vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Quinnipiac Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL

Game Overview

The UCF Knights (5-1) host the Quinnipiac Bobcats (4-2) in a mid-major NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams recently defeated Pittsburgh Panthers, with UCF winning 77-67 at home and Quinnipiac winning 83-75 on the road. UCF is coming off strong performances from key scorers and good shooting efficiency, while Quinnipiac relies on star forward Amarri Monroe and solid team contributions. The match is highly anticipated as Quinnipiac seeks to build on their first-ever road win against a Power 5 opponent, while UCF aims to maintain momentum after four straight wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCF Knights have a 5-1 record, winning games against competitive teams including Texas A&M and Pittsburgh, shooting 52.5% in their last game and outrebounding opponents. Quinnipiac Bobcats are 4-2 with strong offensive output led by Amarri Monroe, averaging 25 points in the last game. The Bobcats showcase balanced scoring, with all players contributing and efficient shooting percentages from Monroe (69% FG last game) and Randall (high efficiency).
  • No previous head-to-head matches between UCF Knights and Quinnipiac Bobcats, making this their first encounter.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
  • Game played at UCF’s home court, giving Knights a home advantage. The Bobcats are on a road trip and coming off a physically taxing game. Odds strongly favor UCF reflecting their home status and perceived stronger roster.
  • Both teams are motivated by recent wins over a common opponent (Pitt). UCF wants to continue their winning streak and climb national rankings, while Quinnipiac is motivated by the chance to prove themselves against a Power Five conference team on their home floor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline quinnipiac_bobcats: 760, ucf_knights: -1250 UCF Knights win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread quinnipiac_bobcats: +13.5 -110, ucf_knights: -13.5 -110 UCF Knights cover the -13.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: 162.5 -115, under: 162.5 -105 Under 162.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCF Knights -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 162.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 162.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The UCF Knights are predicted to win, leveraging home court advantage, balanced team depth, and superior overall efficiency. Quinnipiac will keep the game competitive due to Monroe’s scoring and team cohesion but likely fall short against UCF’s defensive and offensive strength.

Predicted Score: UCF Knights 84 – Quinnipiac Bobcats 68


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UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 22, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Game Overview

The UCF Knights (4-6, 1-6 Big 12) host the struggling Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-9, 0-7 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference matchup. UCF enters as a heavy 14-point favorite with a significantly better record and home-field advantage. Oklahoma State has been one of the worst teams in the conference this season, while UCF, though inconsistent, has shown more competitive capability. This presents a classic scenario where the favorite is heavily favored, and the question becomes whether the spread accurately reflects the talent gap or if there's value in the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCF has compiled a 4-6 overall record with a 1-6 conference record, showing inconsistency but maintaining a competitive baseline. At home, UCF shows modest performance with a 3-3 home record. Oklahoma State's 1-9 record with 0-7 in Big 12 play represents one of the season's worst performances in college football. The Cowboys have struggled on both sides of the ball, having lost nine games already with only one victory. UCF's offensive output averages 31.9 points per game overall, 31.7 at home, while Oklahoma State has demonstrated severe offensive limitations evidenced by their inability to secure conference wins.
  • Limited specific historical matchup data is provided in the available search results. However, this is a Big 12 conference rivalry matchup where UCF has shown relative strength compared to Oklahoma State's dismal season. UCF's position as a 14-point favorite suggests substantial historical or recent advantage in this series.
  • No injury information is available in the provided search results. This represents a significant gap in analysis, as injuries to key players could substantially affect the spread's accuracy.
  • Weather conditions show favorable conditions with 82Β°F and 0% rain probability, eliminating weather as a significant variable. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, ensuring media availability. UCF plays at home in Orlando, providing conventional home-field advantage. The time slot (4:00 PM ET on Saturday) is a standard college football window.
  • Oklahoma State has minimal motivation in terms of postseason implications with only one win and zero conference victories, suggesting potential emotional flatness. UCF, while also struggling, maintains a winning record and could still pursue bowl eligibility improvements with strong finishes. UCF's home crowd could provide tangible motivation advantage. Oklahoma State may play with desperation to avoid winless conference season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCF -670 / Oklahoma State +490 UCF Knights β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread UCF -14.5 (-110) / Oklahoma State +14.5 (-122) UCF -14.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-110) / Under 48.5 (-110) Over 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCF Knights -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UCF is favored to win this matchup decisively. The 14-point spread reflects UCF's substantial superiority in win-loss record and conference performance. However, the significant favorite status suggests potential value exists if Oklahoma State can avoid a blowout. UCF should control the game through superior talent and home advantage, though betting the full spread requires confidence in UCF's ability to completely dominate a struggling team. The moneyline heavily favors UCF at -670 odds.

Predicted Score: UCF 31, Oklahoma State 17 (UCF wins by 14)


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UCF Knights vs. Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Pittsburgh Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Ocean Center, Daytona Beach, FL

Game Overview

The UCF Knights will host the Pittsburgh Panthers in a tightly matched NCAA basketball game. Both teams enter the game with 4-1 records and similar recent performances. The Panthers are slight favorites by 1.5 points on the spread, with the over/under set near 153.5 points, indicating a moderately paced game expected by bookmakers. UCF has shown strong form at home with a three-game winning streak, while Pittsburgh enters with an undefeated home record but a recent loss away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCF has a slight offensive edge, averaging 445 points for and 400 points allowed over their last five games, with a 3-1 home record and a three-game winning streak. Pittsburgh's defense looks strong, allowing 306 points over the same span, although their offense is a bit lower at 363 points scored. Both teams are 4-1 overall, but Pittsburgh is perfect at home (4-0) and winless away (0-1).
  • No specific head-to-head data available for recent matchups between UCF and Pittsburgh, but current competitive parity is suggested by near-equal odds and recent similar records.
  • No reported significant injuries for either team that would majorly impact this game according to available sources.
  • The game is at a neutral/neutral-site venue (Ocean Center, Daytona Beach) rather than UCF's usual home court, which may slightly reduce home advantage. Weather factors are not relevant for indoor college basketball.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to maintain their winning records early in the season; UCF seeks to extend a winning streak and capitalize on home-region advantage, while Pittsburgh aims to assert dominance away from home and maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pittsburgh Panthers: -125, UCF Knights: 104 UCF Knights to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Pittsburgh Panthers: -1.5 -104, UCF Knights: +1.5 -118 UCF Knights +1.5 covers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: 153.5 -110, Under: 153.5 -110 Under 153.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCF Knights 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 153.5 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: UCF Knights at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given UCF's recent form and value identified in their moneyline odds, they are predicted to win a close game against Pittsburgh. The spread also favors UCF covering +1.5 points. The total points expected are slightly under 154, with defense being a strong factor for Pittsburgh.

Predicted Score: UCF Knights 77 – Pittsburgh Panthers 75


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UCF Knights vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 17, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL

Game Overview

The UCF Knights (3-1) host the struggling Oakland Golden Grizzlies (1-3) in a matchup that heavily favors the home team. UCF is riding a two-game winning streak with strong offensive output, averaging 89.5 points per game this season. Oakland has won only one of their first four games and will need to significantly improve their defensive performance to compete against the Knights' hot offense. This game presents UCF with an opportunity to extend their winning streak to three games while Oakland desperately seeks a turnaround.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCF has started the season strongly with a 3-1 record at home. In their most recent game, they defeated Texas A&M 86-74 with Jordan Burks contributing 21 points. Riley Kugel leads the Knights with 18.0 points per game and a 48.2% field goal percentage. Oakland enters with a 1-3 record and significant offensive and defensive inconsistencies. While they recently dominated Defiance 113-47 with Brett White II scoring 18 points, they have struggled in competitive matchups. Isaac Garrett is Oakland's leading scorer at 16.7 points per game.
  • No direct head-to-head historical data is available in the current search results for these two programs this season.
  • No specific injury reports are mentioned in the available data for either team.
  • This is a home game for UCF, which provides a significant advantage. The Knights are playing with momentum from consecutive wins, while Oakland is seeking consistency. Historical data shows that in games where the home team is favored by 14-16 points, the favorite wins approximately 91.2% of the time.
  • UCF is motivated to continue their hot start and extend their winning streak at home. Oakland is desperate to turn their season around and avoid falling to 1-4, creating urgency on their end, though they remain heavy underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCF -880 / Oakland +580 UCF Knights Moneyline β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 89%
Spread UCF -11.5 (-120) / Oakland +11.5 (-102) UCF Knights -11.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76%
Over/under Over 161.5 (-108) / Under 161.5 (-112) Under 161.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCF Knights 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 161.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: UCF Knights at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UCF Knights are heavily favored to win this matchup. The combination of home-court advantage, superior team performance, recent momentum, and statistical history strongly suggests a UCF victory. Oakland's defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent play make them unlikely to keep pace with UCF's offensive efficiency.

Predicted Score: UCF Knights 82, Oakland Golden Grizzlies 64


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3 Pick Parlay for Basketball – November 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Bucknell Bison Prediction Over 143.5 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Pennsylvania Quakers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks Prediction Saint Joseph's Hawks Win -265 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
UCF Knights vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies Prediction UCF Knights -11.5 -120 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76% (76%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +372

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $94.42

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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knights Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs UCF Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

The No. 8 ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-1 overall, 6-1 Big 12) host the UCF Knights (4-5 overall, 1-5 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Texas Tech enters as a dominant 23.5-point favorite with a strong offensive attack ranking 18th nationally in passing yards, while UCF's defense ranks 13th in passing defense. This represents a significant mismatch between a conference contender and a struggling Group of Five program that has won just one Big 12 game. The Red Raiders are seeking to maintain their position atop the Big 12 standings as they approach the conference championship.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech has established itself as one of the Big 12's elite programs with a 9-1 record and is ranked No. 8 nationally. The Red Raiders rank 18th in college football for passing yards and maintain a strong overall offensive profile. UCF, conversely, is struggling significantly in Big 12 play with a 1-5 conference record despite starting the season as a Group of Five school. The Knights have been outmatched in their Big 12 transition, averaging 31.3 points overall but only 30.7 points in away games where they are 1-2.
  • No historical head-to-head data is available as this represents UCF's first season in the Big 12 conference and their first matchup against Texas Tech. Both teams are meeting for the first time in recent history.
  • No specific injury information is currently available from official injury reports for either team as of November 13, 2025.
  • Weather conditions in Lubbock are forecasted at 86Β°F with 0% chance of rain and minimal wind, creating ideal playing conditions favoring an established home team like Texas Tech. The game will be broadcast on FOX, ensuring maximum viewership. This is a late-season matchup with conference championship implications for Texas Tech but represents a must-win scenario for UCF to salvage their Big 12 inaugural season.
  • Texas Tech is motivated to maintain their conference-leading position and strengthen their College Football Playoff credentials heading into the final three weeks of the regular season. UCF faces desperation in their first Big 12 season, currently sitting at 1-5 in conference play. However, the stark disparity in resources, recruiting, and program quality heavily favors the established Power Conference program.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech: -3500 | UCF: +1400 Texas Tech Red Raiders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 97%
Spread Texas Tech: -23.5 (-120) | UCF: +23.5 (-102) Texas Tech -23.5 COVER β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over: 47.5 (-115) | Under: 47.5 (-105) UNDER 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech is overwhelming favorites to secure a dominant victory. The Red Raiders possess superior talent, experience in conference play, home-field advantage, and are facing a UCF program struggling in their Big 12 transition. Texas Tech should control this game from start to finish, with the primary question being margin of victory rather than outcome. Expect the Red Raiders to establish their passing game early and maintain pressure throughout.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech 38, UCF 14 (Final Score: 38-14)


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Texas A&M Aggies vs. UCF Knights Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs UCF Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Reed Arena, College Station

Game Overview

Texas A&M Aggies host UCF Knights in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter with 2-1 records, but Texas A&M has the edge at home, while UCF has shown strong offensive form. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams averaging over 80 points per game and defenses struggling to contain opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas A&M is 2-1, 2-0 at home, but suffered a 24-point loss to Oklahoma State, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. UCF is 2-1, 1-2 ATS, with a strong offensive showing, including a 97-point win over Florida A&M and 93 points against SEC opponent Vanderbilt. UCF leads in field goal efficiency and three-point shooting (53.6%), while Texas A&M ranks 170th in three-point defense. Both teams have shaky defenses, but UCF's offense is more consistent.
  • UCF won the previous meeting last season. Both teams have split recent matchups, but UCF has shown the ability to compete with and beat Texas A&M in recent years.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • Texas A&M has home-court advantage at Reed Arena, which can boost energy and crowd support. UCF is playing away, but has shown resilience on the road. The game is early in the season, so both teams are still developing chemistry.
  • Texas A&M is looking to bounce back from a poor loss to Oklahoma State and prove they can compete with strong non-conference opponents. UCF is aiming to build momentum and prove they can win on the road against a Power 5 team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas A&M Aggies: -800, UCF Knights: 540 Texas A&M Aggies Not available
Spread Texas A&M Aggies: -11.5, UCF Knights: 11.5 UCF Knights +11.5 Not available
Over/under Over: 170.5, Under: 170.5 Over 170.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas A&M Aggies 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 170.5 32%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 170.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UCF is expected to keep the game close, but Texas A&M's home advantage and slightly better overall record give them a slight edge. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams' defenses struggling to contain each other. UCF's strong offense and three-point shooting could be the difference, but Texas A&M's home crowd and recent home wins make them the favorite.

Predicted Score: Texas A&M Aggies 88, UCF Knights 84


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UCF Knights vs. Florida A&M Rattlers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Florida A&M Rattlers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL

Game Overview

The UCF Knights host the Florida A&M Rattlers in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. UCF enters the game with a 1-1 record, coming off a loss to Vanderbilt, while Florida A&M is 0-2, having lost to South Florida and Kennesaw State. The game is expected to be a showcase of UCF's superior depth and athleticism against a struggling Florida A&M squad.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCF Knights have shown flashes of strong offensive play, averaging 82 points per game, but struggled defensively against Vanderbilt. Florida A&M has been outscored by an average of 25 points per game, with poor shooting efficiency and rebounding. UCF ranks higher in field goal percentage and rebounding, while Florida A&M has struggled with turnovers and defensive consistency.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups are limited, but UCF has dominated previous meetings, with a significant advantage in scoring and efficiency. No recent upsets or close games have been recorded.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their full rosters.
  • UCF is playing at home, which provides a significant advantage in terms of crowd support and familiarity with the arena. Florida A&M is on a two-game losing streak and has struggled on the road.
  • UCF is looking to bounce back from a loss and establish momentum early in the season. Florida A&M is seeking its first win and will be motivated to avoid a 0-3 start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Florida A&M Rattlers: 1800, UCF Knights: -8000 UCF Knights β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Florida A&M Rattlers: 24.5 -114, UCF Knights: -24.5 -105 UCF Knights -24.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under over: 167.5 -118, under: 167.5 -106 Over 167.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCF Knights 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 167.5 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 167.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UCF Knights are heavily favored to win this game, with a strong likelihood of covering the spread. The game is expected to be a blowout, with UCF's superior depth and home-court advantage playing a decisive role.

Predicted Score: UCF Knights 88 – 65 Florida A&M Rattlers


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UCF Knights vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Vanderbilt Commodores – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Home venue of UCF Knights

Game Overview

The matchup features the UCF Knights hosting the Vanderbilt Commodores in an early season NCAA basketball game. Both teams opened their seasons with victories: Vanderbilt dominated Lipscomb 105-61, while UCF won a closer game 82-78 over Hofstra. Vanderbilt is the favorite with strong offensive numbers, averaging 105 points per game compared to UCF's 82, but UCF has the home advantage and a competitive Big 12 pedigree against Vanderbilt's SEC background.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderbilt shows high scoring ability with 105 PPG on 35 rebounds and strong assists (23), whereas UCF averages 82 PPG with balanced team play. Vanderbilt has had a dominant opening win margin and looks to maintain momentum under 2nd-year coach Mark Byington. UCF won closely but missed to cover a spread in their opener, showing competitiveness but less offensive firepower.
  • Recent direct H2H data is limited, but Vanderbilt has historical SEC strength and UCF competes in the Big 12, suggesting closely matched conferences. Both teams carry 1-0 records at the season's start and are likely evenly motivated.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team prior to the matchup.
  • The game is played at UCF’s home venue, giving the Knights a home court advantage. Vanderbilt is favored by bookmakers due to stronger prior performance, but travel and adjustment factors could influence.
  • Both teams are 1-0 and looking to establish early season momentum. Vanderbilt seeks to build on a dominant opening, while UCF aims to prove competitiveness at home against a traditionally stronger SEC opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCF Knights: 275, Vanderbilt Commodores: -350 Vanderbilt Commodores to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread UCF Knights: +7.5 -114, Vanderbilt Commodores: -7.5 -106 Vanderbilt to cover -7.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: 166.5 -110, under: 166.5 -110 Under 166.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vanderbilt Commodores -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 166.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 166.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderbilt Commodores are favored to win by approximately 7-8 points in this game due to their high offensive output and stronger showing in the opener. The game is expected to be competitive with Vanderbilt covering the spread but UCF keeping it close.

Predicted Score: Vanderbilt Commodores 82 – 75 UCF Knights


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UCF Knights vs. Houston Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Houston Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Game Overview

The Houston Cougars (7-2, 4-2 Big 12) visit the UCF Knights (4-4, 1-4 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Houston is favored by 1.5 points with a total over/under set at 47.5 points. Houston comes off a loss to West Virginia, while UCF recently suffered a heavy defeat against Baylor.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston has demonstrated a strong balance on offense with averages of 222 passing yards and 161 rushing yards per game and a solid defensive record allowing 21.6 points per game overall. UCF has struggled with a 4-4 record and recent poor performance reflected in a 30-3 loss, indicating offensive and defensive challenges.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Houston's higher overall and conference record (7-2 vs 4-4) and national ranking (No. 22) suggest they have the upper hand historically and this season.
  • No specific injury reports are available from current data sources for either team, implying rosters are likely close to full strength.
  • The game is played at UCF’s home stadium, which could provide a home-field advantage. Weather and other conditions are not reported as a factor currently.
  • Houston, ranked 22nd and with a stronger record, are likely motivated to maintain bowl eligibility and improve conference standing. UCF will be eager to bounce back from recent losses and improve their Big 12 record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Cougars: -118, UCF Knights: -102 Houston Cougars β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Houston Cougars: -1.5 (-110), UCF Knights: +1.5 (-110) Houston Cougars -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -108, Under: 47.5 -112 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Cougars -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Cougars win narrowly, covering the 1.5-point spread given their season consistency and recent defensive resilience. The total points will likely stay around or slightly under the 47.5 line owing to both teams' recent defensive performances and offensive struggles from UCF.

Predicted Score: Houston Cougars 27 – UCF Knights 23


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