Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 17, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
Game Overview
The UCF Knights (3-1) host the struggling Oakland Golden Grizzlies (1-3) in a matchup that heavily favors the home team. UCF is riding a two-game winning streak with strong offensive output, averaging 89.5 points per game this season. Oakland has won only one of their first four games and will need to significantly improve their defensive performance to compete against the Knights' hot offense. This game presents UCF with an opportunity to extend their winning streak to three games while Oakland desperately seeks a turnaround.
Key Factors to Consider
- UCF has started the season strongly with a 3-1 record at home. In their most recent game, they defeated Texas A&M 86-74 with Jordan Burks contributing 21 points. Riley Kugel leads the Knights with 18.0 points per game and a 48.2% field goal percentage. Oakland enters with a 1-3 record and significant offensive and defensive inconsistencies. While they recently dominated Defiance 113-47 with Brett White II scoring 18 points, they have struggled in competitive matchups. Isaac Garrett is Oakland's leading scorer at 16.7 points per game.
- No direct head-to-head historical data is available in the current search results for these two programs this season.
- No specific injury reports are mentioned in the available data for either team.
- This is a home game for UCF, which provides a significant advantage. The Knights are playing with momentum from consecutive wins, while Oakland is seeking consistency. Historical data shows that in games where the home team is favored by 14-16 points, the favorite wins approximately 91.2% of the time.
- UCF is motivated to continue their hot start and extend their winning streak at home. Oakland is desperate to turn their season around and avoid falling to 1-4, creating urgency on their end, though they remain heavy underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UCF -880 / Oakland +580 | UCF Knights Moneyline | β β β β β 89% |
| Spread | UCF -11.5 (-120) / Oakland +11.5 (-102) | UCF Knights -11.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 161.5 (-108) / Under 161.5 (-112) | Under 161.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UCF Knights 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 161.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: UCF Knights at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UCF Knights are heavily favored to win this matchup. The combination of home-court advantage, superior team performance, recent momentum, and statistical history strongly suggests a UCF victory. Oakland's defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent play make them unlikely to keep pace with UCF's offensive efficiency.
Predicted Score: UCF Knights 82, Oakland Golden Grizzlies 64