Match Analysis: Pennsylvania Quakers vs Saint Joseph's Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: The Palestra, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Game Overview
The NCAA basketball game between Pennsylvania Quakers and Saint Joseph's Hawks features two teams with contrasting early season performances. Saint Joseph's Hawks hold a 2-1 record while Pennsylvania Quakers are 1-2. The game will be played at Pennsylvania's home court, The Palestra, offering a home advantage to Penn. Saint Joseph's comes off a more recent win and stronger momentum, while Penn has struggled with consecutive losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saint Joseph's has demonstrated stronger offensive production and better recent form, winning two of three games including a decisive 86-69 win over Lafayette. Pennsylvania has had difficulty, with two losses including a recent 106-81 defeat at Providence. Saint Joseph's averages approximately 73.3 points per game and obtains more rebounds and assists, indicating a well-rounded team effort compared to Penn's lower offensive output.
- Historically, the matchups between these two Philadelphia-based rivals have been competitive, but up-to-date exact head-to-head results for the 2025 season are limited. Current odds and performance trends favor Saint Joseph's due to better recent results and experience in comparable contests.
- There is no specific information available regarding injuries affecting either team for this game. Both teams are assumed to be near full strength.
- Playing at The Palestra gives Pennsylvania a familiar environment and fan support, which could help mitigate their recent form struggles. Weather and travel are not issues, as both teams are local to Philadelphia.
- Saint Joseph's motivation is high with a better record and recent winning momentum. Pennsylvania is motivated to rebound from their early losses and defend their home court, adding an emotional edge to this traditional local rivalry.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pennsylvania Quakers: +215, Saint Joseph's Hawks: -265 | Saint Joseph's Hawks | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Pennsylvania Quakers: 5.5 -110, Saint Joseph's Hawks: -5.5 -110 | Saint Joseph's Hawks to cover -5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 163.5 -115, Under: 163.5 -105 | Over 163.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Joseph's Hawks -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 163.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 163.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawks are favored to win due to stronger recent play, favorable odds, and comprehensive team statistics, despite Penn's home advantage. The Hawks should cover the spread and push moderately high scoring in this matchup.
Predicted Score: Saint Joseph's Hawks 86 – Pennsylvania Quakers 78