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Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tondela Home Stadium

Game Overview

A closely contested Liga Portugal fixture where mid-table Vitória SC face bottom-placed Tondela at their home ground. Vitória SC have a slight recent form edge but Tondela show strong home scoring tendencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC sit higher in the table (8th-10th) with mixed away form (40% win rate) while Tondela are struggling near relegation (17th) but have strong home attacking output with 70% of home matches over 2.5 goals. Both teams concede regularly, suggesting open play.
  • Historically, Vitória SC hold a lead with 8 wins to Tondela's 5 in their last 16 encounters. Matches tend to be competitive with moderate scoring averages.
  • No specific injury reports available which could significantly impact starting lineups, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • No notable external factors such as extreme weather or travel fatigue reported. Match at Tondela's home grounds favors the hosts' attacking style.
  • Tondela face relegation danger motivating strong home performance; Vitória SC seek to distance themselves from mid-table, incentivizing a positive result on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: +174, Vitória SC: +166, Draw: +212 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Tondela: -105, Vitória SC: -115 Vitória SC 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: +108, Under 2.25: -128 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Vila das Aves

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD faces Tondela in a Primeira Liga clash with both teams struggling for consistency. AVS is winless in their last five matches, while Tondela has shown modest improvement but remains vulnerable. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with both sides lacking attacking firepower and defensive solidity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD has lost five consecutive matches across all competitions, indicating poor form and low confidence. Tondela has won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Both teams have struggled to score and have conceded regularly.
  • Recent H2H data is limited, but previous encounters suggest closely contested matches with low scoring. Neither team has dominated the other recently.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, but both squads have depth issues, especially in attacking positions.
  • AVS is at home, but their home form is poor. Tondela travels with a compact squad and may be fatigued from recent fixtures. Weather is expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
  • Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, adding pressure. AVS needs a win to boost morale, while Tondela seeks to consolidate their position above the drop zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 210, away: 134, draw: 215 Tondela ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -122, away: 102 Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tondela to win or draw is the highest EV play, but for a single outcome, Tondela is favored due to better recent form and AVS's poor run.

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0-1 Tondela


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Tondela vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, currently 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 19 points, hosts struggling Tondela who sit 17th with 5 points. Sporting has a strong away record this season, while Tondela has been poor at home and overall. The quality gap and form clearly favor Sporting Lisbon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon maintains a high win rate (around 66% in recent away matches), showcasing consistent attacking and defensive solidity, whereas Tondela has managed only 2 wins out of 16 historical meetings and currently endures poor form at home with no recent wins.
  • Out of 16 matches between them, Sporting has won 11 (69%), Tondela 2 (13%), with 3 draws (18%), indicating a clear historical dominance by Sporting Lisbon.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect expected performance.
  • No known external or weather factors impacting the match. The game is at Tondela's home ground but their weak home performance limits home advantage effect.
  • Sporting Lisbon aims to consolidate their position near the top of the league and is motivated by strong title contention, whereas Tondela faces relegation danger and will be desperate to gain points but lacks quality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +875, draw: +500, away: -390 away ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread sporting_minus_1.75: -102, tondela_plus_1.75: -118 sporting -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_3: -118, under_3: -102 under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 631%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sporting Lisbon at 631% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon will win comfortably, keeping a clean sheet, in a low-scoring game under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Santa Clara vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Miguel

Game Overview

Santa Clara faces Tondela in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, with Santa Clara currently mid-table and in relatively good form, whereas Tondela struggles at the bottom of the table with two points from six matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara is in 9th place with 8 points (2W, 2D, 2L), showing better form including a recent 2-1 win over FC Alverca. Tondela is 17th with just 2 points, suffering from poor offense with only 2 goals scored and 10 conceded, and winless in five matches.
  • Recent encounters favor Santa Clara, who have the stronger squad and home advantage. No evidence of Tondela overpowering Santa Clara in recent matches.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side that would materially affect starting lineups or tactical setup.
  • The match takes place at Santa Clara’s home stadium, which historically supports them well. No unusual weather or situational factors reported.
  • Santa Clara motivated to climb the table after mixed results; Tondela under pressure to escape relegation zone but struggling to convert chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara -145, Tondela +450, Draw +245 Santa Clara ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Santa Clara -0.75 -108, Tondela +75 -112 Santa Clara -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, and under 2 goals total scored.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Estoril vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Sporting Lisbon Win -310 ★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Lorient vs. AS Monaco Prediction AS Monaco Win -168 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Santa Clara vs. Tondela Prediction Santa Clara Win -145 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +256

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $71.3

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Tondela vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso

Game Overview

Tondela, desperate for points and playing at home, face Estrela Amadora who arrive as slight underdogs with some defensive resilience but poor away form. Both teams have struggled offensively and have a history of low-scoring, tightly contested matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela have yet to win this season, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 10 in 5 matches, showing offensive struggles and defensive weaknesses. Estrela Amadora have a poor away record losing 7 of last 8, but tend to defend more reliably on road.
  • Only two previous official matches, both drawn 0-0, indicating a balanced matchup with low scoring tendencies.
  • No specific injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, lineups expected as predicted.
  • Match played at Tondela’s home ground, Estádio João Cardoso, where they have yet to win this season, adding pressure to perform in front of home fans.
  • Tondela's urgent need to avoid relegation and break winless streak strongly motivates them, while Estrela have moderate motivation but poor away results suggest difficulty capitalizing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: +121, Estrela: +250, Draw: +205 Tondela ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Tondela -0.25: -112, Estrela +25: -108 Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -110, Under 2 goals: -110 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tondela to win on moneyline, Tondela -0.25 on spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Centro de Formação do FC Alverca

Game Overview

Alverca and Tondela both come into this match struggling at the bottom of the Portugal Primeira Liga table, each with only 1 point from 4 matches. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring records, setting up a tense and close encounter with high likelihood of a low-scoring draw or narrow win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have struggled to gain points and score goals this season, with Alverca sitting 16th and Tondela last at 18th place, each only scoring 2 or 3 goals in 4 games.
  • Recent meetings have often resulted in draws and both teams to score outcomes; last season their two encounters both saw goals from both sides.
  • No significant injury news available indicating key absences; both squads appear near full strength.
  • The match is at Alverca's home ground, which may provide a slight edge, but both teams have shown weak form regardless of venue.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a first win to avoid early relegation zone struggles, likely leading to cautious but competitive play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: 148, Away: 193, Draw: 215 Draw ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Alverca 0: -130, Tondela 0: 110 Alverca 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Ipswich Town vs. Sheffield United Prediction Ipswich Town -124 160%
Benfica vs. Santa Clara Prediction Over 2.75 -105 33%
Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Alverca 148 26%

Combined Odds: +775 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $174.93

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Sevilla vs. Elche CF Prediction Sevilla Win -101 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Marseille vs. Lorient Prediction Marseille Win -290 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Draw Win 215 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +743

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $168.61

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Tondela vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tondela Home Stadium

Game Overview

Tondela hosts Estoril in a crucial early-season Primeira Liga fixture. Tondela has struggled significantly, remaining pointless with no goals scored so far, while Estoril holds a slight upper hand being positioned a few places above them and showing better form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela is bottom of the league with zero points and no goals scored in three matches, highlighting offensive struggles and poor form. Estoril has had mixed performances but clearly shows more resilience and scoring capability.
  • Recent H2H data is limited but Estoril is favored against Tondela historically and given the current form differential, Estoril likely holds an advantage.
  • No major injury information available, indicating both sides have reasonably full squads.
  • Playing at home benefits Tondela, but their poor form likely offsets this advantage. No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve early in the season; Tondela to avoid a disastrous start, Estoril to consolidate mid-table safety.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 195, away: 148, draw: 210 Estoril ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Estoril: -132, Tondela: 111 Estoril (0 spread) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Estoril at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estoril to win on the moneyline with Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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