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Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela

Game Overview

This Primeira Liga match features Tondela hosting Vitória SC. Tondela currently displays weaker form with no wins in their last three matches, while Vitória SC has mixed form with only one away win in recent games. Historically, Vitória SC holds a better head-to-head record but both teams have shown competitive encounters. The match is expected to be tightly contested with modest goal scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela has lost all their last three league matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.9 per game at home. Vitória SC shows mixed form with only one away win recently and averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Both teams have struggled offensively but Vitória SC tends to have a slightly stronger defense.
  • In 18 past meetings, Vitória SC leads with 9 wins to Tondela's 6, with 3 draws. Vitória SC averages 1.44 goals per game compared to Tondela's 0.94. Tondela has managed some wins historically at home but Vitória SC generally outperforms in overall H2H stats.
  • No explicit injury information is available from the current data, indicating no major absences reported for either team ahead of the fixture.
  • The match will be played at Tondela’s home ground. Weather or other conditions are not specified. Motivation might be influenced by league standings as Vitória SC is mid-table, whereas Tondela struggles near the bottom.
  • Vitória SC, sitting in 11th place, will aim to improve away results to climb the table; Tondela, with a longer winless run, will be motivated to secure points at home to avoid slipping further.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: 1.88, Vitória SC: 1.51, Draw: 2.15 Vitória SC win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Tondela: 1.08, Vitória SC: 1.28 Vitória SC 0 spread (pick'em line) favor ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 goals: 1.02, Under 2.25 goals: 1.18 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering form, head-to-head, and current odds, Vitória SC is favored for a narrow away win or draw, while Tondela’s home advantage and historical competitiveness play a role. A low-scoring game with Vitória SC edging out or a draw is most probable.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – November 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – November 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sevilla vs. CA Osasuna Prediction Sevilla 114 37%
Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Alverca 149 32%
Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Vitória SC 151 26%

Combined Odds: +1237 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $267.5

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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD hosts Tondela in a Portugal Primeira Liga fixture. AVS Futebol SAD is struggling with a five-match losing streak across all competitions, while Tondela has a more stable recent form with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games. Historically, Tondela has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning the last 3 matches against AVS Futebol SAD. The match promises a competitive battle with Tondela having a psychological edge due to recent head-to-head success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD has lost their last 5 matches, scoring 0.6 goals per match and conceding 3.2 goals per match, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Tondela has scored 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 games, indicating relatively better defensive organization and attack.
  • In the recent head-to-head, Tondela leads with 3 wins to AVS' 1 win. Total goals in these fixtures favor Tondela (6 goals to AVS's 2). Tondela has won all last 3 head-to-head matches and holds a 100% Asian Handicap win rate historically against AVS.
  • No explicit injury data is available from current search results, suggesting no major reported injuries for either side affecting this match significantly.
  • The home venue Estadio do CD das Aves might offer AVS some advantage despite their poor form. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported to be impactful. Motivation could be influenced by AVS's need to break their losing streak versus Tondela's confidence from recent victories.
  • AVS Futebol SAD will be highly motivated to end their losing streak at home, possibly increasing their attacking efforts. Tondela aims to maintain their dominance and exploit AVS's form issues to secure three points and improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 210, away: 134, draw: 215 Tondela win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -122 (AVS +25), away: 102 (Tondela -0.25) Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -112 (Over 2.25 goals), under: -108 (Under 2.25 goals) Over 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering current form, head-to-head dominance, and betting odds, Tondela is favored to win, but AVS Futebol SAD might avoid a heavy defeat given home advantage and motivation to end their losing streak.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Tondela vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela, Portugal

Game Overview

Tondela, sitting 17th in Liga Portugal (Primeira Liga), hosts Sporting CP, who are flying high in 2nd place. Sporting has been in impressive form, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Tondela has lost half of their last 6 and is struggling for consistency[1][3]. Sporting has a clear edge in quality, recent results, and historical head-to-head dominance, having won their last 7 encounters and 11 of 16 since 2015[4][5]. Tondela’s task is compounded by their home form—they have yet to win at the João Cardoso this season—while Sporting remains undefeated in 28 of their last 29 league matches[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela averages just 0.5 goals scored per match and concedes 1.75, reflecting a struggling attack and vulnerable defense. Sporting, by contrast, averages 2.5 goals scored and allows just 0.63 per game, highlighting their attacking potency and defensive stability[1]. Sporting has kept 4 clean sheets in recent fixtures, while Tondela has managed only 1[1].
  • Sporting leads the head-to-head with 11 wins to Tondela’s 2 in 16 meetings (11-2-3); Sporting has won the last 7 consecutively, including all recent fixtures in both home and away settings[4][5].
  • No explicit injury updates are provided in the data, but Tondela’s squad depth is generally weaker than Sporting’s, making injuries potentially more impactful for the home side.
  • The match is part of a critical phase of the season, with Sporting chasing Champions League qualification and every point counting for Tondela to avoid relegation. The venue, Estádio João Cardoso, is a modest ground but not typically a fortress for Tondela, who have yet to win there this season[1].
  • Sporting will be highly motivated to continue their title challenge, while Tondela is desperate for points but may lack the firepower to trouble a top-tier defense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: 875, Draw: 500, Sporting Lisbon: -390 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -1.75 -102, Tondela: 1.75 -118 Sporting Lisbon -1.75 (covers the spread) ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 3 -120, Under: 3 100 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting CP is a strong favorite to win, with a high probability of covering the spread and a likelihood of a higher-scoring game. Tondela’s poor home form and scoring woes suggest they are unlikely to trouble Sporting’s defense. However, Sporting’s superior quality, recent form, and historical dominance make them a clear pick.

Predicted Score: 0-3 (Sporting Lisbon win and cover the spread, over 3 goals cashes at 65% confidence)


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Santa Clara vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

Santa Clara and Tondela face off in the Portuguese Primeira Liga at Estádio de São Miguel. Santa Clara enters as favorites with stronger home odds, while Tondela is the underdog. Both teams have shown mixed form in the league's early matches. The match is expected to be competitive with tactical play and moderately balanced chances for goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has been performing moderately well at home in the current season, showing a slightly better winning record and goal difference than Tondela, who struggles more on the road. Both teams have had a mix of wins, draws, and losses over the past 5 to 10 games, but Santa Clara's home advantage is notable.
  • Historically, Santa Clara and Tondela have had closely contested matches in the Primeira Liga. Recent head-to-head results lean slightly in favor of Santa Clara, especially at home, where they have secured more points. Goal scoring in these encounters tends to be modest, with few games exceeding 2 goals total.
  • No specific injury updates are available from the provided data, suggesting no major player absences impacting either side significantly ahead of this game.
  • The match conditions at Estádio de São Miguel can favor Santa Clara with familiar pitch and local fan support. No major weather or external disruptions have been reported. The kickoff at 14:30 UTC allows for normal playing conditions without fatigue from previous match congestion.
  • Santa Clara will be motivated to capitalize on their home form to secure vital points early in the season. Tondela, as underdogs, will seek to upset the home team and improve their standings, possibly playing a cautious counter-attacking strategy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: -145, Tondela: 450, Draw: 245 Santa Clara win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Santa Clara: -0.75 -108, Tondela: +75 -112 Santa Clara -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Santa Clara at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara predicted to win with a modest margin due to home advantage and stronger form. Expect a tightly contested match but with Santa Clara edging to a 2-1 victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Tondela vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela, Portugal

Game Overview

Tondela and CF Estrela face off in a key Portuguese Primeira Liga match. Both teams are struggling to find form early in the season with Tondela winless in five games and Estrela also performing below expectations. Both sides desperately seek a win to climb out of the lower positions and gain confidence. The encounter is expected to be tight given their recent history and similar league struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela has lost four and drawn one of their first five matches, scoring only 2 goals while conceding 10, highlighting offensive struggles but moderate defensive frailty at home. Estrela Amadora has a somewhat better defensive record on the road but is not in top form, recently losing 2-0 at home and showing low attacking output.
  • The two teams have met just twice officially, both in the Segunda Liga with two draws (0-0 most recently in Feb 2023). Their contests are typically low-scoring and closely matched, with neither side showing clear dominance.
  • Specific injury details are not available from the current data sources, but no major absences have been reported that would heavily impact the lineups for this match.
  • Playing at Estádio João Cardoso gives Tondela the home advantage, though their poor recent form may diminish this edge. Weather and pitch conditions are not noted as significant factors.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to secure a win after poor starts in the league to avoid relegation threats and lift team morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela: 250, Tondela: 121, Draw: 205 Tondela ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread CF Estrela +25: -108, Tondela -0.25: -112 Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -110, Under 2: -110 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A close, low-scoring match is expected with a slight edge to Tondela due to home advantage and desperate need for three points. The likely outcome is a narrow Tondela win or a draw with limited scoring.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo, Portugal

Game Overview

The match is a Liga Portugal Primeira Liga fixture between Alverca, ranked 16th, and Tondela, ranked 18th. Both teams have struggled defensively this season, conceding 9 goals each in 4 matches. The game is expected to be closely contested with poor defensive records indicating potential for multiple goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca has scored 4 goals and conceded 9 in 4 games, while Tondela scored 2 and also conceded 9 in their 4 games. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet. Alverca has 11 shots on goal compared to Tondela's 15, showing slight attacking edge for Tondela but defensive frailties for both.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have seen both teams scoring, with 'both teams to score' landing in the pair's last two meetings. The teams have been evenly matched historically with no clear dominance.
  • No specific injury information available from search data, implying no major absences known at this time.
  • The match will be played at Alverca’s home ground, providing them slight home advantage. There are no noted weather or external disruptions affecting the game.
  • Both teams are near the relegation zone (Alverca 16th, Tondela 18th) and will be motivated to secure points early in the season to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 1.48, Tondela: 1.93, Draw: 2.15 Alverca Win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Alverca: -0.5 at -130, Tondela: +50 at 110 Alverca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 54%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the similar poor defensive records, balanced head-to-head results, and home advantage, the prediction favors a narrow home win or a draw with goals from both sides.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Alverca 148 54%
Benfica vs. Santa Clara Prediction Over 2.75 -105 27%
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction Bayer Leverkusen 128 18%

Combined Odds: +1004 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $220.79

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Tondela vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela, Portugal

Game Overview

Tondela and Estoril will face off in the Portuguese Primeira Liga at Estádio João Cardoso. Both teams have had slow starts to the season; Tondela has lost their first three league games without scoring any points, while Estoril has one draw and one loss, totalling one point. The match is crucial for Tondela to gain their first points and for Estoril to push for better positioning early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela is struggling with no wins and zero points so far, showing difficulties in scoring. Estoril is slightly better off with a draw and a loss but still no wins. Recent form favors Estoril marginally given their ability to secure a point.
  • Historically, Estoril has dominated this fixture with 8 wins out of 11 matches against Tondela, who have only 2 wins. There has been 1 draw. The average goals per match is 2.36, with about 45% of matches featuring goals from both teams. This indicates a moderately open matchup with a tendency towards Estoril success.
  • No specific injury reports provided for either team in the available data, suggesting potentially full squads or lack of major absences.
  • The match is played at Tondela’s home ground, Estádio João Cardoso, which could provide a slight home advantage. No notable external distractions or conditions reported.
  • Tondela is highly motivated as they are yet to gain points this season; they will be eager to avoid a poor start. Estoril’s motivation is moderate, aiming to improve on their early season results and capitalize on Tondela's struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estoril: 1.48, Tondela: 1.95, Draw: 2.1 Estoril to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Estoril: -132, Tondela: 111 Estoril -0 handicap ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Estoril at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering historical dominance, current form, and motivation, Estoril is the more likely winner, but Tondela’s home advantage and urgent need for points suggest a close contest. A narrow Estoril win or draw is forecasted.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Benfica vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This Primeira Liga fixture features home side Benfica facing Tondela. Benfica are historically dominant in this matchup and enter with strong away and home records, while Tondela have struggled significantly against Benfica across many meetings. Current odds heavily favor Benfica with a steep moneyline reflecting their advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica shows solid form with notable away success, having won 12 away Liga Portugal games in recent seasons. Tondela has a more inconsistent record and has managed only 4 home wins at their stadium in the league. Benfica averages 2.5 goals per game against Tondela historically, whereas Tondela averages 0.57 goals against Benfica.
  • Across 14 meetings since 2015, Benfica leads with 12 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against Tondela. Benfica has scored 35 goals compared to Tondela's 8 in these encounters. This longstanding dominance favors Benfica substantially.
  • No recent injury updates specific to this match were found in the available data; presumed no critical absences for either team at this time.
  • Scheduled at Benfica’s home ground, Estádio da Luz, providing a strong home advantage. No adverse weather or other external influences reported that could impact the match.
  • Benfica, as perennial title contenders, will be motivated to continue a strong start to the season and maintain dominance over a struggling Tondela side. Tondela may be motivated to upset but face significant historical and form disadvantages.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -725, Tondela: 1500, Draw: 700 Benfica win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica: -2 at -122, Tondela: +2 at 102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3: -118, Under 3: -102 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A commanding home victory for Benfica is expected given their superior form, historic dominance, and current odds. The prediction is for Benfica to win comfortably, likely keeping Tondela to few scoring chances.

Predicted Score: Benfica 3 – 0 Tondela


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