Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs Texas Southern Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Strahan Coliseum, San Marcos, TX

Game Overview

A matchup between Texas State Bobcats (2-2) and Texas Southern Tigers (0-3). Texas State enters with a slightly better recent form and strong home performance, while Texas Southern struggles with a significant losing streak and shooting inefficiencies.

Key Factors to Consider

• Texas State is 2-2 overall but has shown stronger offensive efficiency, averaging 78.3 points per game on 46.9% shooting. Texas Southern is 0-3, shooting 35.3% from three and 61.9% from the free throw line, indicating offensive struggles and defensive vulnerability.
• Recent history favors Texas State with the home team winning the last four games. Texas Southern has lost 25 of its last 26 games against non-Conference opponents.
• No significant injuries reported affecting either team according to available data.
• Game is played at Texas State's home arena, giving them home-court advantage. Texas State’s recent day games have been high-scoring, suggesting pace may favor the over.
• Texas State aims to improve to a winning record early in the season and maintain dominance at home. Texas Southern faces pressure to break their losing streak, but recent form suggests a motivational disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Favor Texas State Bobcats to win outright with a moderately confident spread cover. The total points likely lean towards over due to offensive tendencies of Texas State and recent high-scoring day games at the venue.

Predicted Score: Texas State Bobcats 79 – 68 Texas Southern Tigers

Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (7-2) host the Texas State Bobcats (3-6) in a Sun Belt conference matchup. Southern Miss enters with a strong record and defensive edge, while Texas State struggles, especially on defense and getting turnovers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Southern Miss holds a 7-2 record with a solid defense ranking 63rd in points allowed (24.2 per game) and an opportunistic turnover margin (forced 25, allowed 9). Texas State is 3-6, ranking near the bottom defensively (125th in points allowed at 34.8) and has struggled to force turnovers (5 forced, 13 allowed). Southern Miss also has better recent form, winning 4 of the last 5 games.
• Historically, Southern Miss has dominated Texas State, winning their last 11 home games as favorites against Texas teams. Texas State has lost its last four road games and failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive games.
• No major injury reports affecting starters reported for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
• Weather forecast expects 77°F and clear conditions with no wind or rain, favoring a stable offensive game environment at home advantage for Southern Miss.
• Southern Miss is motivated to maintain momentum late in the season for potential bowl positioning, while Texas State's motivation is tempered by a losing record and underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total points to go under 65.5.

Predicted Score: Southern Miss 31, Texas State 24

Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-13
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Strahan Coliseum at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX

Game Overview

Both Texas State Bobcats and UTSA Roadrunners enter the game with similar recent results but contrasting styles. Texas State is slightly favored by bookmakers at home with a close spread and balanced moneyline odds. UTSA's defense is strong, limiting opponents' shooting percentages, but their recent offensive struggles lower their scoring efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Texas State is 1-2, with a recent loss to Tulane, shooting 43.3% from the field but struggling on rebounds. UTSA is 1-1, with a dominant defensive profile holding opponents to low FG %, but with inconsistent shooting, particularly dropping to 28.2% in the last game.
• Both teams have mixed recent form with Texas State historically winning about 55.9% of similar matchups and performing slightly better ATS. No recent direct encounters available but statistical trends favor Texas State marginally.
• No major injury reports impact either team at this time.
• Texas State is playing at home and has shown better cover rates at home. UTSA has underperformed when playing with rest disadvantages, which could factor in here. Public betting is heavily skewed towards Texas State.
• Both teams aim to improve early season records; Texas State likely motivated to defend home court after recent losses, while UTSA aims to overcome offensive inconsistencies.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Take Texas State Bobcats to cover the -1.5 spread and win outright, with a moderately high confidence in moneyline and spread bets. Expect the total score to stay under 147.5 due to defensive strengths and recent low-scoring trends at Texas State's home night games.

Predicted Score: Texas State Bobcats 75 – 70 UTSA Roadrunners

Match Analysis: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cajun Field

Game Overview

Sun Belt Conference clash between two struggling teams: Texas State Bobcats (3-5, 0-4 conf) and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (3-6, 2-3 conf). Both teams are outside the championship picture but eager for a win to salvage their seasons.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams are inconsistent, but Texas State enters on a four-game skid, including a heavy 52-20 home loss to James Madison, while Louisiana is coming off a road win at South Alabama. Louisiana has a slightly better conference record, but both have allowed over 30 points per game defensively. Texas State averages 34.1 ppg (offense) and allows 33.9 ppg; Louisiana averages 24.3 ppg and allows a similar amount[3].
• Louisiana has dominated the series, winning the last ten matchups—including the last meeting 23-17[1][4]. Texas State has never beaten Louisiana in the modern era.
• No major injury updates found. Assume both teams at close to full strength.
• Cajun Field home crowd could provide a slight edge, but this is not a marquee matchup in terms of atmosphere. Weather and other external factors appear neutral.
• Texas State is winless in the Sun Belt and desperate to avoid a fifth straight loss. However, Louisiana has more recent momentum and extra incentive for a rare sweep over an intra-division rival.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Texas State is the betting favorite on the road, but Louisiana’s head-to-head dominance, recent form, and home field suggest hidden value on the Ragin’ Cajuns +2.5 and on the moneyline. The over/under is a toss-up, given both teams’ porous defenses and inconsistent offenses.

Predicted Score: Louisiana 27, Texas State 24

Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Avron B. Fogelman Arena, Devlin Fieldhouse, New Orleans, LA

Game Overview

Tulane Green Wave (1-0) hosts Texas State Bobcats (1-1) in an early-season NCAAB matchup. Tulane has strong offensive efficiency, shooting above 58% overall and 52% from three in their last game, while Texas State has shown inconsistency. Tulane is heavily favored and coming off a dominant home win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tulane is 1-0 with a convincing 85-72 home victory shooting 58.5% overall and 52.4% from three. Texas State is 1-1 with less offensive consistency and lower shooting percentages.
• No recent head-to-head history available, but Tulane's home advantage and superior season start favor them.
• No reported significant injuries for either team affecting key players.
• Tulane benefits from home court and favorable crowd support in New Orleans.
• Tulane aims to maintain an undefeated start at home, motivated to assert dominance early. Texas State looks to prove competitive on the road but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Tulane Green Wave to win outright (Moneyline), cover the spread (-12.5), and the game to go over 147.5 points.

Predicted Score: Tulane 80, Texas State 65

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +206

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $61.15

Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs James Madison Dukes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-28
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, Texas

Game Overview

James Madison Dukes (6-1) face Texas State Bobcats (3-4) in a Sun Belt matchup, with the Dukes being the favorites due to their strong running game and recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• James Madison has a powerful running game, ranking seventh in the nation, while Texas State has the 10th-ranked rushing attack. James Madison recently dominated Old Dominion, 63-27.
• The Dukes convincingly beat Texas State in their last matchup, 40-13.
• No significant injury reports are available to impact the outcome.
• Home-field advantage might slightly boost Texas State's chances, but James Madison's form suggests they can overcome it.
• Both teams are motivated, but James Madison's undefeated Sun Belt record could give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

James Madison Dukes are favored to win, with a strong chance of covering the spread and the game going over the total points.

Predicted Score: James Madison 34, Texas State 29

Match Analysis: Marshall Thundering Herd vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia

Game Overview

Sun Belt conference matchup between Marshall Thundering Herd and Texas State Bobcats both holding 3-3 overall records. Texas State enters as slight favorite on the road. Both teams show balanced but inconsistent form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Texas State dropped their latest game 48-41 to Troy, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Marshall won last week convincingly 48-24 over Old Dominion. Marshall also has better ATS record (4-2) versus Texas State who is 1-5 ATS as favorite.
• Limited recent H2H data available. Both teams are 3-3 overall and 0-2 (Texas State) vs 1-1 (Marshall) in conference play, indicating a fairly even matchup with slight edge to Marshall at home.
• No major injuries reported for either side that could drastically affect starting lineup or key positions.
• Home field advantage for Marshall at Joan C. Edwards Stadium is notable given Texas State's struggles on the road. Weather and travel do not appear adverse.
• Both teams aim to improve Sun Belt standings. Marshall likely more motivated as home team and coming off dominant win.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Marshall moneyline win

Predicted Score: Marshall 37 – Texas State 32

Match Analysis: Texas State Bobcats vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFCU Stadium

Game Overview

The Texas State Bobcats are favored over the Troy Trojans in this matchup. Both teams have a 3-2 record, indicating a competitive game. External factors such as weather and motivation could play a crucial role.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have shown mixed results recently, but Texas State has been stronger in home games.
• Insufficient historical data to significantly influence the prediction.
• No significant injury reports that would likely impact the game.
• Weather conditions appear favorable for football with 81°F and no rain.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Texas State might have an edge playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Texas State Bobcats are favored across markets due to their stronger home performance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Texas State 31, Troy 24

Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Game Overview

The Texas State Bobcats (3-1) travel to face the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-4) in a Sun Belt conference matchup. Texas State enters as a strong favorite with superior recent form, while Arkansas State have struggled, especially on defense and in road games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Texas State boasts a 3-1 record with solid performances in offense and defense, while Arkansas State is 1-4, showing struggles limiting opponents and poor road ATS records.
• Recent H2H data is limited, but historical trends and form heavily favor Texas State, who have dominated matchups and maintained consistent play.
• No significant injury reports substantially impacting either team have been publicly noted leading into the game.
• The game weather is favorable (82°F, 0% rain, wind 8 mph), minimizing environmental impact. The home crowd is expected to support Arkansas State but may not offset their poor form.
• Texas State looks motivated to maintain their superior standing and improve conference positioning; Arkansas State is under pressure to rebound from a poor start.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Texas State to win on the Moneyline, cover the -13.5 point spread, with the game total going Over 64.5 points.

Predicted Score: Texas State 38 – Arkansas State 17