Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum, Greenville, NC, USA
Game Overview
The East Carolina Pirates (2-2) will host the Charleston Southern Buccaneers (3-3) in a NCAA basketball matchup. East Carolina is favored with a -9.5 point spread at home. Charleston Southern has shown stronger recent form with a 3-3 record including a convincing 103-91 win over IU Indianapolis, while East Carolina recently lost 85-60 to UNC Wilmington. The game is expected to be moderately high scoring with an over/under line of 157.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charleston Southern has a 3-3 record and is undefeated 2-0 away, showing solid performance on the road. East Carolina is 2-2 overall and strong at home with a 2-0 record, but on a 1-game losing streak. Charleston Southern won their last game decisively, while East Carolina lost decisively in their last outing.
- No recent exact NCAA Men's Basketball H2H data available between these teams for this season, but both teams have played prior matches in womenβs NCAA with little bearing on current menβs competition. This appears to be an early season meeting with little direct H2H history impacting results.
- East Carolina guard Jayshayne Woodard is sidelined due to a leg injury and will not play. Jordan Riley from East Carolina recently scored 19 points but no major injury concerns were reported. Charleston Southern injury reports are not indicative of key player absences.
- The game will be played at East Carolinaβs home venue, Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum, which gives them home court advantage. Weather or other external factors are not expected to significantly affect the game.
- Charleston Southern enters the game on a winning streak and will seek to continue momentum on East Carolina's home floor. East Carolina looks to bounce back after a recent loss and maintain their undefeated home record, contributing motivation for a strong performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Southern Buccaneers: 340, East Carolina Pirates: -440 | East Carolina Pirates | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Charleston Southern Buccaneers +9.5: -115, East Carolina Pirates -9.5: -105 | East Carolina Pirates -9.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 157.5: -110, Under 157.5: -110 | Over 157.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Carolina Pirates -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 157.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 157.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
East Carolina Pirates win by a margin close to the spread, likely covering the -9.5 points. Their strong home performance and favorable odds suggest they will prevail over Charleston Southern.
Predicted Score: East Carolina Pirates 83 – Charleston Southern Buccaneers 72