The Texas Rangers host the Cleveland Guardians in the final game of their series, with Rangers leading 2-0 after a dominant 10-0 win in the previous game. Both teams have similar season records hovering around .500, but Rangers have the home-field advantage and are slight favorites with Merrill Kelly starting against Gavin Williams.
Key Factors to Consider
Texas Rangers hold a slightly better home record (39-26) and are coming off a convincing shutout victory. They have a team ERA of about 3.48 with solid pitching performances. The Guardians are 64-64 overall and have struggled offensively in recent games, notably shut out in their last outing.
In this series, Rangers lead 2-0, including a lopsided 10-0 win in the last game, showing clear momentum and dominance over the Guardians.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups or bullpen availability as of game day.
Game played indoors at Globe Life Field, neutralizing weather effects and favoring consistent performance from pitchers.
Rangers are motivated to complete a series sweep at home and strengthen their position in the AL West, while Guardians aim to avoid a sweep and salvage momentum for the remaining season.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Texas Rangers 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Texas Rangers moneyline to win straight, Rangers to cover the -1.5 run line, and the game total to go under 8 runs due to strong pitching and recent low scoring.
The Kansas City Royals host the Texas Rangers in the final game of their four-game series. The Royals look to secure a series win, while the Rangers aim to even the series. The pitching matchup features Michael Lorenzen for the Royals and Patrick Corbin for the Rangers.
Key Factors to Consider
The Royals have performed well in August with an 11-7 record, while the Rangers have struggled recently with a 3-9 record over their last 12 games.
Recent head-to-head matchups have been closely contested, with significant implications for wild card standings.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Home field advantage for the Royals could influence the game's outcome.
Both teams are motivated due to the wild card implications.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-116 Kansas City Royals, -102 Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
β β β ββ 58%
Spread
Kansas City Royals +1.5, Texas Rangers -1.5
Kansas City Royals +1.5 (not applicable directly due to odds inversion, but suggests a close game)
β β β ββ 51%
Over/under
Over 9: -104, Under 9: -118
Under 9
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 15%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas City Royals to win, Royals cover the spread, and the game to go under 9 runs.
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Texas Rangers in a pivotal MLB matchup. Toronto leads the series 2-0 at home and aims for a sweep, leveraging strong pitching and home-field advantage. Texas is struggling with a recent four-game losing streak and is on the road with inconsistent offense.
Key Factors to Consider
Toronto is 73-51 overall and an impressive 42-20 at home, showing strong recent form (7-3 last 10). Texas is 61-63 overall but weak on the road (24-37) and currently on a four-game losing streak.
Toronto leads the current series 2-0 with convincing wins. Historically, the Blue Jays also perform well against the Rangers, especially at home.
No major injuries impacting the starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team impacting this game have been reported.
The game is played at Rogers Centre, a hitter-friendly dome, favoring offense. Weather and travel factors favor Toronto who is well-rested at home.
Toronto is highly motivated to complete the series sweep and solidify their playoff positioning. Texas is motivated to stop their skid but faces pressure on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto -106, Texas -110
Toronto Blue Jays
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Toronto +1.5 (-184), Texas -1.5 (+152)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115)
Over 8 runs
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays moneyline, Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 spread, over 8 runs total
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6 – Texas Rangers 4
The Texas Rangers (61-60) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (58-62) in a closely matched MLB contest. The Rangers are slight favorites with stronger recent pitching and motivation factors, while the Diamondbacks have improved recently and have knowledge of the Rangers' starting pitcher.
Key Factors to Consider
Texas Rangers have a 61-60 record with stronger pitching from Merrill Kelly (3.38 ERA, 131 strikeouts). Arizona Diamondbacks have a 58-62 record, with Zac Gallen struggling this season despite recent improvement (5.31 ERA overall but 2.78 ERA vs Rangers). Rangers average about 4.1 runs per game, Diamondbacks slightly less consistent but showing uptick lately.
Season series tied 1-1. Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen has a 2-1 record with 2.78 ERA against Rangers, but current form favors Rangers' pitching advantage and bullpen strength.
No significant injuries reported that would majorly impact starting pitchers or key hitters for either side.
Game played indoors at Globe Life Field, reducing weather impact. Rangers have home advantage. Diamondbacksβ lineup somewhat familiar with Rangers pitching as Merrill Kelly is a former Diamondbacks player and could be motivated to perform well.
Merrill Kelly pitching against former team likely increases motivation for strong performance. Rangers seek to maintain advantage in series and improve winning record, while Diamondbacks aim to continue recent upward trend.
The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Texas Rangers to conclude their series. Phillies lead the season series and have momentum from winning the first two games. Phillies start Zack Wheeler, a top pitcher with a 2.64 ERA, while the Rangers have struggled offensively recently.
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies hold a 67-49 record, currently first in NL East, with strong pitching (3.72 ERA) and solid offense led by Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. Rangers are 60-58, have underperformed as underdogs this season especially on moneyline, with weaker offensive production this week.
Phillies won first two games in this series with scores of 9-1 and 3-2. Historically, Phillies favored in matchups with higher win percentages as favorites.
No significant injuries reported that would impact starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team in this matchup.
Game is at Rangers' home field, Globe Life Field, which is hitter-friendly, but Phillies' momentum and pitching dominance mitigate home advantage for Rangers.
Phillies motivated to continue strong push in NL East, while Rangers look to salvage home series but have shown limited offensive spark lately.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -154, Texas Rangers +130
Philadelphia Phillies
β β β β β 78%
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +112, Texas Rangers +1.5 -134
Texas Rangers +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 7.5 -114, Under 7.5 -106
Under 7.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies win straight up; Rangers +1.5 spread cover; game total under 7.5 runs
The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Texas Rangers for the series finale, with the Phillies favored following two consecutive wins in the series. Both teams have shown solid offensive production, but the Phillies hold a pitching edge with Zack Wheeler starting.
Key Factors to Consider
The Phillies are 67-49 with strong recent form, winning 5 of their last 6 games; the Rangers are 60-58 and struggling as underdogs, with a poor 2-11 record when moneyline underdogs this season.
In the current series, Phillies have already won the first two games decisively (9-1 and 3-2). Historically, Zack Wheeler has a 2-2 record with a 2.45 ERA against the Rangers, lending pitching confidence to Philadelphia.
No significant injury reports affecting key starters or hitters from either team have been identified that would alter the matchup.
The game is played at Globe Life Field, a neutral-pitcher-friendly venue; weather conditions are stable with no impact expected to scoring.
Phillies lead the NL East and show strong motivation to keep winning and maintain divisional dominance; Rangers aim to protect home turf but face pressure after prior losses in the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies: -154, Texas Rangers: 130
Philadelphia Phillies
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5: 112, Texas Rangers +1.5: -134
Texas Rangers +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 7.5: -114, Under 7.5: -106
Under 7.5
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win outright (moneyline), Rangers to cover spread (+1.5), and the total runs to go under 7.5