Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA

Game Overview

This NCAA Men's Basketball matchup features the Pepperdine Waves (3-2) hosting the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (4-1) at Firestone Fieldhouse. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with Pepperdine defeating New Orleans 90-79 and Stephen F. Austin narrowly losing to Fresno State 78-80. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and a tendency to score above 140 points in most games recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pepperdine has been scoring over 140 points in 77% of their games this month and over 130 points in 88% of their games. They have also scored over 75 points in the first half in 77% of their games. Stephen F. Austin has scored over 80 points in the first half in 66% of their games and over 75 points in the first half in 66% of their games. Both teams have shown a strong offensive output, with Pepperdine averaging 90 points per game and Stephen F. Austin averaging 84 points per game.
• This is only the second meeting between the two programs. Pepperdine won the lone previous meeting 77-53 on December 11, 1993, at a neutral site in Waco, Texas. There is no recent head-to-head history to draw from for this matchup.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
• The game is being played at Pepperdine's home court, Firestone Fieldhouse, which could provide a slight home advantage. The venue is known for its supportive crowd, which may influence the game's atmosphere and momentum.
• Both teams are motivated to continue their strong starts to the season. Pepperdine is looking to build on their recent win over New Orleans, while Stephen F. Austin is aiming to bounce back from their narrow loss to Fresno State. The game is also part of a series of early-season matchups that could impact their conference standings and national rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong offensive performances of both teams and the lack of significant injuries, this game is expected to be high-scoring. Pepperdine's home advantage and recent form suggest they may have a slight edge, but Stephen F. Austin's strong record and recent performances make them a formidable opponent. The game is likely to be close, with both teams capable of scoring over 150 points.

Predicted Score: Pepperdine Waves 82 – 85 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Match Analysis: Fresno St Bulldogs vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-19
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA

Game Overview

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, currently undefeated at 4-0, travel to face the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-2) in a non-conference matchup. The Lumberjacks are led by senior guard Keon Thompson (22 PPG) and senior forward Jerald Colonel (8 RPG), while Fresno State counters with senior guard Jake Heidbreder (17.8 PPG) and Zaon Collins (4.8 APG). The game is expected to be a high-paced contest, with both teams featuring strong offensive capabilities and solid veteran leadership.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephen F. Austin has started the season 4-0, showcasing a high-tempo offense and strong defensive discipline. Fresno State is 3-2, with a balanced attack and solid backcourt play. SFA’s pace and scoring efficiency give them an edge, but Fresno State’s size and home-court advantage could be decisive in close possessions.
• No recent head-to-head matchups are available for these teams in the last five seasons. This is a rare meeting, making historical trends less relevant.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• Stephen F. Austin is playing on the road, which could impact their rhythm. Fresno State benefits from home-court advantage and a supportive crowd. The game is scheduled for a Tuesday night, which may affect team preparation and travel fatigue.
• Stephen F. Austin is looking to maintain their undefeated record and build momentum for conference play. Fresno State is aiming to bounce back from a recent loss and prove their strength against a top-tier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Stephen F. Austin is favored due to their undefeated record, strong offensive output, and veteran leadership. However, Fresno State’s home advantage and solid backcourt play make this a competitive matchup. The Lumberjacks are expected to win, but the game is likely to be close.

Predicted Score: Stephen F. Austin 83, Fresno State 78

Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Abilene Christian Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum

Game Overview

The matchup between Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks and Abilene Christian Wildcats features two undefeated teams at 3-0 this season. Stephen F. Austin shows strong offensive efficiency with a field goal percentage near 48.5%, solid three-point defense, and an ability to perform well in night games. Abilene Christian has demonstrated high scoring with 135 points per game on 52.6% shooting but has not yet faced strong Division 1 competition, barely escaping a close call versus Omaha. Stephen F. Austin is favored at home with better defensive metrics and more consistent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephen F. Austin is averaging 91.3 points per game with efficient shooting (48.5% FG), strong defense (top 100 in field goal and three-point percentage allowed), and 45 rebounds per game. Abilene Christian averages 135 points but allows 94.5 points on 39.1% shooting, indicating weaker defense. Abilene Christian is also efficient on offensive rebounds and assists but has shown vulnerabilities in turnovers and fouls.
• Both teams are 3-0 this season, but no recent direct encounters noted. Stephen F. Austin holds an advantage playing at home, historically strong at night games, and better performance against Southland Conference opponents. Abilene Christian has a strong home night-game winning record in the Southland but this game is at Stephen F. Austin's venue.
• No specific injury reports available for either team prior to the game.
• The game venue is William R. Johnson Coliseum, favoring the home team Stephen F. Austin. Timing is a night game, and Stephen F. Austin has historically performed well in nighttime contests. No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or weather impact applicable.
• Stephen F. Austin looks to confirm its strong start and maintain top status in the conference with a home win. Abilene Christian aims to prove itself against a vetted opponent after a close call vs a Division 1 team and maintain unbeaten status, creating high motivation for an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Stephen F. Austin to win by a margin around the offered spread (-7.5 points). Their balanced attack, strong defense, and home-court advantage outweigh Abilene Christian's potent but less tested offense.

Predicted Score: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 78 – Abilene Christian Wildcats 68

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Match Analysis: Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-12
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Tudor Fieldhouse, Houston, TX

Game Overview

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (2-0) visit the Rice Owls (1-1) for an early season NCAA college basketball game at Tudor Fieldhouse. Stephen F. Austin is entering with momentum after strong wins with efficient shooting and defensive performance, while Rice has a mixed record including a tough close loss on the road. Both teams show contrasting offensive profiles, with Stephen F. Austin scoring higher on average and having a stronger inside game, whereas Rice is favored at home but with a less consistent offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephen F. Austin averages 96.5 points per game with strong shooting percentages (48.3% FG, 37.7% 3PT) and rebounds (49 per game), led by key players like Keon Thompson and Jerald Colonel. Rice averages about 70.3 points but allows slightly more than 70 points per game, with a field goal percentage around 42% both for and against. Rice’s recent struggles and lesser offensive efficiency may be a concern.
• Historically, recent detailed head-to-head data is limited, but recent line movements and betting trends indicate a close matchup with Rice favored narrowly by about 2.5 to 3.5 points. Both teams have competitive records with Stephen F. Austin unbeaten to date. No clear dominance shown in recent encounters.
• No specific injury reports or absences for either team were found in the available data, indicating both teams are likely near full strength.
• Rice benefits from home court advantage at Tudor Fieldhouse. The game is broadcast on ESPN+, adding media exposure. Public betting heavily favors Rice on moneyline and spread with 100% bets on Rice in some sources, indicating strong public confidence in the home team despite Stephen F. Austin's unbeaten start.
• Stephen F. Austin aims to extend their unbeaten start and prove consistency away from home. Rice looks to bounce back from a recent loss and leverage home advantage to secure a winning record early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Rice Owls win in a close game, leveraging home court advantage and underdog motivation to edge Stephen F. Austin by a slim margin. Expect a competitive match with defense playing a key role in controlling Stephen F. Austin's high-scoring offense.

Predicted Score: Rice Owls 76 – Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 73

Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Arkansas St Red Wolves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum, Nacogdoches, Texas

Game Overview

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks host Arkansas State Red Wolves in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Both teams are coming off strong performances in their season openers, with SFA posting a dominant 103-76 win over Millsaps and Arkansas State narrowly defeating Ohio 89-85. The game is expected to be competitive, with Arkansas State favored by a slim margin on the spread.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephen F. Austin showed offensive firepower in their opener, scoring 103 points and averaging 27 points per quarter. Arkansas State's win was closer, scoring 89 points but allowing 85, indicating a more balanced but less explosive offense. Both teams have shown solid starts, but SFA's offensive output stands out.
• The two teams have met once, in 2019, with Arkansas State winning 59-49. This is a limited sample, but Arkansas State holds the edge in their only previous meeting. No recent trends or patterns can be established from just one game.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads appear to be at full strength for this matchup.
• Stephen F. Austin will have the home-court advantage at the William R. Johnson Coliseum, which could provide a boost for the Lumberjacks. The venue is known for its strong support, especially in non-conference games.
• Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Stephen F. Austin will be motivated to avenge their previous loss to Arkansas State and prove their strength at home. Arkansas State will aim to continue their winning streak and establish themselves as a competitive team on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Stephen F. Austin is expected to leverage their home-court advantage and strong offensive performance to edge out Arkansas State in a close game. The Lumberjacks' ability to score in bunches could be the deciding factor, but Arkansas State's defense and experience may keep the game tight.

Predicted Score: Stephen F. Austin 78, Arkansas State 76

Match Analysis: Houston Cougars vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-28
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: TDECU Stadium, Houston, Texas

Game Overview

The Houston Cougars host the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks on August 28, 2025, for their season opener. Houston, now competing in the Big 12, faces a lower-division FCS opponent, historically leading to a significant disparity in team strength and expectations. Houston aims to avoid an upset and demonstrate offensive progress after a challenging previous season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Houston struggled offensively in 2024, scoring over 40 points only twice in two seasons in the Big 12 and facing an eight-quarter scoring drought. The Cougars seek to break recent trends and leverage home-field advantage. Stephen F. Austin, an FCS team, typically lacks the depth and talent of FBS teams like Houston, making a competitive upset unlikely.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data between Houston Cougars and Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, as they compete at different levels, with Houston in FBS and Stephen F. Austin in FCS. Previous matchups are rare, contributing to a historical imbalance in favor of Houston.
• Current injury reports for both teams around the game date are unavailable, suggesting no significant injuries affecting either team's lineup that could impact this matchup critically.
• The game is set for early evening at Houston's TDECU Stadium, providing Houston a familiar home environment. Weather and local conditions are expected to be favorable. Motivation is high for Houston as an FBS program seeking to avoid an upset and gain momentum.
• Houston seeks immediate redemption after past offensive struggles and to capitalize on being a Big 12 member hosting an FCS opponent. Stephen F. Austin, as an underdog, is motivated to challenge an FBS opponent and gain recognition, though the probability of a win is low.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Houston Cougars are heavily favored to win by a large margin, with a predicted high-scoring game surpassing 50 points for Houston to break their recent scoring trends. Stephen F. Austin is expected to score modestly but face offensive challenges against Houston's defense.

Predicted Score: Houston Cougars 56 – 17 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

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Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs McNeese Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 4, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum

Game Overview

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks host McNeese Cowboys in a Southland Conference matchup. McNeese is currently on a strong run, while Stephen F. Austin looks to improve its conference standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• McNeese has been performing well, maintaining a strong conference record. Stephen F. Austin, however, has struggled in conference games.
• McNeese recently defeated Stephen F. Austin 79-59, showcasing their dominance in their previous matchup.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home court advantage might favor Stephen F. Austin, but McNeese's momentum could offset this.
• Both teams are motivated, but McNeese's winning streak and strong conference position provide additional drive.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

McNeese Cowboys are likely to win due to their recent performance and strong conference record.

Predicted Score: McNeese 75, Stephen F. Austin 65

Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Nicholls St Colonels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum, Nacogdoches, TX

Game Overview

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks host Nicholls St Colonels in a Southland Conference matchup. Nicholls State recently defeated Stephen F. Austin 73-61 on January 18, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nicholls State is performing better in the conference with a 5-2 record, while Stephen F. Austin struggles at 1-6. Nicholls State's Byron Ireland has been a key player, scoring 17 points in their last matchup.
• Nicholls State recently won against Stephen F. Austin 73-61, indicating a strong head-to-head performance.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home advantage could play a role for Stephen F. Austin, but Nicholls State's recent form might counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated, but Nicholls State's better conference standing could provide an edge in motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Nicholls State Colonels are likely to win due to their recent performance and conference standing.

Predicted Score: Nicholls State 70, Stephen F. Austin 67