Match Analysis: Houston Cougars vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX

Game Overview

Opening game of the 2025 season featuring the Houston Cougars hosting the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks. The Cougars are heavy favorites but have struggled recently as a Big 12 newcomer, while Stephen F. Austin is a strong FCS team with returning talent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Houston finished last season with four wins and showed upset potential but are underdogs in their conference overall. Stephen F. Austin had a 7-5 record in 2024, with a potent offense led by QB Sam Vidlak and a solid returning defense.
• No recent documented direct matchups available, but given the division gap (FBS vs FCS) Houston is typically expected dominant historically.
• No major injuries reported for either team entering this matchup.
• Game at Houston’s home stadium with warm weather (87°F), negligible rain and light wind, likely favoring the home side. Public money heavily favoring Houston.
• Houston eager to start season strong in year two of Big 12 transition, seeking to prove competitiveness; Stephen F. Austin motivated to show FCS strength against FBS opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -2100, away: +1000	Houston Cougars	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	home: -110, away: -110	Houston Cougars -22.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: -105, under: -115	Under 55.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Houston Cougars -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 55.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Cougars to cover the -22.5 point spread with total points under 55.5

Predicted Score: Houston 38 – Stephen F. Austin 14

Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs McNeese Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 4, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum

Game Overview

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks host McNeese Cowboys in a Southland Conference matchup. McNeese is currently on a strong run, while Stephen F. Austin looks to improve its conference standing.

Key Factors to Consider

• McNeese has been performing well, maintaining a strong conference record. Stephen F. Austin, however, has struggled in conference games.
• McNeese recently defeated Stephen F. Austin 79-59, showcasing their dominance in their previous matchup.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home court advantage might favor Stephen F. Austin, but McNeese's momentum could offset this.
• Both teams are motivated, but McNeese's winning streak and strong conference position provide additional drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	McNeese: -520, Stephen F. Austin: 385	McNeese Cowboys	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	McNeese: -9.5 -115, Stephen F. Austin: 9.5 -105	McNeese Cowboys	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over: 135.5 -110, Under: 135.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

McNeese Cowboys are likely to win due to their recent performance and strong conference record.

Predicted Score: McNeese 75, Stephen F. Austin 65

Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Nicholls St Colonels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum, Nacogdoches, TX

Game Overview

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks host Nicholls St Colonels in a Southland Conference matchup. Nicholls State recently defeated Stephen F. Austin 73-61 on January 18, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nicholls State is performing better in the conference with a 5-2 record, while Stephen F. Austin struggles at 1-6. Nicholls State's Byron Ireland has been a key player, scoring 17 points in their last matchup.
• Nicholls State recently won against Stephen F. Austin 73-61, indicating a strong head-to-head performance.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home advantage could play a role for Stephen F. Austin, but Nicholls State's recent form might counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated, but Nicholls State's better conference standing could provide an edge in motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-102 (Nicholls), -118 (SFA)	Nicholls St Colonels	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Nicholls +1.5 -114, SFA -1.5 -106	Nicholls St Colonels +1.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 137.5 -110, Under 137.5 -110	Over 137.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Nicholls State Colonels are likely to win due to their recent performance and conference standing.

Predicted Score: Nicholls State 70, Stephen F. Austin 67

Match Analysis: Houston Christian Huskies vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 25, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Houston Christian

Game Overview

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks face off against the Houston Christian Huskies in a closely contested matchup. Stephen F. Austin is favored by 1.5 points, reflecting their slightly stronger performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephen F. Austin has a record of 14-14, while Houston Christian stands at 11-17. However, Houston Christian has shown resilience in their ATS performance, particularly as underdogs.
• Historical data on head-to-head matchups between these teams is limited, but recent trends suggest competitive games.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for either team.
• Home court advantage could play a role for Houston Christian, but Stephen F. Austin's overall performance might offset this.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins as the season progresses, but Stephen F. Austin may have a slight edge due to their current standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Houston Christian +102, Stephen F. Austin -122	Stephen F. Austin	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Houston Christian +1.5 -110, Stephen F. Austin -1.5 -110	Stephen F. Austin	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 133.5 -110, Under 133.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Stephen F. Austin is likely to win outright due to their better overall record and performance.

Predicted Score: Stephen F. Austin 68, Houston Christian 65

Match Analysis: Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center

Game Overview

The Incarnate Word Cardinals host the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks in a crucial Southland Conference matchup. Both teams are vying for a spot in the conference tournament, with SFA currently holding the eighth spot and UIW just one game back.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephen F. Austin is on a five-game winning streak, bolstered by strong defensive performances and improved offense. Incarnate Word has a potent offense with three players in the top ten for scoring in the Southland Conference.
• SFA leads the all-time series 13-2, including a 6-1 road record against UIW. However, UIW won their earlier matchup this season.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is crucial for both teams' playoff hopes, adding pressure and motivation.
• Both teams are highly motivated due to the importance of the game for their playoff chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-135 (Incarnate Word), 114 (Stephen F. Austin)	Incarnate Word Cardinals	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	-2 (Incarnate Word) -105, +2 (Stephen F. Austin) -115	Incarnate Word Cardinals	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 136 -110, Under 136 -110	Under	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Incarnate Word Cardinals to win.

Predicted Score: Incarnate Word 68, Stephen F. Austin 65