Match Analysis: Jacksonville St Gamecocks vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Pete Mathews Coliseum, Jacksonville State
Game Overview
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks host the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in this NCAA college basketball matchup. Jacksonville State enters the game undefeated at 2-0, whereas Coastal Carolina is 2-1. Jacksonville State is favored across the board, with odds and predictive models indicating a strong likelihood of their victory, fueled by a solid defense and recent strong performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jacksonville State is 2-0 this season with a strong defensive record, allowing just 51 points per game. Coastal Carolina is 2-1, showing good offensive output at 88 points per game but slightly weaker defense, conceding around 62 points. Jacksonville State has yet to play a Division I team significantly but has looked convincing in wins so far.
- In the last meeting, Jacksonville State decisively won 71-53 over Coastal Carolina. Current form and historical data give Jacksonville State an edge.
- No significant injuries reported for either team at this time, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
- The game is played at Jacksonville State's home arena, Pete Mathews Coliseum, providing a home-court advantage. Both teams have motivation to solidify their early-season standing.
- Jacksonville State aims to maintain a perfect start and prove dominance over a more established Coastal Carolina. Coastal Carolina looks to bounce back after a recent loss and improve their record to 3-1.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville State: -290, Coastal Carolina: 235 | Jacksonville State to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Jacksonville State: -7.5 -110, Coastal Carolina: +7.5 -110 | Jacksonville State -7.5 | β β β ββ 56% |
| Over/under | over: 138.5 -112, under: 138.5 -108 | Under 138.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville St Gamecocks 161% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 138.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Jacksonville St Gamecocks at 161% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jacksonville State is predicted to win comfortably by covering the -7.5 spread, supported by strong model simulations and expert analysis favoring their defense and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Jacksonville State 75 – Coastal Carolina 67