Match Analysis: Wisconsin Badgers vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The opening game of the 2025 college football season features the Wisconsin Badgers hosting the Miami (OH) RedHawks. Wisconsin enters as a strong favorite after a 5-7 record in 2024 without a bowl appearance, whereas Miami (OH) had a successful 9-5 season capped by an Arizona Bowl victory, highlighting their strong defense and competitive offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wisconsin struggled offensively last year, averaging 22.6 points per game and allowing 23.1, ranking them 108th and 42nd nationally respectively. Miami (OH) was more balanced with 24.1 points scored per game (96th) and a stingy defense conceding just 18.8 points per game (15th). Wisconsin is favored by 17.5 points suggesting a significant talent and depth gap.
- Recent direct encounters data is limited; however, Miami (OH) has a strong recent record against non-AP-ranked teams, winning eight of their last nine, while Wisconsin has struggled in similar matchups, losing six of seven. Historically, Wisconsin is likely the stronger program but early-season performance varies.
- No specific injury data available for either team at this time.
- The game is at Wisconsin's home stadium, Camp Randall, providing a home-field advantage. Weather conditions and other external factors have not been specified and appear standard for late August in Wisconsin.
- Wisconsin aims to start strongly to avoid slow starts that have plagued them in previous seasons. Miami (OH) looks to build on recent successes under head coach Chuck Martin, seeking to prove they can compete against Big Ten opposition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH): 600, Wisconsin: -900 | Wisconsin win | โ โ โ โ โ 91% |
| Spread | Miami (OH): 17.5 -112, Wisconsin: -17.5 -108 | Wisconsin to cover the -17.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | over: 39.5 -112, under: 39.5 -108 | Under 39.5 total points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wisconsin Badgers 536% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 39.5 25% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Wisconsin Badgers at 536% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 89.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wisconsin is expected to win decisively given the talent disparity, home advantage, and historical expectations. Miami (OH) may keep the margin closer than the large spread but an outright upset is unlikely.
Predicted Score: Wisconsin Badgers 28 – Miami (OH) RedHawks 10