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Sport Recife vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match features Sport Recife hosting São Paulo, with São Paulo sitting 7th and Sport Recife struggling at 20th in the league. Historically, São Paulo have dominated the head-to-head record significantly.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife is in poor league form, currently 20th, but has shown defensive resilience conceding 0.4 goals per match in recent games. São Paulo, placed 7th, have been unbeaten in their last 9 matches, scoring 6 goals in their last 5 while conceding 1.2 per match.
  • São Paulo lead historically with 11 wins to Sport Recife's 3, alongside 5 draws since 2007. Recent clashes have also favored São Paulo, winning 3 out of the last 4 meetings since 2021 with no draws.
  • No explicit injury data is available in current search results for either team.
  • The match will take place at Sport Recife's home stadium, Ilha do Retiro, which may provide them with home advantage despite their league position. Weather or pitch conditions are not reported.
  • São Paulo's unbeaten run and mid-table positioning likely motivate them for a strong away performance, while Sport Recife are motivated to improve their standings from the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: 1.68, Sport Recife: 1.88, Draw: 1.93 São Paulo to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Sao Paulo: -118, Sport Recife: -112 São Paulo -0 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.75: -125, Under 1.75: -105 Over 1.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.75 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given São Paulo's superior form, historical dominance, and undefeated recent run versus Sport Recife's weaker position, the predicted outcome favors an away win for São Paulo with moderate confidence.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Grêmio vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio Arena, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

The upcoming Campeonato Brazil match features Grêmio hosting Sport Recife. Grêmio is slightly favored based on home advantage and mixed historical results. Both teams show competitive form with moderate scoring averages, and previous encounters have had a mix of outcomes with no dominant trend.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has a moderate scoring average around 1.3 goals per match and a relatively strong defensive record conceding about 0.68 goals per match. Their recent form shows resilience with a longest unbeaten streak of 17 matches and 18 clean sheets in the season. Sport Recife shows slightly less attacking output at 0.97 goals per match and concedes about 0.82 goals. They have a shorter longest winning streak of 3 matches and a tendency to win more confrontations in the last meetings.
  • Historically, Grêmio has won 8 of the past 25 meetings against Sport Recife, who have won more (10 wins) in some datasets, with several draws (7). Recent head to head indicates a balanced rivalry, with matches averaging about 2.9 goals, and a moderate total goals over percentage (~50-60%) suggesting potential for goal scoring but not excessively high scoring games.
  • No specific injury data currently available for either team before the match, leaving squad strength assumptions based on recent lineups and performances.
  • The match is held at Grêmio's home stadium which confers an advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no extraordinary external impacts reported. Match importance for league standings may motivate both teams to compete intensely.
  • Both teams have motivation to claim points; Grêmio to leverage home advantage and improve their league position, Sport Recife to challenge a traditionally strong opponent and gain ground away. The recent streaks and outcomes hint at a competitive mindset from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: -115, Sport Recife: 340, Draw: 250 Grêmio Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Grêmio: -0.5 -115, Sport Recife: 50 -105 Grêmio -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio holds a slight edge due to home advantage and better defensive stability but Sport Recife’s away form and historical competitiveness suggest a close contest, likely resulting in a narrow Grêmio win or possibly a draw.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sport Recife vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro

Game Overview

Sport Recife returns to Campeonato Brasileiro Série A after three seasons in Série B, currently positioned 20th in the standings, playing at their home venue Ilha do Retiro. Bahia is the visiting team, considered the favorite by betting odds. The match is crucial for Sport Recife to improve their league standing and avoid relegation, while Bahia aims to consolidate their position in the upper half.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife is struggling in Série A with a low ranking, having just returned from Série B; Bahia shows stronger form and is the favorite in betting markets. Recent matches show Bahia performing better offensively and defensively.
  • Recent encounters favor Bahia, who have notably won their last match 3-0 against Juventude, indicating offensive strength. No direct recent head-to-head scoreline was found, but Bahia's upper hand is reflected in betting odds.
  • No specific current injury information is available from the sources; however, squad and injury updates could influence the lineup decisions. Sport Recife and Bahia appear to have their core players available.
  • The match will take place at Sport Recife's home stadium, Ilha do Retiro, which offers home advantage. Attendance promotions and crowd support might positively influence Sport Recife. VAR technology will be used, standard in the league.
  • Sport Recife is motivated to escape the relegation zone and show strength in their return to Série A. Bahia aims to maintain momentum and capitalize on their favored position to climb the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 1.45, Sport Recife: 2, Draw: 2.3 Bahia Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia -0.25: 1.1, Sport Recife +25: 1.3 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1, Under 2.25: 1.2 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is predicted to win with a moderate confidence due to better form and betting market favorability. Sport Recife may manage a close game given home advantage but are less likely to secure a win.

Predicted Score: Bahia 2 – 1 Sport Recife


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Sport Recife vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

The match between Sport Recife and Santos is a Brasileirão Serie A clash with both teams struggling in the league standings, Sport Recife currently placed 20th and Santos 17th. The game is hosted at Sport Recife's home ground, Ilha do Retiro. Both sides have shown defensive caution recently, with many low-scoring games in their latest performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife has had a poor run with multiple losses and a draw in their last five games, struggling both offensively and defensively. Santos has also struggled but managed a recent win; however, their overall performance remains inconsistent with some close games decided by narrow margins.
  • Recent head-to-head encounters show a balanced distribution with Santos winning around 33% of recent matches, Sport Recife 17%, and draws occurring 50% of the time. Matches tend to be tight given the league context and team standing.
  • Current injury reports are limited, but no significant standout absences for either team have been reported recently, suggesting both squads may field near-full strength lineups.
  • Playing at home provides Sport Recife a slight advantage. Weather or other external disruptions have not been indicated. The timing of the match in the evening may favor teams with better fitness regimes.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb out of the relegation zone, which could lead to a cautious approach with defensive solidity prioritized. The fight for points is crucial for both to improve league survival prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santos: 1.9, Sport Recife: 1.55, Draw: 2.15 Sport Recife ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Santos: 1.05, Sport Recife: 1.25 Sport Recife with 0 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: 1.08, Under 2: 1.12 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sport Recife 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sport Recife at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the low scoring trends, balanced head-to-head stats, and similar motivation levels, a tightly contested and low-scoring draw or narrow win by Santos seems most probable.

Predicted Score: Sport Recife 1 – 0 Santos


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 26, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sport Recife vs. Santos Prediction Sport Recife 155 40%
Botafogo vs. Corinthians Prediction Under 2.25 -128 25%
Mirassol vs. Vitoria Prediction Mirassol -115 22%

Combined Odds: +749 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $169.84

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Vitoria vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: To be confirmed (likely home ground of Vitoria)

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazil Campeonato match between Vitoria and Sport Recife is poised to be closely contested given their historical encounters. Vitoria has a stronger head-to-head record, winning 10 of their 22 meetings since 2008, while Sport Recife has 6 wins and there have been 6 draws. Both teams show similar goal stats over their past meetings. Recent form highlights Vitoria's unbeaten run in their last 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 draws, conceding on average 1 goal per match. Sport Recife has struggled away, winning only 1 of their last 7 away games and has lost 3 of their past 5 matches overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitoria is currently undefeated in their last 5 matches with a moderate scoring rate (0.8 goals per match) and conceding 1 goal per match. Sport Recife has scored slightly more on average (2.2 vs 1.6 in Copa do Nordeste comparisons) but is less consistent recently, especially away, with only one win in 7 away matches and conceding 1.2 goals per match in their last 5.
  • Historically, Vitoria has the edge having won 10 of 22 matches against Sport Recife’s 6 wins with 6 draws. Both teams have scored 20 goals each in their head-to-head encounters, showing balanced offensive returns. Their matchups often result in tight scorelines with nearly 44% of Asian handicap wins favoring Vitoria.
  • No specific injury information for either team was available from the current data.
  • No direct external factors such as extreme weather, travel issues, or key suspensions were identified. However, Sport Recife’s recent away form suggests possible travel fatigue or adaptation issues.
  • Sport Recife is currently leading in the Copa do Nordeste and motivated to stay competitive and in contention for quarter-finals. Vitoria’s unbeaten streak motivates them to continue their positive run to secure points at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sport Recife: 300, Vitoria: 105, Draw: 220 Vitoria Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Sport Recife +50: -125, Vitoria -0.5: 105 Vitoria -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2: -112, Under 2: -108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the statistical data and form, Vitoria has a slight advantage at home to secure at least a draw, if not a narrow victory. Sport Recife may struggle to dominate but can capitalize on counter opportunities.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Santos vs. Internacional Prediction Santos 140 67%
Vitoria vs. Sport Recife Prediction Vitoria 105 23%
Ceará vs. Mirassol Prediction Ceará 115 18%

Combined Odds: +958 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $211.56

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Sport Recife vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazil Campeonato match features Sport Recife hosting Botafogo. Historically, Botafogo has had an upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning 7 out of 14 matches against Sport Recife's 3 wins and 4 draws. Botafogo currently leads the league table, while Sport Recife sits third. Botafogo's offensive record is stronger, averaging 1.4 goals per match historically versus 0.9 for Sport Recife, contributing to Botafogo’s slight edge going into the match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo is currently in better form and holds the top position in the league, indicating consistent performances. Sport Recife is the third-placed team but has struggled against Botafogo historically. Recent performances show Botafogo with a stronger defense, conceding fewer goals per match compared to Sport Recife, which concedes more on average.
  • In 14 past encounters, Botafogo leads with 7 wins, Sport Recife has 3, and both teams have drawn 4 times. Average goals per match is 2.2, with Botafogo scoring more goals on average. Recent head-to-head results favor Botafogo as well, reflecting a psychological advantage.
  • Current specific injury information is unavailable from the data, but no major injuries impacting key players have been reported recently for either side.
  • Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the venue and season with no unusual external factors influencing the game. Both teams have no obvious travel fatigue as the match is hosted by Sport Recife.
  • Botafogo, leading the league, is motivated to maintain their top spot by securing wins, whereas Sport Recife, sitting third, seeks to close the gap and prove competitiveness against the league leaders, increasing the stakes for a competitive contest.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 120, Sport Recife: 250, Draw: 220 Botafogo Win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Botafogo -0.25: -112, Sport Recife +25: -108 Bet on Botafogo -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -125, Under 2: 105 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo is predicted to win this match due to better form, superior head-to-head record, and favorable odds indicating market confidence. However, given Sport Recife’s home advantage and resilience, a closely contested match with a possible draw is also plausible.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 20, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Internacional vs. Ceará Prediction Over 2.25 100 24%
Vitoria vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Under 2 102 21%
Sport Recife vs. Botafogo Prediction Botafogo 120 21%

Combined Odds: +789 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $177.76

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – July 16, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal Prediction Philadelphia Union -1 -115 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Atletico Mineiro vs. Sport Recife Prediction Atletico Mineiro -1 -115 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United Prediction Over 3 -102 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +592

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $138.44

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