This Eredivisie clash features home side AZ Alkmaar, currently in solid form, hosting league leaders Feyenoord, who come in with five consecutive wins. Expect a tightly contested, competitive match with both teams motivated to secure three points.
Key Factors to Consider
AZ Alkmaar has won their last two league games and shown consistent home performance, while Feyenoord leads the table, having won their last five games with strong attacking displays.
In the last 40 encounters, Feyenoord leads with 23 wins versus AZ’s 10, and 7 draws. The most recent match ended 1-0 to Feyenoord away. Overall, Feyenoord have scored 74 goals to AZ’s 46 in these meetings.
No major injuries reported for either side that will significantly impact starting lineups or tactics.
Both teams are playing under normal conditions at AZ's home stadium without weather or external disruptions expected.
Feyenoord aims to maintain top position and extend their winning streak, while AZ seeks to leverage home advantage to close the gap on the table leaders.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
+133
AZ Alkmaar
★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread
+106
AZ Alkmaar -0.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
-109 (Over 2.75)
Over 2.75
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AZ Alkmaar 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 25%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Tondela, desperate for points and playing at home, face Estrela Amadora who arrive as slight underdogs with some defensive resilience but poor away form. Both teams have struggled offensively and have a history of low-scoring, tightly contested matches.
Key Factors to Consider
Tondela have yet to win this season, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 10 in 5 matches, showing offensive struggles and defensive weaknesses. Estrela Amadora have a poor away record losing 7 of last 8, but tend to defend more reliably on road.
Only two previous official matches, both drawn 0-0, indicating a balanced matchup with low scoring tendencies.
No specific injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, lineups expected as predicted.
Match played at Tondela’s home ground, Estádio João Cardoso, where they have yet to win this season, adding pressure to perform in front of home fans.
Tondela's urgent need to avoid relegation and break winless streak strongly motivates them, while Estrela have moderate motivation but poor away results suggest difficulty capitalizing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Tondela: +121, Estrela: +250, Draw: +205
Tondela
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Tondela -0.25: -112, Estrela +25: -108
Tondela -0.25
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 2 goals: -110, Under 2 goals: -110
Under 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tondela 11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 24%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tondela to win on moneyline, Tondela -0.25 on spread, Under 2 goals
Atlético Madrid enters as a clear favorite in this La Liga matchup against Mallorca, favored by recent form, head-to-head dominance, and better squad depth. Mallorca have struggled to secure wins this season and Atlético look to consolidate their status with a disciplined and pragmatic approach.
Key Factors to Consider
Atlético Madrid holds a stronger recent La Liga form with 1-2-1 compared to Mallorca's 0-1-3. Atlético’s solid defense and ability to capitalize on chances contrasts with Mallorca’s challenges in converting form into wins.
Atlético Madrid has won 7 of the last 10 meetings. Matchups often yield low scoring affairs with an average of about 2.3 goals per game.
No specific critical injuries reported for Atlético Madrid. Mallorca’s squad depth and injury status could adversely affect their competitiveness.
The game will be played at Mallorca’s home ground with moderate pressure on the home side. Atlético Madrid’s recent tough schedule, including a Champions League match against Liverpool, might affect their freshness but their squad depth offsets this.
Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure 3 points to stay competitive in La Liga standings, while Mallorca seeks to break out of a poor run but lacks confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlético Madrid: -134, Mallorca: +390, Draw: +260
Atlético Madrid
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Atlético Madrid -0.75: -102, Mallorca +75: -118
Atlético Madrid -0.75
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlético Madrid -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlético Madrid to win straight up; Under 2.5 goals
Bristol City, currently 3rd in the Championship, host Oxford United, who sit 22nd, at Ashton Gate. Bristol City have solid recent form and a strong head-to-head record against Oxford United, who have struggled recently. The match is expected to favor the home side.
Key Factors to Consider
Bristol City have won 3 of their last 5 games and show strong scoring ability at home. Oxford United's last 5 games include only 1 win and 2 draws with weaker goal scoring and higher goals conceded.
Bristol City lead the H2H series with 3 wins out of the last 5 meetings, while Oxford has only 1 win and 1 draw. Past encounters typically feature over 2.5 goals.
No specific injury data provided but no major absences reported for either side that would significantly impact starting lineups.
Match played at Bristol City's home ground, Ashton Gate, providing home advantage. No adverse weather or external disruptions reported.
Bristol City motivated to maintain top Championship position; Oxford United under pressure near the relegation zone to gain points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -172, away: 430, draw: 280
Bristol City
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Bristol City -0.75: -128, Oxford United +75: 108
Bristol City -0.75
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
over 2.5: -108, under 2.5: -112
Over 2.5 Goals
★★★☆☆ 69%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bristol City 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bristol City to win on the moneyline, covering -0.75 spread with a moderately high scoring match expected over 2.5 goals.
Eintracht Frankfurt hosts Union Berlin in a Bundesliga clash. Frankfurt, coming off a strong Champions League win and recent high-scoring performances, looks confident. Union Berlin struggles with defensive issues and key injuries, including the suspension of defender Tom Rothe.
Key Factors to Consider
Eintracht Frankfurt has shown strong offensive form, scoring 3+ goals in each of their last five games. Union Berlin has conceded 7 goals in their last two defeats, highlighting defensive instability.
Recent matches favor Eintracht Frankfurt with better consistency; Frankfurt won the majority of recent encounters, and draws are less frequent.
Union Berlin will miss key defender Tom Rothe due to suspension. Eintracht Frankfurt has no major reported absences impacting their core lineup.
Frankfurt's home advantage at Deutsche Bank Park and recent morale boost from a dominant European win enhance their confidence and momentum.
Frankfurt seeks to regain Bundesliga form after a recent league loss and to build on European success. Union Berlin aims to halt a poor run but faces pressure due to defensive frailties.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -184, away: 450, draw: 345
Eintracht Frankfurt
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
home_-1: -112, away_+1: -108
Eintracht Frankfurt -1
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
over_3: -105, under_3: -115
Over 3 goals
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Eintracht Frankfurt 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt to win outright, covering the -1 spread, with a high-scoring game over 3 goals total.
Sunderland, newly promoted, have started the season strongly with solid home form and sit in the top six, while Aston Villa have struggled badly, failing to score in their last five Premier League games and sitting near the bottom of the table.
Key Factors to Consider
Sunderland have won two home matches and drawn one overall this season, showing a strong defense and some attacking promise, particularly from Wilson Isidor. Aston Villa have failed to score in their last five league matches, showing a lack of offensive threat.
Historically, Aston Villa hold the advantage with only one loss in the last 12 meetings vs Sunderland, but the last fixture was in 2018, reducing relevance. Sunderland’s current home advantage and form shift the balance.
No major injury news disclosed; however, Aston Villa’s offensive struggles hint at possible confidence or lineup issues affecting key attackers like Ollie Watkins.
Sunderland benefit from strong home crowd support at Stadium of Light and momentum from recent results. Villa face growing pressure to end their goalless run and pick up points.
Sunderland are motivated to continue their historic home winning streak and maintain their high league position. Aston Villa are desperate to break their scoring drought and avoid an extended slump.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Aston Villa: +111, Sunderland: +250, Draw: +222
Draw
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Aston Villa -0.5: +108, Sunderland +50: -143
Sunderland +0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5: +116, Under 2.5: -154
Under 2.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 45%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)