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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa and Newcastle United face off in the opening weekend of the 2025/26 Premier League season. Both sides finished in the top six last season, with Newcastle fifth and Villa sixth, indicating a closely matched contest with high-quality attacking players on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa ended last season strong with 12 home wins and a potent attacking line led by Ollie Watkins (19 goals). Newcastle finished slightly higher but struggled in pre-season, managing only draws and a loss. Villa's pre-season was more convincing with wins against Roma and Villarreal.
  • Recent head-to-head matches slightly favor Newcastle with a 3-1 win earlier in 2025 and a 3-0 victory in December 2024. However, Villa secured a 4-1 win in their last meeting in April 2025, showing these teams can exchange decisive results.
  • Aston Villa face doubts with Morgan Rogers injured, Ross Barkley out, and Emiliano Martinez suspended, potentially weakening their defensive options. Newcastle's injury updates are less severe but Anthony Gordon's availability is uncertain, impacting their attacking threat.
  • Villa plays at home with strong fan support at Villa Park, a venue where they were formidable last season. Newcastle face travel fatigue and have a less successful pre-season form which may affect their sharpness.
  • Both teams are motivated to start strong after missing out on Champions League qualification narrowly last year. Villa look to build on home advantage and rectify defensive lapses, while Newcastle seek to avoid a slow start given their pre-season struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 1.3, Newcastle United: 1.97, Draw: 2.6 Aston Villa ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Aston Villa -0.25: 1.01, Newcastle United +25: 1.17 Aston Villa -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3: 1.03, Under 3: 1.19 Under 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle United Prediction

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-16 Time: 11:30 AM UTC Location: Villa Park Game Overview Aston Villa and Newcastle United face off in the opening weekend of the 2025/26 Premier League season. Both sides finished in the top six last season, with Newcastle fifth and Villa sixth, indicating […]

Aston Villa August 16, 2025 newcastle united Soccer

MORE FROM EPL

Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Anfield, Liverpool, England

Game Overview

Liverpool, reigning Premier League champions, face Bournemouth in the season opener at Anfield. Liverpool have shown strong pre-season form with dominant wins and key attacking signings, while Bournemouth rely on high pressing and counter-attacks but have defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool have displayed potent attacking form in pre-season, scoring multiple goals per game and showing depth with new signings like Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike. Bournemouth had mixed pre-season results with impressive wins but exposed defensive issues.
  • Liverpool have dominated the recent head-to-head matchups, winning the last five encounters comfortably, including 3-0 and 4-0 away victories, reflecting a clear quality gap.
  • No major injuries reported for Liverpool or Bournemouth ahead of the match, allowing both sides to deploy near-full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Anfield provides Liverpool with a significant home advantage due to strong fan support and the stadium atmosphere.
  • As reigning champions and title favorites, Liverpool are highly motivated to start the season strongly. Bournemouth aim to build on a solid prior season but enter as clear underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liverpool -350, Bournemouth 785, Draw 530 Liverpool ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Liverpool -1.75 (-104), Bournemouth +1.75 (-112) Liverpool -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 (-108), Under 3.5 (-108) Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool to win comfortably with both teams to score.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Liverpool


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Bournemouth vs. Leicester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Leicester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, England

Game Overview

The match between Bournemouth and Leicester City on May 25, 2025, at Vitality Stadium is a critical Premier League encounter. Bournemouth ranks higher at 11th place, while Leicester City is at 18th. The home team seeks to capitalize on their position, while Leicester will aim to secure crucial points to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bournemouth has been performing better overall this season, sitting higher in the league table. Leicester City, however, has talent that could pose a threat if they can capitalize on their strengths.
  • Given the current rankings and recent performances, Bournemouth might have an edge in their head-to-head encounters, but specific details are not provided in the data.
  • Injury reports are not mentioned, but they can significantly impact the match outcome. It is crucial to check the latest injury updates before the match.
  • External factors such as weather and crowd support can influence the game. Bournemouth will likely have the home advantage, which could boost their morale.
  • Both teams have strong motivations—Bournemouth to secure points for a better league finish, and Leicester City to avoid relegation or improve their position in the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bournemouth: -310, Leicester City: 680, Draw: 440 Bournemouth ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bournemouth: -1.5 -115, Leicester City: 1.5 -115 Bournemouth ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3.5 116, Under: 3.5 -155 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bournemouth -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bournemouth is favored to win due to their league position and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Bournemouth 2, Leicester City 1


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Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: City Ground

Game Overview

Nottingham Forest faces Chelsea in their final Premier League match of the season, with Chelsea looking to secure a strong finish after a challenging campaign. The Blues have been busy, contesting the Conference League final just days before this match. Nottingham Forest, having overachieved this season, may have less pressure on them compared to Chelsea, who are favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chelsea has shown strong attacking form this season, with Cole Palmer creating 87 chances in the Premier League, the most by a Chelsea player since Mason Mount in 2020-21. Nottingham Forest, however, will be without key players like Taiwo Awoniyi due to injury.
  • Nottingham Forest has won just one of their last seven Premier League games against Chelsea, with a recent 1-0 win at Stamford Bridge in September 2023. Chelsea won the reverse fixture 3-2 in the 2023-24 campaign.
  • Nottingham Forest is missing Taiwo Awoniyi, while defender Murillo is doubtful. Chelsea has doubts over Christopher Nkunku and Marc Guiu, with Nicolas Jackson suspended.
  • Chelsea's involvement in the Conference League final could impact their performance, as they may have fatigued players.
  • Chelsea is under more pressure to perform well, given their expectations for the season. Nottingham Forest, having overachieved, may have less pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chelsea: 115, Nottingham Forest: 204, Draw: 265 Chelsea ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Chelsea: -0.5 111, Nottingham Forest: 50 -148 Chelsea ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -152, Under: 2.5 114 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chelsea -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chelsea at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chelsea is favored to win this match due to their strong attacking capabilities and despite potential fatigue from the Conference League final.

Predicted Score: Chelsea 2, Nottingham Forest 1


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Tottenham Hotspur vs. Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton and Hove Albion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Game Overview

Tottenham Hotspur hosts Brighton and Hove Albion in a crucial Premier League clash, with Tottenham looking to capitalize on their historical dominance against Brighton while Brighton aims to continue their strong recent form and challenge for points away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tottenham Hotspur has shown resilience and attacking prowess in recent matches, with notable wins such as 3-1 against Brentford and 4-0 against Everton. Brighton has been competitive, securing draws and narrow losses, demonstrating solid defensive organization but less consistent attacking output.
  • Historically, Tottenham has dominated head-to-head encounters, winning 13 out of 19 matches (68.4%), while Brighton has won 5 and there has been 1 draw. Matches tend to be moderately high-scoring with an average of roughly 2.7 goals per game. Tottenham’s home record against Brighton is particularly strong, favoring Spurs significantly.
  • Current injury reports do not indicate any major absences impacting key players on either side, suggesting both teams are likely to field close to their best available squads.
  • Playing at home gives Tottenham an added advantage with strong fan support and familiarity with pitch conditions. The timing late in the season may influence player fatigue but also intensifies motivation for final league positioning.
  • Tottenham will be motivated to maintain or improve their league standing by securing a home win, whereas Brighton will seek to upset the odds and gain valuable points in an away fixture, possibly targeting a draw or narrow win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brighton and Hove Albion: -145, Tottenham Hotspur: 300, Draw: 340 Brighton and Hove Albion to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Brighton and Hove Albion -0.5: -148, Tottenham Hotspur +50: 111 Brighton and Hove Albion -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 3.5: -127, Under 3.5: -105 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brighton and Hove Albion -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brighton and Hove Albion at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brighton and Hove Albion are slight favorites given current odds and form, but Tottenham’s strong historical record at home and attacking capabilities suggest a tightly contested match potentially decided by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Brighton 2 – 1 Tottenham


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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Brentford Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Molineux Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming English Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Brentford is set to take place at Molineux Stadium on May 25, 2025, at 15:00 UTC. Wolverhampton has struggled recently, losing their last three matches after a strong six-game winning streak that secured their Premier League safety. Brentford comes into this game with good scoring form but has some injury concerns. Both teams will be looking to end the season on a positive note.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers have lost their last three games, including a 4-2 loss to Crystal Palace and a 0-2 home defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion. After initially securing safety with a six-match winning streak, their form has dipped significantly. Brentford, in contrast, have shown strong attacking performances recently, with wins such as 4-3 over Manchester United and 2-0 at Nottingham Forest, indicating they are in better scoring shape going into the match.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Wolverhampton and Brentford have had competitive encounters in the Premier League this season. Both teams have demonstrated potential to score multiple goals, making the matchup potentially high-scoring. The home advantage at Molineux may factor in favor of Wolves.
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers face significant injury challenges with at least five players out and Tommy Doyle uncertain due to a late fitness test. Nelson Semedo, Jose Sa, and Joao Gomes may return to start, while Matheus Cunha might be on the bench. Brentford have doubts including Michael Kayode, with Kristoffer Ajer potentially deputizing at right-back. Fabio Carvalho, Vitaly Janelt, Aaron Hickey, and Josh Dasilva are confirmed absentees, though the manager Thomas Frank is unlikely to overhaul the XI after their recent defeat.
  • The match is late in the season when motivation can be variable, but Wolves' recent poor form and Brentford's attacking momentum may create a dynamic contest. Weather and pitch conditions at Molineux should be typical for late May with no significant external disruptions reported.
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers have recently secured safety but come off three consecutive losses, so motivation to bounce back at home will be high. Brentford, having had strong attacking outings recently and fighting to consolidate a good league position, will be motivated to continue their positive run and finish well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brentford: 1.37, Wolverhampton Wanderers: 1.65, Draw: 2.7 Brentford to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Brentford (-0.5): 1.32, Wolverhampton Wanderers (+50): 1.78 Brentford -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 1.25, Under 3.5: 1.67 Under 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brentford 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brentford at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Wolverhampton's recent decline in form and Brentford's better recent attacking performances, Brentford have a slight edge despite being the away side. The match is likely to be competitive with multiple goals scored.

Predicted Score: Brentford 2 – 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers


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Manchester United vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Manchester United vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Old Trafford

Game Overview

This match between Manchester United and Aston Villa is a pivotal Premier League fixture. Manchester United generally performs well against Aston Villa historically, but recent trends and odds suggest Aston Villa could pose a strong challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester United has historically dominated Aston Villa, winning a significant number of their head-to-head matches. However, Aston Villa's recent form has been impressive, particularly in away games.
  • Manchester United has a strong historical advantage over Aston Villa, winning about 74% of their direct matches. However, Aston Villa has shown resilience in recent encounters.
  • Specific injury details are not provided, but both teams should be cautious with key players' availability.
  • Home advantage typically favors Manchester United, but Aston Villa's confidence and recent away wins could mitigate this.
  • Both teams are likely motivated to secure a win, especially given the stage of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -144, Manchester United: 330, Draw: 310 Aston Villa Win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Aston Villa: -0.5 -147, Manchester United: 50 110 Aston Villa to Cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -173, Under: 2.5 129 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa -32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on historical dominance and home advantage, Manchester United is likely to put up a strong fight, but Aston Villa's recent form suggests they could secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Aston Villa


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Ipswich Town vs. West Ham United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs West Ham United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Portman Road, Ipswich Town's Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Ipswich Town and West Ham United in the 2025 Premier League season promises a competitive encounter. Ipswich Town, playing at home, have been involved in moderately high scoring games this season. West Ham United, with a slightly better record in head-to-head clashes, could leverage their away form to challenge Ipswich effectively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ipswich Town has averaged 1.09 goals per match at home this season, with 50% of their home games exceeding 2.5 total goals. West Ham United has averaged 1.31 goals per away match and similarly has 50% of away games over 2.5 goals. Both teams show strong attacking tendencies, with over 1.5 goals in over 80% of their respective home and away matches.
  • Historically, West Ham United leads the head-to-head record with 12 wins against Ipswich Town's 6 over 22 meetings. Four matches ended in a draw. Matches between these sides typically produce an average of 3.05 goals, indicating an open and attacking style from both teams.
  • No specific injury information is provided, but monitoring team line-ups close to match day is advised to assess impact on squad strength.
  • No notable external factors such as weather or pitch conditions currently affect the match. Both teams are expected to compete under standard conditions.
  • West Ham United may be more motivated given their historical dominance and slightly stronger seasonal performance. Ipswich Town will aim to defend home advantage and improve their head-to-head record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ipswich Town: 192, West Ham United: 116, Draw: 275 West Ham United to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Ipswich Town +50: -150, West Ham United -0.5: 113 West Ham United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 122, Under 3.5: -163 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline West Ham United 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: West Ham United at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Ham United is favored to win the match based on head-to-head records, current form, and odds. The game is likely to be fairly open with multiple goals scored.

Predicted Score: Ipswich Town 1 – 2 West Ham United


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Newcastle United vs. Everton Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Everton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United hosts Everton at St James' Park on the final day of the Premier League season. Newcastle, currently 4th in the table, require a win to secure UEFA Champions League qualification. Everton, placed 13th, have had a decent second half of the season under David Moyes but are not in contention for European spots. The match is crucial for Newcastle’s top-five ambitions and Champions League qualification hopes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United has won their final league game in 8 of the last 10 seasons. They have shown strong recent form, including a 2-0 win over Chelsea and a draw with Brighton. Everton has improved since Moyes’ first Premier League victory in January 19 and picked up 28 points thereafter, making them a tougher opponent than earlier in the season.
  • Pre-match simulations by Opta give Newcastle a 67.5% chance of winning versus Everton. Historically, Newcastle has had upper hand in recent matches this season and overall in the league.
  • No specific injury updates available from the search results. It can be inferred that both teams are likely to field strongest available squads given the importance of the fixture.
  • The match is played at Newcastle’s home ground, which gives them a strong home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not explicitly mentioned.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated, needing a win to guarantee Champions League football next season. Everton, mid-table and safe, lack direct stakes but may look to spoil Newcastle’s ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton: 710, Newcastle United: -319, Draw: 440 Newcastle United win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Everton: 1.5 -114, Newcastle United: -1.5 -117 Newcastle United -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.5: 126, Under 3.5: -169 Under 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A Newcastle United victory is the most probable outcome considering their form, motivation, and simulations.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Southampton vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton will host Arsenal for the final match of the Premier League season at St. Mary's Stadium. Arsenal are clear favorites, showing strong recent form in the league, while Southampton face injury challenges and have struggled for consistent results. The match is critical for Arsenal to possibly secure or consolidate their top-table standing, whereas Southampton look to end their campaign positively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal have shown dominant performance in recent matches, securing a 3-1 victory over Southampton earlier this season and holding positive momentum towards the end of the campaign. Southampton's form has been mixed, with injury setbacks affecting key players and a line-up that lacks depth compared to Arsenal.
  • In the last five meetings, Arsenal have the upper hand with three wins, including a recent 3-1 victory on 5 October 2024. Southampton managed a draw and a single victory during this period, indicating Arsenal's overall superior performance against them.
  • Southampton face notable absences including Albert Gronbaek, Charlie Taylor, and Ryan Fraser still sidelined. Jan Bednarek is doubtful, while Kyle Walker-Peters is expected to play despite recent illness. Arsenal have updates on William Saliba and Jurrien Timber but no clear major injury disruptions reported.
  • The match is played at Southampton’s home ground, which may offer some advantage, but Arsenal’s superior squad quality and season-long form mitigate this factor. The game is not televised in the UK but has radio commentary, affecting viewer reach.
  • Arsenal are motivated to secure as high a finish as possible in the league standings and possibly set or maintain records approaching the season's end. Southampton are motivated to finish the season strongly at home, but their objectives are less critical compared to Arsenal's ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal: -350, Southampton: 780, Draw: 460 Arsenal win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Arsenal: -1.5 -128, Southampton: 1.5 -104 Arsenal -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: 118, Under 3.5: -157 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal are expected to win comfortably based on form, squad strength, and historical performance. Southampton may struggle to contain Arsenal’s attacking options, and Arsenal's defensive solidity should limit Southampton's scoring chances.

Predicted Score: Arsenal 3 – 1 Southampton


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