Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs San Jose State Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (8-2) host San Jose State Spartans (3-7) in a pivotal Mountain West matchup. The Aztecs, with a top-ranked pass defense, face a Spartans team boasting the No. 4 passing attack in college football. San Diego State can clinch a spot in the conference championship with a win, while San Jose State is out of bowl contention. The game is set for Snapdragon Stadium, with national TV coverage on FS1.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has allowed 10 or fewer points in four of its last five games, with three shutout wins and seven games allowing 10 or fewer points. The Aztecs are 7-1 straight up and 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games. San Jose State has allowed 26 or more points in nine consecutive games, scoring just 13.0 PPG in its last two outings. The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and have lost four of their last five overall.
• San Diego State has won two of the last three meetings, with a 2-1 record against the spread. The Aztecs have outscored the Spartans by 11 points across the last three matchups. The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last four meetings.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The game will be played at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego State's home field, which provides a strong home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no adverse impact anticipated.
• San Diego State is highly motivated to clinch a spot in the Mountain West Conference championship game. San Jose State, eliminated from bowl contention, may lack the same level of motivation, potentially affecting their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is expected to dominate this matchup, leveraging their elite pass defense against a struggling San Jose State offense. The Aztecs are likely to cover the spread and keep the game under the total points line, given their recent defensive form and the Spartans' offensive struggles.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 35, San Jose State 12

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Game Overview

The San Diego State Aztecs (7-2) face the Boise State Broncos (6-3) in a Mountain West Conference clash with significant implications for the conference race. Both teams exhibit strong passing defenses, ranked 11th and 12th nationally respectively, promising a defensive battle with controlled offensive production. The game is expected to be close, with the Aztecs favored to win at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State shows a robust defensive record, allowing only 13.1 points per game (2nd nationally), contrasting with Boise State's 24.0 points allowed (59th nationally). Offensively, Boise State averages 32.1 points per game, outperforming San Diego State’s 26.3 points, but Boise State struggles more with turnovers (14 allowed) compared to San Diego State (10). The Aztecs have covered the spread 7 out of 9 times, while Boise State is 6-2-1 ATS this season.
• Boise State holds a 6-4 series advantage historically and won the last meeting 56-24 at home. However, San Diego State is a 3-point favorite this time playing at home, with home-field advantage potentially impacting results. San Diego State’s lone San Diego victory over Boise State was in 2013.
• No specific injury updates were provided in the available data, but Boise State’s quarterback uncertainty has been noted following recent losses, potentially impacting offensive consistency.
• The game will be played at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, with Boise State coming off a bye week, possibly rested. San Diego State is motivated to secure hosting rights for the Mountain West championship game on December 5.
• Both teams have strong motivation, but San Diego State aims to maintain conference dominance and improve postseason positioning, while Boise State looks to overcome prior losses and sustain its strong conference play record.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs are predicted to win a closely contested game, leveraging superior defense and home advantage, with a final score around 24-20.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 24, Boise State Broncos 20

Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, Hawaii

Game Overview

This Mountain West Conference matchup features the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (6-3, 3-2 MWC) hosting the San Diego State Aztecs (7-1, 4-0 MWC) in a pivotal late-season game. San Diego State enters as the clear favorite, boasting the nation's eighth-ranked pass defense and a stingy overall defense, while Hawaii counters with the sixth-ranked pass offense and a strong home record. The Aztecs are favored by 6.5-7 points, with the total set at 49.5 points. The game will be played at 11 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 8, 2025, at Hawaii's Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State is ranked 8th nationally in pass defense (155.6 yards allowed per game) and 2nd in points allowed (10.0 per game). They average 28.9 points and 185.3 rushing yards per game. Hawaii ranks 60th in scoring (29.7 points per game) and 81st in points allowed (25.7 per game). Hawaii's offense is led by Micah Alejado (2,124 passing yards, 15 TDs) and averages 410.0 total yards per game, but their defense is vulnerable, allowing 357.7 total yards per game. San Diego State's defense is elite, especially against the pass, which will be a major challenge for Hawaii's high-powered passing attack.
• Recent head-to-head results are not available in the provided sources, but San Diego State has dominated the series in recent years, winning the last several matchups. The Aztecs have a strong record against Hawaii, especially in conference play.
• No significant injuries are reported for either team in the available sources. Both teams are expected to be at full strength for this game.
• The game will be played in Honolulu, Hawaii, giving the Rainbow Warriors a home-field advantage. The climate and travel could be a factor for San Diego State, but the Aztecs are experienced in playing on the road. The weather is expected to be mild and conducive to passing, which could benefit Hawaii's offense.
• San Diego State is fighting for a Mountain West Championship and a potential New Year's Six bowl berth, making this a high-stakes game. Hawaii is looking to secure a winning season and a strong finish to the year, but their motivation may be slightly less given their position in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is the clear favorite due to their superior defense and overall team strength. Hawaii's offense is potent, but San Diego State's pass defense is likely to contain it. The Aztecs should win this game, but Hawaii's home-field advantage and offensive firepower could keep the game competitive. The total is likely to go under, as San Diego State's defense is expected to limit Hawaii's scoring.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 27, Hawaii 20

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Wyoming Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

Game Overview

The San Diego State Aztecs (6-1, 3-0 Mountain West) host the Wyoming Cowboys (4-4, 2-2 Mountain West) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. San Diego State has a strong home advantage and comes in on a 5-game winning streak, while Wyoming recently earned a 28-0 shutout victory. SDSU is bowl eligible with one of the best defenses in the conference, holding opponents to about 20.7 points per game, while Wyoming averages 79.3 points allowed per game. SDSU is heavily favored in this contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State exhibits solid all-around performance with a 6-1 record, unbeaten in conference play, and a strong defense allowing low points per game. Wyoming holds a middling 4-4 record and is inconsistent but did achieve a recent shutout win, suggesting defensive potential.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but historically San Diego State has been a dominant program within the Mountain West and holds a notable advantage playing at home.
• There is no direct injury data currently available for either team from recent updates.
• The game is at SD State's home stadium, offering significant home-field advantage including fan support and travel fatigue factors impacting Wyoming. The time zone difference (Wyoming is traveling west) may play a small role.
• San Diego State is motivated coming off a 5-game win streak and aiming to maintain bowl eligibility momentum, especially playing on Homecoming weekend. Wyoming is motivated after a strong shutout win to build on positive momentum for a possible upset on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs are expected to win convincingly due to their superior overall record, defensive strength, and home advantage. Wyoming may struggle to cover the large spread.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 27 – Wyoming Cowboys 14

Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Valley Children’s Stadium, Fresno, California

Game Overview

A key Mountain West Conference clash between Fresno State Bulldogs (5-2, 2-1 MWC) and San Diego State Aztecs (5-1, 2-0 MWC), both riding strong seasons with SDSU favored by a field goal on the road. The game features a matchup between SDSU's stingy defense (ranked 5th nationally in points allowed) and Fresno State's recent offensive form (over in 4 of last 6 games). The Aztecs rely more on the run game, while both teams have been defensively solid, suggesting a potentially lower-scoring affair.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State boasts a top-5 defense in points allowed (12.2 ppg) and ranks 21st in rush defense, but is below average in passing offense. Fresno State is on a 5-1 run straight up, with their offense trending over the total in recent games. Both teams are in the MWC title hunt, making this a high-stakes game.
• No recent head-to-head data is available in the search results. Historical context would typically be factored here for a complete analysis.
• No injury information is available in the search results. Updating with live injury reports would be critical for final wagering decisions.
• The game is at Fresno State, giving the Bulldogs a home-field advantage, but SDSU's defense travels well. Weather does not appear to be a major factor based on available data.
• Both teams are in contention for the MWC title. SDSU is unbeaten in conference play; Fresno State trails slightly but is playing at home. Expect high intensity from both squads.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is the more complete team, especially on defense, and is a slight road favorite. However, Fresno State is hot lately and has home-field advantage. The lean is toward SDSU by a field goal in a lower-scoring, defensive battle, but Fresno State covering the spread is a live underdog play. The total is tight; recent Fresno State games suggest the over could hit, but SDSU's defense and low-paced offense tilt the under.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 24, Fresno State 21

Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV

Game Overview

The Mountain West Conference matchup features San Diego State Aztecs (4-1, 1-0 MWC) visiting the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-4, 0-1 MWC). San Diego State is favored significantly, coming off a strong start to their season and a conference-opening win, while Nevada has struggled with only one win and recent offensive challenges, including experimenting with a wide receiver at quarterback due to injuries[1][2].

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State boasts an 'excellent defense' and has found a promising downfield passing game, suggesting they are hitting their stride at the right time. Nevada, by contrast, is struggling both offensively and defensively, ranking near the bottom of the conference in several key metrics[1][2].
• Recent head-to-head data was not specified in the available sources, but San Diego State's superior record and momentum suggest historical trends may favor them.
• Nevada has significant injury concerns at quarterback, having resorted to playing a wide receiver at the position in their previous game—a clear sign of desperation and potential further instability[1].
• Weather at kickoff is forecast to be clear and mild (49°F, 0% chance of rain), so conditions should not impede the favored team's strengths[1].
• San Diego State is looking to bolster its conference standing and build momentum for postseason contention. Nevada, meanwhile, is searching for any positive momentum in a rebuilding year.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is the clear favorite given both teams' current form and injury situations. Expect the Aztecs' defense to control the game, and their developing passing attack to exploit Nevada's weaknesses. Nevada's offensive instability makes an upset unlikely, though home-field advantage is their best hope for keeping it competitive[1].

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 24 – Nevada Wolf Pack 13

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Game Overview

The San Diego State Aztecs (3-1) host the Colorado State Rams (1-3) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. San Diego State is favored by approximately 5.5 to 6 points with a total game score line set near 40.5 points. The Aztecs have a strong defense allowing under 10 points per game while scoring around 24 points per game. Colorado State has struggled offensively, scoring about 15 points per game and allowing 23 defensively. Recent form favors San Diego State, who won their last game 6-3, while Colorado State lost 20-3 in their prior outing.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has a solid home record this season and a top-10 defense nationally (allowing 9.8 points per game). Colorado State has shown offensive struggles with only 15.3 points scored per game and a defense that concedes 23 points on average. San Diego State is also coming off a low-scoring defensive win compared to Colorado State’s recent loss where they were shut out in the second half.
• Recent historical encounters have favored San Diego State both home and away, particularly highlighted by the Aztecs’ consistent defensive dominance over Colorado State.
• No current major injuries reported for either team that significantly affect starting lineups or key positional players.
• The game is played at San Diego’s Snapdragon Stadium giving the Aztecs home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable with no reported impacts.
• San Diego State aims to maintain a strong conference record and prove consistency following a narrow win. Colorado State is motivated to upset a higher-ranked opponent to boost morale after a poor 1-3 start.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is predicted to win via both moneyline and spread due to superior defense, consistent performance, and home advantage. The total points are expected to stay under the 40.5 line given both teams’ recent low-scoring games and defensive strength.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 23 – Colorado State 14

Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, Illinois

Game Overview

The Northern Illinois Huskies (1-2) will face the San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) in an American college football matchup at Huskie Stadium. The game pits a Huskies team looking to rebound after two losses in their last three games against the Aztecs who are coming off a win and demonstrate a stronger overall start to the 2025 season. This contest features contrasting team trajectories and styles, with the Aztecs favored but the Huskies motivated to secure a home upset.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State arrives with a 2-1 record showing improvement and currently on a one-game winning streak, having won their last game away. Northern Illinois stands at 1-2 with losses in two of three games and is coming off a defeat on the road. The Aztecs have exhibited more consistent offensive and defensive execution, while the Huskies have struggled against stronger opponents.
• Recent historical data shows limited high-profile matchups between these teams, but the 2021 MAC Championship Game noted in previews suggests competitive games when they meet. No dominant head-to-head advantage is clear; however, San Diego State's stronger current form gives them an edge.
• No specific injury reports for key players on either team have been found in the available data, implying relatively healthy squads for the matchup.
• The game is played at Huskie Stadium, granting Northern Illinois home-field advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not specifically noted but should be typical late-September Midwest conditions.
• Northern Illinois is highly motivated to upset a favored San Diego State team at home to improve their early season record. San Diego State aims to continue momentum and strengthen their winning record to position themselves well in Mountain West conference play.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs are favored to win due to better form and odds, but the Huskies' home advantage and motivation could keep the game competitive. Expect a close game with a slight San Diego State victory.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 24, Northern Illinois Huskies 20

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs California Golden Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Game Overview

The California Golden Bears (3-0) visit the San Diego State Aztecs (1-1) in a Week 4 NCAA football game. Cal enters undefeated and is a strong favorite against San Diego State, who lost their last game decisively. The Golden Bears have shown solid offense and defense, while the Aztecs have struggled on the road this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• California is 3-0 with a recent 27-14 win over Minnesota, demonstrating balanced scoring and solid defense. San Diego State is 1-1, having opened with a 42-0 win but recently lost 36-13 to Washington State, indicating inconsistency and challenges against quality opponents.
• Recent direct matchup data is limited, but current form strongly favors California based on odds and season performance.
• No significant injury reports have been disclosed prior to the match affecting key players from either side.
• The game is played at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego (home venue for Aztecs), which could provide a home field advantage, but California's momentum and odds strongly counterbalance this.
• California aims to maintain an undefeated record and solidify its standing; San Diego State seeks to bounce back after a recent loss, providing motivation but underscored by a talent gap.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

California Golden Bears win convincingly, covering the spread and staying under the total points threshold.

Predicted Score: California Golden Bears 34 – San Diego State Aztecs 13

Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 20, 2025

Combined Odds: +597 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $139.37