Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (7-2) host Boise State Broncos (6-3) in a pivotal Mountain West matchup. Both teams show solid records, with San Diego State favored slightly at home. Offensive capabilities are balanced with Boise State featuring a strong rushing attack and San Diego State a stout defense. The matchup is expected to be competitive but leans to a defensive, moderately low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State is 3-2 in recent games and has covered the spread in four straight home games, showing consistency. Boise State is 3-1 in their last four, with strong rushing but struggles against favorites and on the road recently.
• The favorite has won 28 of Boise State's last 30 games historically. San Diego State has had the edge in covering spreads at home against Boise State lately.
• No major injuries reported for starting key players on either side, maintaining team integrity for both squads.
• Game played at Snapdragon Stadium favors the home Aztecs. Weather conditions likely neutral—no significant impact expected.
• San Diego State aims to solidify its Mountain West standing and maintain a strong home record. Boise State is highly motivated to remain tied for first in the conference but suffers underdog disadvantages here.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs to win outright, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total going under 41.5 points.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 24, Boise State Broncos 17

Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (7-1, 4-0 MW) visit Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (6-3, 3-2 MW) in a pivotal Mountain West matchup. The Aztecs are heavy favorites on the road, with a strong recent form and dominant H2H record. Hawaii has shown offensive firepower but inconsistent defense, especially in recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State is 7-1 overall and 4-0 in conference, riding a six-game win streak. Hawaii is 6-3 overall and 3-2 in conference, coming off a high-scoring loss to San Jose State. SDSU’s defense has been stout, allowing only 7 points in their last game. Hawaii’s defense has given up 38+ points in two of their last three games.
• San Diego State has won 5 of the last 6 meetings, including a 27-24 win in their most recent clash. The Aztecs have consistently controlled the matchup, especially on defense.
• No major injuries reported for either team at this time. Both squads are expected to field full-strength lineups.
• Game is played at Hawaii’s home venue, but the Aztecs have proven capable of winning on the road. Weather is expected to be mild with no significant impact on play.
• San Diego State is fighting for a conference title and potential playoff implications. Hawaii is aiming to stay in the top half of the Mountain West but faces a tough test against the league’s top team.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs to win outright and cover the spread, with a low-scoring game due to SDSU’s defensive dominance.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 27, Hawaii 20

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +402

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $100.4

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Wyoming Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (6-1) host the Wyoming Cowboys (4-4) in an MWC clash with San Diego State heavily favored based on recent form, home advantage, and superior statistical metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has demonstrated strong form at 6-1, with a stout defense and efficient offense. Wyoming is middling at 4-4 with inconsistency on both sides of the ball, especially struggling offensively away from home.
• Recent head-to-head results favor San Diego State, with the Aztecs covering spreads comfortably and winning by double digits in most recent meetings.
• No major injuries reported for San Diego State; Wyoming's key offensive starters have minor injuries that may limit effectiveness.
• The game is at San Diego State’s home stadium providing a significant home-field advantage including fan support and favorable weather conditions.
• San Diego State is motivated to solidify their position for a top MWC seed, while Wyoming faces pressure to improve their losing record but has less overall incentive given recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -10.5 spread, and the total score to go under 41.5.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 27, Wyoming 13

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +106

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.18

Match Analysis: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Valley Children’s Stadium, Fresno, California

Game Overview

The San Diego State Aztecs (5-1) visit the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-2) in a key Mountain West Conference matchup. San Diego State is favored by 3 points and favored on the moneyline with odds at -148 compared to Fresno State’s +124. The total points over/under is set at 47.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has a strong defense, ranking 5th nationally in points allowed (12.2 per game) and limiting opponents to low passing and rushing yards. Fresno State has been solid with a 5-1 recent SU streak and tends to push games over 47.5 points, having gone over in 4 of their last 6 contests.
• Recent H2H data is limited but the current market favors San Diego State by 3 points, reflecting slight but consistent superiority especially defensively.
• No critical injury information was available for either team at the time of analysis, suggesting stable lineups.
• Fresno State has home-field advantage, playing in Valley Children’s Stadium, which may slightly boost their performance.
• Both teams are motivated to maintain strong conference standing; San Diego State aims to preserve an undefeated or near-undefeated record while Fresno State seeks to assert dominance at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bet on San Diego State moneyline, San Diego State -3 spread, and total over 47.5 points

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 27 – Fresno State Bulldogs 21

Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 11, 2025
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada

Game Overview

This matchup pits the San Diego State Aztecs, a strong defensive team with a 4-1 record, against the struggling Nevada Wolf Pack with a 1-4 record. The Aztecs have been averaging 30.8 points per game and allowing just 12.6 points per game, while Nevada has been averaging 14.2 points per game and allowing 25.6 points per game.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has shown consistent offense and defense, while Nevada has struggled offensively and defensively.
• San Diego State leads the series 9-7, but Nevada won their last meeting 6-0 in 2023.
• No significant injury updates available.
• Weather conditions are expected to be favorable with no rain and minimal wind.
• San Diego State appears more motivated coming off several wins, while Nevada is looking to turn their season around.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is favored in this matchup, but Nevada's desperation to win could lead to a closer game.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 24, Nevada 14

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (3-1) face Colorado State Rams (1-3) in a Mountain West Conference matchup with San Diego State as clear favorites at home. The line is around San Diego State -6 with a total near 40.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has a strong defense allowing less than 10 points per game and an efficient ground attack, winning their last game 6-3. Colorado State struggles offensively, averaging just over 15 points while allowing 23 points per game, recently suffering a 20-3 loss to Washington State.
• Recent head-to-head matchups favor San Diego State's defensive dominance. Market movement suggests steady support for SDSU with no significant line changes despite Colorado State's recent poor performance.
• No major injury reports significantly impacting either team’s starting lineup have been observed.
• Game played at San Diego State’s home stadium, providing a robust home-field advantage. Public and sharp money align favorably toward San Diego State.
• San Diego State aims to solidify their winning record and maintain conference superiority, while Colorado State seeks to rebound from a poor start and last game shutout but might lack confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State to win straight up with a moderate margin, and the total points to go under 40.5 based on defensive strengths and recent low scoring games.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 17 – Colorado State 10

Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium

Game Overview

Northern Illinois Huskies host San Diego State Aztecs in a tightly contested matchup with the Aztecs favored by a narrow margin on the road. Both teams have faced challenges in September, but San Diego State shows a stronger recent form and efficiency on offense and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State is 2-1 this season and has been more consistent overall, with better yardage efficiency metrics. Northern Illinois is 1-2 and struggles recently in September, going 1-8 SU in last 9 Septembers.
• No recent or relevant head-to-head data indicating dominance by either side; matchup appears balanced.
• No major injury reports affecting key starters on either team have been noted ahead of this matchup.
• Neutral weather expected, with no significant external disturbances. Brigham Field provides a home advantage for Northern Illinois.
• San Diego State is motivated to establish dominance on the road and consolidate their winning record. Northern Illinois needs a win to reverse poor early-season form, adding motivation at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State -2.5 (spread); Moneyline San Diego State; Under 43.5 total points

Predicted Score: San Diego State 20 – Northern Illinois 17

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs California Golden Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

Game Overview

The California Golden Bears enter this matchup undefeated at 3-0 and are heavy favorites against the San Diego State Aztecs, who have a 1-1 record. California has shown a strong offense and defense, while San Diego State has been inconsistent, especially on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• California is undefeated this season with strong offensive output, averaging over 30 points per game, whereas San Diego State has split 1-1 and struggled with scoring consistency. Cal's defense has also been stout allowing fewer points than San Diego State.
• Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor California, who have dominated the matchups both straight up and against the spread.
• No major injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups significantly, giving both squads near full strength.
• The game is played at San Diego’s home stadium which could provide a minor home field advantage to the Aztecs, but crowd impact may be mitigated by California’s superior team quality.
• California is motivated to maintain their undefeated status and prove dominance in the conference, while San Diego State aims to even out their record and avoid an opening road loss margin.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bet on California Golden Bears moneyline for the highest EV, given their strong season start, dominant head-to-head history, and the wide odds value presented.

Predicted Score: California Golden Bears 31, San Diego State Aztecs 16