Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Stony Brook Seawolves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs open their 2025 season as heavy favorites hosting the Stony Brook Seawolves. San Diego State is projected as a much stronger team on both sides of the ball, with expectations of a dominant performance at home in a likely high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State enters with an improved offense compared to previous years and a strong recent form in covering spreads. Stony Brook lacks comparable defensive strength and is expected to struggle stopping the Aztecs' rushing attack.
• No recent direct matchups available, but historical performance and program strength heavily favors San Diego State.
• No major reported injuries to key players affecting either team at this time.
• Game is at San Diego State's home stadium, Snapdragon Stadium, with outdoor conditions favorable for offense. No adverse weather or travel issues noted.
• Season opener for both; San Diego State motivated to start strong against an overmatched opponent. Stony Brook faces a tough road challenge which may impact morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs: -1050, Stony Brook Seawolves: +660	San Diego State Aztecs	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	San Diego State Aztecs: -18.5 -110, Stony Brook Seawolves: +18.5 -110	San Diego State Aztecs -18.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110	Over 53.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 53.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs to win straight up, cover the -18.5 spread, and the game to go over 53.5 total points.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 42 – Stony Brook Seawolves 17