Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 11, 2025
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada

Game Overview

This matchup pits the San Diego State Aztecs, a strong defensive team with a 4-1 record, against the struggling Nevada Wolf Pack with a 1-4 record. The Aztecs have been averaging 30.8 points per game and allowing just 12.6 points per game, while Nevada has been averaging 14.2 points per game and allowing 25.6 points per game.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has shown consistent offense and defense, while Nevada has struggled offensively and defensively.
• San Diego State leads the series 9-7, but Nevada won their last meeting 6-0 in 2023.
• No significant injury updates available.
• Weather conditions are expected to be favorable with no rain and minimal wind.
• San Diego State appears more motivated coming off several wins, while Nevada is looking to turn their season around.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nevada: 240, San Diego State: -295	San Diego State	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Nevada: +7.5 -110, San Diego State: -7.5 -110	San Diego State -7.5	★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under	Over: 41.5 -105, Under: 41.5 -115	Under	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 41.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State is favored in this matchup, but Nevada's desperation to win could lead to a closer game.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 24, Nevada 14

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (3-1) face Colorado State Rams (1-3) in a Mountain West Conference matchup with San Diego State as clear favorites at home. The line is around San Diego State -6 with a total near 40.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State has a strong defense allowing less than 10 points per game and an efficient ground attack, winning their last game 6-3. Colorado State struggles offensively, averaging just over 15 points while allowing 23 points per game, recently suffering a 20-3 loss to Washington State.
• Recent head-to-head matchups favor San Diego State's defensive dominance. Market movement suggests steady support for SDSU with no significant line changes despite Colorado State's recent poor performance.
• No major injury reports significantly impacting either team’s starting lineup have been observed.
• Game played at San Diego State’s home stadium, providing a robust home-field advantage. Public and sharp money align favorably toward San Diego State.
• San Diego State aims to solidify their winning record and maintain conference superiority, while Colorado State seeks to rebound from a poor start and last game shutout but might lack confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -240, away: +195	San Diego State	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	home: -122, away: +100	San Diego State -5.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: -112, under: -108	Under 40.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 40.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 40.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State to win straight up with a moderate margin, and the total points to go under 40.5 based on defensive strengths and recent low scoring games.

Predicted Score: San Diego State 17 – Colorado State 10

Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium

Game Overview

Northern Illinois Huskies host San Diego State Aztecs in a tightly contested matchup with the Aztecs favored by a narrow margin on the road. Both teams have faced challenges in September, but San Diego State shows a stronger recent form and efficiency on offense and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State is 2-1 this season and has been more consistent overall, with better yardage efficiency metrics. Northern Illinois is 1-2 and struggles recently in September, going 1-8 SU in last 9 Septembers.
• No recent or relevant head-to-head data indicating dominance by either side; matchup appears balanced.
• No major injury reports affecting key starters on either team have been noted ahead of this matchup.
• Neutral weather expected, with no significant external disturbances. Brigham Field provides a home advantage for Northern Illinois.
• San Diego State is motivated to establish dominance on the road and consolidate their winning record. Northern Illinois needs a win to reverse poor early-season form, adding motivation at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Northern Illinois Huskies: +110, San Diego State Aztecs: -130	San Diego State Aztecs	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Northern Illinois Huskies: +2.5 -112, San Diego State Aztecs: -2.5 -108	San Diego State Aztecs -2.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 43.5 -110, Under: 43.5 -110	Under 43.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 43.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State -2.5 (spread); Moneyline San Diego State; Under 43.5 total points

Predicted Score: San Diego State 20 – Northern Illinois 17

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs California Golden Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

Game Overview

The California Golden Bears enter this matchup undefeated at 3-0 and are heavy favorites against the San Diego State Aztecs, who have a 1-1 record. California has shown a strong offense and defense, while San Diego State has been inconsistent, especially on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• California is undefeated this season with strong offensive output, averaging over 30 points per game, whereas San Diego State has split 1-1 and struggled with scoring consistency. Cal's defense has also been stout allowing fewer points than San Diego State.
• Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor California, who have dominated the matchups both straight up and against the spread.
• No major injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups significantly, giving both squads near full strength.
• The game is played at San Diego’s home stadium which could provide a minor home field advantage to the Aztecs, but crowd impact may be mitigated by California’s superior team quality.
• California is motivated to maintain their undefeated status and prove dominance in the conference, while San Diego State aims to even out their record and avoid an opening road loss margin.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	California Golden Bears: -485, San Diego State Aztecs: +370	California Golden Bears	★★★★☆ 81%
Spread	California Golden Bears -12.5: -110, San Diego State Aztecs +12.5: -110	California Golden Bears -12.5	★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under	Over 47.5: -112, Under 47.5: -108	Under 47.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on California Golden Bears moneyline for the highest EV, given their strong season start, dominant head-to-head history, and the wide odds value presented.

Predicted Score: California Golden Bears 31, San Diego State Aztecs 16

Match Analysis: Washington State Cougars vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 2:15 AM UTC
• Location: Gesa Field at Martin Stadium

Game Overview

The Washington State Cougars and San Diego State Aztecs both enter the season opener with 1-0 records, meeting at Martin Stadium. The contest is expected to be closely fought, with the Cougars slightly favored at home in a game projected around a moderate scoring total.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams started 1-0 showing competent form. Washington State's offense is projected to be strong and efficient at home, while San Diego State boasts a tough defense that can keep games close.
• Recent H2H data is limited; historically, meetings have been competitive with no significant dominance by either team.
• No reported injuries for either team ahead of the matchup, suggesting full-strength lineups.
• Playing at home gives Washington State a minor advantage; travel and environment may slightly affect San Diego State.
• Season opener stakes are high for both programs, aiming to start 2-0 and build momentum, providing strong motivation for both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -115, away: -105	Washington State Cougars	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	home: -105, away: -115	Washington State Cougars -1.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	over: -108, under: -112	Under 45.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Washington State Cougars 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 45.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Washington State to win straight up on moneyline; cover the -1.5 spread; game to go under 45.5 points

Predicted Score: Washington State 24 – San Diego State 20

Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Stony Brook Seawolves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-29
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs open their 2025 season as heavy favorites hosting the Stony Brook Seawolves. San Diego State is projected as a much stronger team on both sides of the ball, with expectations of a dominant performance at home in a likely high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• San Diego State enters with an improved offense compared to previous years and a strong recent form in covering spreads. Stony Brook lacks comparable defensive strength and is expected to struggle stopping the Aztecs' rushing attack.
• No recent direct matchups available, but historical performance and program strength heavily favors San Diego State.
• No major reported injuries to key players affecting either team at this time.
• Game is at San Diego State's home stadium, Snapdragon Stadium, with outdoor conditions favorable for offense. No adverse weather or travel issues noted.
• Season opener for both; San Diego State motivated to start strong against an overmatched opponent. Stony Brook faces a tough road challenge which may impact morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs: -1050, Stony Brook Seawolves: +660	San Diego State Aztecs	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	San Diego State Aztecs: -18.5 -110, Stony Brook Seawolves: +18.5 -110	San Diego State Aztecs -18.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110	Over 53.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Diego State Aztecs -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 53.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs to win straight up, cover the -18.5 spread, and the game to go over 53.5 total points.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 42 – Stony Brook Seawolves 17