Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs Wyoming Cowboys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado
Game Overview
The Colorado Buffaloes host the Wyoming Cowboys in a Mountain West showdown. Colorado enters as a strong favorite despite a recent loss, while Wyoming struggles offensively but has a solid defense preventing big plays. The game is expected to be influenced by altitude and fatigue factors, favoring Colorado especially in the later stages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado (1-2) is favored due to their home advantage and superior overall performance metrics, despite instability at quarterback. Wyoming (2-1) has struggled offensively, ranking poorly in EPA/pass and offensive efficiency, scoring very few points per possession. Defensively, Wyoming limits big passing plays but has allowed consistent scoring in the third quarter.
- No detailed recent head-to-head data provided, but overall Colorado has been positioned as the stronger team with a history of winning games as a double-digit favorite against similar-level opponents.
- No specific injury reports mentioned for either team in the latest data, implying relatively stable lineups for this matchup.
- Altitude at Folsom Field and game-time fatigue are expected to impact Wyoming negatively. Weather conditions are to be monitored but no adverse conditions have been noted so far.
- Colorado seeks to rebound from a recent loss and climb back to .500, with home crowd support and the prospect of asserting dominance in the conference. Wyoming aims to upset a favored opponent despite recent offensive struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes: -500, Wyoming Cowboys: 375 | Colorado Buffaloes | โ โ โ โ โ 82% |
| Spread | Colorado Buffaloes: -13.5 -105, Wyoming Cowboys: +13.5 -115 | Colorado Buffaloes -13.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 45.5 -110, Under: 45.5 -110 | Under 45.5 | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 45.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Buffaloes will win convincingly with a strong defensive showing, likely covering the spread and keeping the total points under the line due to Wyoming's offensive limitations and expected fatigue effects.
Predicted Score: Colorado Buffaloes 31, Wyoming Cowboys 10