Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Game Overview
Famalicão, currently 6th in the Portugal Primeira Liga with 11 points, faces Rio Ave FC, 14th with 4 points and no wins yet. Famalicão has shown stronger form overall, creating a favorite scenario at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Famalicão has 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 6 matches, scoring more and conceding fewer goals than Rio Ave who remains winless with 4 draws and 2 losses, showing defensive frailty.
- Recent H2H trends favour Famalicão with better outcomes and home advantage, having a positive goal difference against Rio Ave.
- No critical injuries reported for Famalicão or Rio Ave significantly impacting starting lineups ahead of the match.
- Match is held at Famalicão's home ground, Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, giving a slight home edge; no adverse weather or travel issues reported for either team.
- Famalicão aims to maintain top-half positioning early in the season, while Rio Ave struggles to gain momentum, increasing the motivation for a home win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -130, draw: +260, away: +350 | Home | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | home_-0.75: +102, away_+75: -122 | Home -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | over_2.5: -102, under_2.5: -118 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Famalicão 170% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 170% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Famalicão to win on the moneyline with a strong likelihood of under 2.5 total goals, given Famalicão's solid defense and Rio Ave's low scoring tendency.
Predicted Score: 1-0