Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 5:35 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
Game Overview
This match between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates is expected to be closely contested, with both teams recently showing competitive performances. The Phillies have the home advantage, but the Pirates have been improving their away game results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have shown mixed results in recent games, with the Phillies benefiting from home field advantage and the Pirates focusing on improving their away performance.
- Historically, the Phillies have a slight edge in head-to-head matchups, but the Pirates have been competitive in recent encounters.
- No major injuries reported for either team, which could impact the performance.
- Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but no significant external factors are noted.
- Both teams are motivated to win to improve their standings in the league.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies: -108, Pittsburgh Pirates: -108 | Philadelphia Phillies to win | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Philadelphia Phillies: 1.5 -184, Pittsburgh Pirates: -1.5 152 | Philadelphia Phillies to cover the spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 8 -108, Under: 8 -112 | Over 8 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies are slightly favored due to home field advantage, but the game is expected to be competitive.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 3