Match Analysis: Atlético Nacional S.A vs Bahia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 14, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia
Game Overview
Atlético Nacional hosts Bahia in a crucial CONMEBOL Libertadores Group F match. Atlético Nacional is favored to win, given their strong performance in recent matches and the home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atlético Nacional has been performing well in the Colombian Primera A and has a strong lineup that could give them an edge. Bahia, however, has been showing improvement in their recent games.
- Recent head-to-head data is not available, but Atlético Nacional's home record is generally strong.
- Injury reports are not detailed, but both teams are expected to field their best possible lineups.
- Weather conditions in Medellin are typically favorable for soccer matches, which should not affect the game's pace.
- Both teams are motivated to secure crucial points in the Libertadores group stage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atlético Nacional S.A: 100, Bahia: 295, Draw: 215 | Atlético Nacional S.A | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Atlético Nacional S.A: -0.5 -102, Bahia: 50 -128 | Atlético Nacional S.A to win by 1 goal | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -118 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 50% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atlético Nacional S.A 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Nacional S.A at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlético Nacional is likely to win, given their home advantage and recent form.
Predicted Score: Atlético Nacional S.A 2, Bahia 1