Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 2, 2025

Combined Odds: +638 |
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Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-31
• Time: 5:36 PM UTC
• Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the third game of a series with Boston looking to avoid a surprising home sweep. Boston enters as the favorite with a strong home record and key pitching advantage, while Pittsburgh has been showing some recent fight despite a poor overall season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Boston holds a 75-62 record overall and a strong 41-27 at home. They have been favored at -180 moneyline with a 68.75% win rate in those spots. Pittsburgh is 61-76 overall and 22-46 on the road, with poor offensive rankings (30th in runs and home runs).
• Boston leads recent matchups with a 57.3% predicted win probability. Pirates swept first two games of the series but Red Sox have historically stronger performances at Fenway.
• No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitchers or key hitters for this game.
• Fenway Park favors Boston's style of play. No adverse weather expected. The pitching matchup favors Boston's Lucas Giolito who has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 4 of his last 5 starts versus Pirates’ Mitch Keller who has been inconsistent and allowed 3-6 earned runs in his last 3 outings.
• Boston is motivated to avoid a sweep and maintain playoff positioning in the AL East. Pittsburgh, a weaker team, aims to complete an upset series sweep and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox to win straight up and cover the -1.5 run spread. The game should stay under the 8.5 runs total given the pitching strengths and recent form.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – Pittsburgh Pirates 2

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Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-28
• Time: 6:16 PM UTC
• Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75) travel to face the St. Louis Cardinals (65-69) at Busch Stadium. The Pirates hold a 2-1 series lead and will start Braxton Ashcraft, who has a strong 2.70 ERA and 4-2 record, while the Cardinals counter with struggling Miles Mikolas (6-10, 5.17 ERA). The game features a total set at 8.5 runs with close moneyline odds favoring the Cardinals slightly as home favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Pirates have shown recent improvement, winning two of the first three games in the series and playing better pitching recently. The Cardinals have underperformed overall, with Mikolas' recent form weak (14 ER in last 17.1 innings) and a middling 50% record when favorites around -122 odds.
• This season’s series is close, with the Pirates leading 2-1 so far. Historically, the Cardinals have a slight edge but recent performance favors Pittsburgh's momentum.
• No critical injuries reported for either team affecting starting rotation or lineup significantly.
• Game played at Busch Stadium favors the Cardinals slightly due to home advantage, but Pirates’ Ashcraft has strong road numbers (2.28 ERA in 23.2 road innings) reducing impact of venue.
• Pirates motivated to complete series win and build momentum heading into challenging upcoming schedule; Cardinals seek to avoid losing series at home and improve below .500 record.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Pirates moneyline

Predicted Score: Pirates 4 – Cardinals 3

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 25, 2025

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Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-24
• Time: 4:06 PM UTC
• Location: Sutter Health Park

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-74) host the Colorado Rockies (37-93) in a matchup where Pittsburgh is heavily favored given their superior season record, pitching, and hitting compared to a struggling Rockies team featuring a debuting rookie pitcher.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pittsburgh Pirates have a 56-74 record and show better pitching and hitting efficiency than Colorado. Rockies hold a 37-93 record with a poor pitching staff ERA of 6.01 and a weak batting average of .239.
• Recent head-to-head trends favor the Pirates, who have shown consistency against the Rockies during the season and possess the home field advantage.
• No major injuries reported for Pittsburgh; Colorado is debuting McCade Brown as a rookie pitcher who has strong minor league numbers but no major league experience yet.
• Game played at Sutter Health Park favors Pittsburgh, a more experienced team acclimated to the conditions. Rockies face travel and performance fatigue after a difficult season.
• Pirates are motivated to secure a win to improve mid-tier standing; Rockies have little playoff hope and feature a rookie starter, indicating a possible focus on player development over contesting a close game.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Pittsburgh Pirates to win outright with a confident margin; game expected to stay under the 7.5 runs total due to Rockies' weak offense and debuting pitcher.

Predicted Score: Pirates 5, Rockies 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

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Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 4:35 PM UTC
• Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays (74-53) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (53-74) in the MLB series finale. The Blue Jays hold a strong record overall and are the AL East leaders, while the Pirates struggle with a losing record. Toronto's Chris Bassitt will start against Pittsburgh's Johan Oviedo, who has yet to establish himself this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toronto is in good form, winning 4 of their last 6 games and holding an offensive average of .268 with 624 runs scored. Pittsburgh has a poor season record and showed inconsistency, but has home advantage. Toronto's pitching ERA is 4.23 compared to the Pirates struggling staff.
• In recent matchups, Toronto leads the head-to-head, including a 7-3 victory in the previous game of this series. Bassitt boasts a 4-0 record with a 2.10 ERA against Pittsburgh in his last 5 starts while Oviedo has a high ERA and poor record vs. Toronto.
• No significant injuries reported affecting key starters for either team.
• Game played outdoors at PNC Park with no extreme weather conditions reported; standard playing conditions.
• Toronto is motivated to solidify their division lead and continue momentum before an upcoming road series; Pittsburgh aims to avoid a series sweep at home but has less playoff motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline win

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +301

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