Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The Baltimore Orioles (68-77) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-82) in the final game of a three-game series. Orioles are favored to win but face pitching challenges. The Pirates are underdogs with strong recent pitching from Johan Oviedo.
Key Factors to Consider
Orioles have won 7 of their last 8 games overall and lead the series 2-0. Baltimore's offense is solid but starting pitcher Cade Povich has a 5.16 ERA and an underwhelming 3-7 record. Pirates have struggled overall but Johan Oviedo (2-0, 2.70 ERA) has been effective as a starter.
Orioles currently lead the series 2-0 with close wins (3-2 and 2-1). Historically, Orioles hold a slight edge, but games have been low scoring and tightly contested.
No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting starting pitching or key hitters.
The game is played at Camden Yards, a hitter-friendly park favoring the Orioles' offense. Weather and other external conditions are expected neutral.
Orioles, still mathematically in playoff contention, are strongly motivated to sweep the series. Pirates have less at stake but could play spoiler with quality pitching.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -142, away: +120
Pittsburgh Pirates
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
home: +138, away: -166
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
over: -122, under: +100
Over 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles 21%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Baltimore Orioles at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)
The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Pittsburgh Pirates in a late-season MLB matchup. The Brewers are leading the NL Central with an 88-55 record and bring a solid offensive and pitching lineup, while the Pirates hold a 64-79 record but play better at home (42-32). Brewers' starter Jacob Misiorowski (4-2, 4.50 ERA) faces Pirates' Bubba Chandler (2-0, 2.25 ERA). Betting markets favor Milwaukee on the moneyline and run line, with a total set at 8 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee has won 3 of their last 4 games, scoring consistently and holding a strong pitching staff ERA of 3.60 and 1.23 WHIP. Pittsburgh is below .500 overall but performs better at home with a 42-32 record.
Recent series saw Milwaukee winning 2 of 3 versus the Pirates. Christian Yelich has had a good personal performance in games as Brewers favorite vs Pirates, with consistent hits and homers.
No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact starting lineups or pitching availability.
Game played at PNC Park, where Pirates have held strong home form. Weather and field conditions expected to be neutral.
Brewers are fighting to maintain their NL Central lead and jockey positioning heading into playoffs, motivation high. Pirates have less playoff motivation but could act as spoiler at home.
The Los Angeles Dodgers (78-61) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (63-77) in the last game of their series. The Pirates currently lead 2-0 in this series and have shown strong home form with a 41-30 record at PNC Park. The probable starting pitchers are Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh, with a 2.05 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, and Blake Snell for Los Angeles, who has a 2.41 ERA and a 3-3 record this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 games and are playing with momentum, especially after taking the first two games in this series. Dodgers have a solid overall record but have struggled slightly in Snell's starts (2-5 ATS). Pirates' pitching ERA is 3.88 with a solid starter in Skenes; Dodgers have a potent offense but inconsistent performances this season.
In this season's encounters, Pittsburgh leads the series and won the last two games decisively, including a 3-0 shutout in game two. Historically, Dodgers are favorites but the Pirates have held up well at home in this matchup.
No significant injuries reported impacting either team's starting lineup or key rotation players for this game.
Game at PNC Park favors Pirates due to home advantage. Weather and travel conditions neutral with no reported impact.
Pirates motivated to sweep their series at home and improve their standing. Dodgers looking to avoid the sweep and maintain playoff positioning. Pirates have slightly more urgency as they are last in NL Central.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Pirates +106
Pirates
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Pirates +1.5 -172
Pirates +1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Under 7 -100
Under 7
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7 30%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pirates to win on moneyline, with the game going under 7 runs, and Pirates to cover the +1.5 run spread.