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Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

Game Overview

The Baltimore Orioles host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the final game of a three-game MLB series. The Orioles, currently 68-77, have won the first two games narrowly and are slight favorites with a home advantage. The Pirates, with a 64-82 record, are underdogs but will send Johan Oviedo to the mound against Baltimore's Cade Povich.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Baltimore has been strong recently, winning seven of their last eight games against National League opponents, including victories over Dodgers and Padres. Their pitching staff holds a 4.60 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP, with a .259 opponent batting average. Offensively, they have scored 625 runs, led by Jackson Holliday (17 HR, 54 RBI) and Gunnar Henderson (16 HR, 61 RBI). The Pirates have struggled offensively, having lost their last five games and scoring poorly in recent outings.
  • Baltimore won the first two games of this series by close scores (3-2 and 2-1), indicating a tightly contested matchup. The Orioles have a favorable record against the Pirates recently, including covering the run line in 5 of their last 6 games against National League teams after playing the previous day.
  • No significant injury information reported for either team impacting this game.
  • The game is played at Camden Yards, a generally hitter-friendly venue. Weather and other external conditions were not reported as impacting factors.
  • Baltimore aims to complete a series sweep at home, bolstered by recent winning momentum. The Pirates, struggling with a poor run and offense, look to spoil the Orioles' effort and improve their season record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles: -142, Pittsburgh Pirates: +120 Baltimore Orioles to win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Baltimore Orioles -1.5: +138, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -166 Baltimore Orioles to cover -1.5 runs ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: +100 Under 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baltimore Orioles are favored to win based on recent form, superior pitching match-up, home advantage, and psychological edge from leading the series. Expect a close, low-scoring game favoring the Orioles.

Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 4 – 2 Pittsburgh Pirates


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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 5:36 PM UTC
  • Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers (88-55), leading the NL Central, face the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-79) at PNC Park. The Brewers have strong overall and away records and are coming off a 4-1 win, whereas the Pirates have struggled at home with a 22-47 record. Starting pitchers are Jacob Misiorowski (4-2, 4.50 ERA) for the Brewers and Bubba Chandler (2-0, 2.25 ERA) for the Pirates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milwaukee boasts a .259 batting average, .332 OBP, .408 slugging, with a pitching ERA of 3.60 and 1.23 WHIP. Pittsburgh lags with a .234 batting average, .307 OBP, .352 slugging, pitching ERA 3.87 and WHIP 1.22. Brewers have a superior recent form (6-4 last 10) compared to Pirates (5-5 last 10) and are on a 2-game winning streak.
  • Milwaukee leads the division and has a stronger away record compared to Pittsburgh's poor home record. Historical head-to-head specific game data is limited, but Milwaukee’s overall and situational stats favor them.
  • No significant injury information reported for either team impacting this game.
  • Playing at Pittsburgh’s home park, which has been challenging for the Pirates given their weak home record, but home crowd might provide some morale support. Weather and other external conditions were not mentioned in the data.
  • Milwaukee aims to maintain division lead momentum; Pittsburgh seeks to improve a disappointing season and protect home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers: -154, Pittsburgh Pirates: 130 Milwaukee Brewers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: 116, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -140 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 8: -105, Under 8: -115 Under 8 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win given superior overall performance, pitching matchup, and team form. Expect a Brewers victory with a moderate margin.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – 3 Pittsburgh Pirates


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 7, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 7, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Prediction Over 8.5 -115 16%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Seattle Mariners 106 15%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction Under 8 -115 12%

Combined Odds: +620 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $144.01

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 7, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction Milwaukee Brewers Win -154 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Prediction San Diego Padres Win -225 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction Detroit Tigers -1.5 115 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +412

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $102.44

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-04
  • Time: 10:40 PM UTC
  • Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Los Angeles Dodgers in a pivotal MLB National League matchup. Coming off a 3-0 Pirates win the previous day, the Dodgers enter with a strong record (78-61) leading the NL West, while the Pirates (63-77) are in fifth place in the NL Central but boast a 6-game home winning streak. The Dodgers are slight favorites despite the Pirates' recent success at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dodgers have a superior overall season record and dominate in pitching and offensive metrics, but the Pirates have been resilient at home, sweeping the Dodgers recently. The Pirates' bullpen has been effective, holding the Dodgers scoreless in the last game.
  • Recent form favors the Pirates, including a 3-0 win over the Dodgers on Sep 3, 2025. Historically, the Dodgers generally have better results, but the Pirates' home advantage is significant in this series.
  • No major injuries reported for either team before this game, so both teams are expected to field near full strength.
  • The game is at PNC Park, where the Pirates enjoy strong fan support and conditions favorable to pitchers. Weather is typical for early September, with no adverse effects expected.
  • The Dodgers aim to maintain momentum to secure playoff positioning while the Pirates strive to extend their home winning streak and improve a disappointing season record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers: -124, Pittsburgh Pirates: 106 Los Angeles Dodgers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: 142, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -172 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 7: -122, Under 7: 100 Under 7 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent results, home advantage, and momentum, the Pirates have a reasonable chance to win again, but the Dodgers' stronger season performance suggests a closely contested match, with a slight edge to the Dodgers.

Predicted Score: Dodgers 3 – Pirates 2


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 4, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 4, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Kansas City Royals -156 44%
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Prediction Under 8.5 -106 17%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Under 7 100 16%

Combined Odds: +538 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $127.57

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 3, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 3, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Over 8 -110 37%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction Under 8.5 -105 27%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Tampa Bay Rays 118 24%

Combined Odds: +713 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $162.51

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Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox are hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates in a 2025 MLB regular season game. Boston is playing at home in Fenway Park, historically a hitter-friendly ballpark, while the Pirates are on the road. The Red Sox have been performing better overall this season with a stronger lineup and pitching staff compared to the Pirates, who struggle offensively and have a weaker pitching rotation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston Red Sox have shown solid offense and consistent pitching in recent games, winning their last matchup against Pittsburgh 10-3. Pittsburgh Pirates have had difficulty maintaining momentum, showing inconsistent performance and offensive struggles.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings favor Boston, including a decisive 10-3 victory on August 30, 2025. Historical matchups in Fenway typically favor the Red Sox given their stronger roster and home field advantage.
  • No major injury reports for either team affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players as of the current date.
  • Fenway Park’s hitter-friendly environment and typical late summer weather conditions may favor scoring. No significant weather disruptions forecasted. Home crowd support benefits Boston.
  • Boston is pushing to secure playoff positioning, increasing their motivation. Pittsburgh, with a weaker record, may be less motivated but could play for pride and development of younger players.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox: -180, Pittsburgh Pirates: 152 Boston Red Sox win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Boston Red Sox -1.5: 112, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -134 Boston Red Sox -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: 100 Under 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox are favored to win given home advantage, recent dominant performance over Pittsburgh, and better overall season form. Expect a game with moderate scoring due to Fenway's characteristics but controlled pitching from Boston.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 31, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Under 8.5 100 20%
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Under 8.5 100 16%
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Prediction Over 8.5 100 16%

Combined Odds: +700 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $160

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 30, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 30, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Boston Red Sox -174 55%
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction San Francisco Giants 106 19%
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction Over 11 -108 19%

Combined Odds: +525 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $124.95

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