Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 5:06 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies host the Seattle Mariners in an MLB regular season game. Phillies enter with a 73-53 record and Mariners with a 68-59 record. Starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies and Luis Castillo for the Mariners.
Key Factors to Consider
- Phillies have been strong recently and hold a better overall record. Mariners are struggling, currently on a 4-game losing streak and 6 losses in their last 7 games.
- Phillies won the previous matchup 6-4 at home. Castillo has a career 2.75 ERA vs. Phillies but Luzardo's career ERA against Mariners is 6.14 with mixed results.
- No significant injuries reported affecting starting players or pitching staffs that would drastically influence game outcome.
- Game played outdoors at Citizens Bank Park, a hitter-friendly ballpark. Mariners are still on the road and likely less acclimated.
- Phillies motivated to extend lead in standings and continue playoff push. Mariners are looking to break losing streak but are under pressure playing away.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Phillies -142, Mariners +120 | Phillies | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Phillies -1.5 +146, Mariners +1.5 -178 | Phillies -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 | Over 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win outright (-142 moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread (+146), and game total to go over 8.5 runs (-110).
Predicted Score: Phillies 6, Mariners 3