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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Seattle Mariners in an MLB regular season game. Phillies enter with a 73-53 record and Mariners with a 68-59 record. Starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies and Luis Castillo for the Mariners.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies have been strong recently and hold a better overall record. Mariners are struggling, currently on a 4-game losing streak and 6 losses in their last 7 games.
  • Phillies won the previous matchup 6-4 at home. Castillo has a career 2.75 ERA vs. Phillies but Luzardo's career ERA against Mariners is 6.14 with mixed results.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting players or pitching staffs that would drastically influence game outcome.
  • Game played outdoors at Citizens Bank Park, a hitter-friendly ballpark. Mariners are still on the road and likely less acclimated.
  • Phillies motivated to extend lead in standings and continue playoff push. Mariners are looking to break losing streak but are under pressure playing away.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phillies -142, Mariners +120 Phillies ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Phillies -1.5 +146, Mariners +1.5 -178 Phillies -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win outright (-142 moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread (+146), and game total to go over 8.5 runs (-110).

Predicted Score: Phillies 6, Mariners 3


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – August 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction San Diego Padres Win -158 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers Win -295 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -142 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +273

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $74.52

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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies (70-53) visit the struggling Washington Nationals (50-73) in a late-season MLB matchup. Phillies start Aaron Nola (1-7, 6.16 ERA) faces Nationals' Mitchell Parker (7-13, 5.63 ERA). Phillies are favored despite recent inconsistencies and Nationals showing slight improvement at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies lead NL East but have lost 4 of last 5 games, scoring struggles evident in recent games. Nationals have poor overall record but some competitive home outings and a 9-9 record as underdog in Parker's starts.
  • In Nola's last five starts vs Nationals, he is 3-1 with a solid 3.03 ERA, suggesting potential for Phillies pitching success here. Parker has been vulnerable against Phillies, with an 8.68 ERA in career vs them.
  • No notable injuries impacting starting pitchers, but Phillies' Nola is underperforming compared to career norms, likely due to recent injury recovery affecting performance.
  • Game played at Nationals Park favors home team pitching but Phillies' superior hitting and depth provide an advantage. No extreme weather or other external impacts noted.
  • Phillies motivated to maintain division lead and rebound from recent losses. Nationals have motivation to upset and play spoiler at home late in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -174, Washington Nationals +146 Philadelphia Phillies ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -110, Washington Nationals +1.5 -110 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 9.5 -115, Under 9.5 -105 Over 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

Predicted Score: Phillies 6 – Nationals 4


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Under 7.5 -102 29%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction Over 11.5 -114 22%
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Under 7.5 100 20%

Combined Odds: +644 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $148.7

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – August 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Boston Red Sox Win -168 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction Arizona Diamondbacks Win -186 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -176 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +285

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $76.93

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction Over 12 -110 34%
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Under 8.5 100 20%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction Under 7.5 -110 18%

Combined Odds: +629 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $145.79

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – August 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction Detroit Tigers Win -215 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction New York Mets Win -196 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -210 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +227

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $65.33

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 9:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Great American Ball Park

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Cincinnati Reds in an MLB matchup. Phillies are favored based on superior overall record and strong pitching matchup, while the Reds enter as slight underdogs, facing some uncertainty in their starter's health.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Phillies hold a 69-50 record with strong pitching led by Cristopher Sanchez (11-3, 2.36 ERA) and solid batting averages. The Reds are at 63-58, with some question marks about their starter Greene who is returning from injury after a long layoff.
  • Historically competitive, but given current pitcher form, Phillies have an edge. Sanchez is effective against Reds, holding a career 3.86 ERA and 18 strikeouts in two starts.
  • The Reds' starter Greene is returning from a groin injury and has not pitched since June, adding uncertainty to their chances. Phillies have no major injury concerns reported for their starter Sanchez or key hitters.
  • The game takes place at the Reds' home park, which is traditionally hitter-friendly, possibly increasing run totals. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no noted impact.
  • Phillies are motivated to maintain winning momentum and avoid consecutive losses, while Reds aim to tighten playoff contention and defend home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati +115, Philadelphia -127 Philadelphia Phillies ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -145, Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +125 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 runs ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 -112, Under 8.5 -108 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6 – Cincinnati Reds 4


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – August 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -127 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction St. Louis Cardinals Win -205 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Milwaukee Brewers Win -215 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +290

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $77.92

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 9 -105 21%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Under 9 100 20%
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Over 8.5 -102 19%

Combined Odds: +673 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $154.66

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