Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Washington Nationals Home Stadium
Game Overview
The Washington Nationals face the Milwaukee Brewers in their fourth matchup of the 2025 MLB regular season. The Brewers have dominated the season series, winning all previous games including a recent 8-2 victory on August 2. Milwaukee holds the best record in the majors at 66-44, while Washington is struggling at 44-66.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Brewers have shown strong performance with a 66-44 record and a 17-4 record in their last 21 games, including 20 wins in their last 26 road games. Washington Nationals hold a 44-66 record and have been underperforming, managing only two hits in their last encounter and currently on a 4-game losing streak against the Brewers in 2025.
- Historically, the Brewers have the upper hand with a 96-84 overall record against the Nationals. In 2025 alone, Brewers lead 3-0 with dominant recent wins of 8-2 and 9-16. The Nationals have struggled to close the gap and have not won any game against Milwaukee this season.
- Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Sal Frelick left the previous game due to left knee soreness and had been on the injured list in July due to hamstring strain. No major injuries noted currently for Washington Nationals.
- The Brewers benefit from having the majors' best overall record and momentum from winning 17 of 21 games recently. Washington hosts the game but has not capitalized on home advantage so far, having lost the last home matchup 9-16.
- Brewers motivated to maintain their lead in the NL Central and extend their winning streak against Nationals. Nationals are fighting to improve a poor season record and stop their losing streak against the Brewers.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers: -178, Washington Nationals: 150 | Milwaukee Brewers win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 -106, Washington Nationals: +1.5 -113 | Milwaukee Brewers to cover -1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -106, Under 8.5: -114 | Over 8.5 total runs | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are predicted to win the game based on current form, historical dominance, and player performance. The predicted game style is likely to favor Brewers' strong pitching and offense.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 9, Washington Nationals 4