Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-14
- Time: 5:06 PM UTC
- Location: Baltimore Orioles Home Stadium
Game Overview
This is the third game in the current series between the Baltimore Orioles and the Seattle Mariners. The teams split the first two games, with the Orioles edging out a 4-3 win on August 13 after the Mariners won 1-0 on August 12, highlighted by strong pitching from George Kirby. Both teams are fighting to improve their standingsβSeattle is 67-54, just one game behind Houston in the wildcard race, and Baltimore is struggling at 54-66 but coming off a rare win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle Mariners have been strong in pitching with George Kirby's recent performances and have an overall better record (67-54) compared to Baltimore Orioles (54-66), who have had offensive struggles but showed resilience in the last game.
- In the last series games, Mariners won the first game 1-0, Orioles won the second 4-3, indicating a closely contested matchup. Seattle currently holds a slight advantage in recent head-to-head with solid defense and pitching.
- No significant injury reports are available for either team around this game date, suggesting both teams can field near-full rosters.
- Playing at Baltimore provides a home-field advantage to the Orioles, but Seattle has demonstrated strong recent road performances, including a series win.
- Seattle is motivated to maintain pressure on the Wild Card standings with a better overall season record, while Baltimore aims to build momentum to improve their standing and break a losing trend.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles: 112, Seattle Mariners: -132 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -140, Seattle Mariners -1.5: 116 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 9.5: -122, Under 9.5: 100 | Under 9.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win a tightly contested game based on stronger pitching performance and overall season momentum.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4 – Baltimore Orioles 3