Match Analysis: Pennsylvania Quakers vs Saint Joseph's Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 17, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Palestra, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

Saint Joseph's Hawks (2-1) travel to face Pennsylvania Quakers (1-2) in a Big 5 Classic matchup at The Palestra. Saint Joseph's enters as the favorite after a disappointing loss to Virginia Tech, while Penn seeks to improve their defensive woes at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saint Joseph's averages 73.3 PPG (268th in college) on 40.3% FG and 23.9% from three. Penn allows 87.3 PPG (328th in defense) and 45.5% FG, indicating serious defensive vulnerabilities. Saint Joseph's shot only 59 points against Virginia Tech's defense but faced a top-tier opponent. Penn has been outscored significantly in their last two games (losses to American 84-78 and Providence 106-81), suggesting offensive inconsistency despite shooting well from three (42.9% vs American, 43.3% vs Providence).
• No recent H2H data provided in search results. This is a conference rival matchup in the Big 5 Classic.
• Penn's Owen Verna is listed as questionable with a hip injury, though severity is unclear.
• Game played at The Palestra, Penn's home court, providing home-court advantage. This is an in-state rivalry with likely increased intensity and crowd support for Penn. Saint Joseph's must travel to a hostile environment after a 35-point blowout loss.
• Penn is 1-2 and desperately seeking a home win to improve record and regain confidence defensively. Saint Joseph's, despite being favored, faces motivation questions after the Virginia Tech loss but will want to prove themselves against a struggling opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Penn +215 / STJOE -265	Saint Joseph's Hawks -265	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Penn +5.5 -110 / STJOE -5.5 -110	Saint Joseph's -5.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 163.5 -115 / Under 163.5 -105	Under 163.5	★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Saint Joseph's Hawks -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 163.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saint Joseph's Hawks win 74-68 against a Penn team that cannot generate consistent offense despite strong three-point shooting. Saint Joseph's' superior defensive positioning and Saint Joseph's being favored by Vegas suggests the market respects their defensive structure more. However, Penn's home-court advantage and desperation will keep this closer than the spread suggests.

Predicted Score: Saint Joseph's Hawks 74, Pennsylvania Quakers 68

Match Analysis: Providence Friars vs Pennsylvania Quakers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 12, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence

Game Overview

The Providence Friars host the Pennsylvania Quakers in a college basketball matchup where Providence enters as a heavy favorite. Both teams carry 1-1 records into this contest, though Providence's recent loss to Virginia Tech in overtime on the road suggests potential vulnerability despite home-court advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penn averages 98.5 PPG with 49.59% FG and 71.60% FT shooting, while Providence averages 95.0 PPG with 47.10% FG and 80.77% FT shooting. Penn shows superior offensive efficiency across most categories. Both teams are 1-1 on the season with each holding a 1-0 home record and 0-1 away record. Penn was defeated 84-78 on the road by American Eagles; Providence fell 107-101 in overtime on the road to Virginia Tech.
• In their last matchup, Penn defeated Providence 81-75, demonstrating the ability to compete with and beat the Friars. This historical advantage provides context for Penn's underdog status.
• No specific injuries reported in available data.
• The massive point spread (-19.5) and moneyline odds (-2800) suggest sharp money heavily favoring Providence. Public betting shows 59% on Providence with 41% on Penn, indicating possible contrarian positioning. Providence's recent overtime loss to Virginia Tech may have left emotional and physical toll despite the home-court setting.
• Providence, as the heavy favorite, faces trap-game potential against a team that beat them recently. Penn, as significant underdogs in a road environment, may show resilience given their previous head-to-head victory and superior offensive metrics.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Penn +1300 / Providence -2800	Providence Friars	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Penn +19.5 -115 / Providence -19.5 -105	Pennsylvania Quakers +19.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 170.5 -115 / Under 170.5 -105	Under 170.5	★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Providence Friars -24%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 170.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 170.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

While Providence's home-court advantage and sharp money support favor them, the massive -19.5 spread represents overleveraging by the market. Penn's superior offensive efficiency (98.5 vs 95.0 PPG), their recent 81-75 head-to-head victory, and their 0-1 road record already priced into underdog status creates value. The total of 170.5 appears appropriately set given both teams' defensive capabilities and pace.

Predicted Score: Providence 89, Pennsylvania 78

Match Analysis: American Eagles vs Pennsylvania Quakers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bender Arena, Washington, DC

Game Overview

Early-season matchup between American Eagles (0-1), coming off a road loss to Wake Forest, and Pennsylvania Quakers (1-0), who blew out Rowan in their opener. Both teams are seeking momentum but have questions offensively. American is at home and historically strong in this building, while Penn has shown scoring punch but is adjusting to roster turnover[1].

Key Factors to Consider

• Penn is averaging 119 points (54.9% shooting) but has only played one game (vs. Rowan). American lost 74-88 at Wake Forest but competed in stretches. Penn’s Ethan Roberts is a scoring leader (28 ppg), while American’s Matt Nausadis recently posted 22 in his last outing. Penn allows 72 ppg (35.3% opponent shooting) and is strong on the boards (59 rpg). American is elite from the free throw line and has more experience, especially in close games[1][3]. Penn’s turnover issues and defensive rebounding could be expose against American’s steady style.
• No known prior meetings between these teams[3].
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• American enjoys a strong home-court edge at Bender Arena. Penn is on the road for its second straight game. No travel or weather concerns reported.
• Both teams seek early-season momentum. American wants to avoid 0-2 start; Penn aims for 2-0 and to build profile for NCAA/NIT consideration.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	American -118, Penn -102	American Eagles	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	American -1.5 -102, Penn +1.5 -118	Pennsylvania Quakers +1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 156.5 -110, Under 156.5 -110	Under 156.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	American Eagles 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 156.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

American’s home strength, experience, and ability to compete with higher-level opponents (Wake Forest) gives them a slight edge over a Penn team that’s offensively explosive but still adjusting to new roles and with defensive lapses. Expect a close, low-scoring game below the total.

Predicted Score: American Eagles 72, Pennsylvania Quakers 71

Match Analysis: Princeton Tigers vs Pennsylvania Quakers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Jadwin Gymnasium

Game Overview

The Princeton Tigers host the Pennsylvania Quakers in an Ivy League matchup. Princeton is favored due to their strong home performance and recent form, while Penn looks to capitalize on their defensive capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

• Princeton averages 73.5 points per game, with Xaivian Lee leading in scoring and assists. Penn struggles on the road but excels defensively, which could keep the game close.
• Princeton has dominated Penn historically, winning all of their last ten meetings. However, Penn kept their previous matchup close, losing 61-59.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Princeton's home-court advantage at Jadwin Gymnasium could significantly impact their performance.
• Princeton has more to play for, given their position in the Ivy League standings, while Penn has been eliminated from tournament contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pennsylvania Quakers: +250, Princeton Tigers: -315	Princeton Tigers	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Pennsylvania Quakers: +7.5 -112, Princeton Tigers: -7.5 -108	Pennsylvania Quakers +7.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 144.5 -110, Under: 144.5 -110	Under 144.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Princeton is likely to win due to their home advantage and stronger record, but Penn's defense could keep the game competitive.

Predicted Score: Princeton 72, Pennsylvania 65

Match Analysis: Columbia Lions vs Pennsylvania Quakers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Francis S. Levien Gymnasium

Game Overview

The Columbia Lions host the Pennsylvania Quakers in a crucial Ivy League matchup. Columbia, with a 12-13 record, faces a Quakers team that is 7-18. The Lions have struggled recently, while the Quakers seek to end a road losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Columbia's recent form has been poor, with a 0-5 record in their last five games. Pennsylvania has shown resilience despite their overall record, with a 5-5 ATS record in their last ten games.
• Columbia has historically performed better against Penn, especially at home. However, recent trends suggest a competitive matchup.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• Columbia's home advantage and fan support could play a crucial role. The Quakers' ability to control tempo might counter the Lions' high-tempo game.
• Both teams are highly motivated to improve their standings in the Ivy League.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-125 (Columbia), +105 (Pennsylvania)	Columbia	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	-1.5 -110 (Columbia), +1.5 -110 (Pennsylvania)	Pennsylvania +1.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 153 -110, Under 153 -110	Under 153	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Columbia is likely to win due to their home advantage and historical edge.

Predicted Score: Columbia 75, Pennsylvania 72

Match Analysis: Cornell Big Red vs Pennsylvania Quakers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Newman Arena

Game Overview

The Cornell Big Red host the Pennsylvania Quakers in an Ivy League matchup. Cornell is favored, reflecting their stronger performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cornell has a better record and stronger team statistics, while Pennsylvania has struggled with consistency. Cornell's recent win over Penn in men's basketball highlights their resilience.
• Cornell recently defeated Pennsylvania in men's basketball, showing their ability to overcome Penn's strong starts and maintain momentum.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home-court advantage could benefit Cornell, as they play at Newman Arena.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins in the Ivy League, but Cornell's recent success may give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	Cornell Big Red	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Cornell -8, Pennsylvania +8	Pennsylvania +8	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 159.5, Under 159.5	Over 159.5	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Cornell Big Red to win.

Predicted Score: Cornell 78, Pennsylvania 70

Match Analysis: Pennsylvania Quakers vs Harvard Crimson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: The Palestra

Game Overview

The Pennsylvania Quakers host the Harvard Crimson in an Ivy League matchup. Pennsylvania is favored by 2.5 points, with a total of 143.5 points set for the game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pennsylvania has struggled with consistency, while Harvard seeks to end a three-game road losing streak. Both teams have shown mixed results against the spread this season.
• In their previous matchup on January 20, 2025, Pennsylvania won 82-67 against Harvard.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at The Palestra, which could favor the home team, Pennsylvania.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their Ivy League standings, but Harvard's recent road struggles may affect their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pennsylvania -130, Harvard +110	Pennsylvania	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Pennsylvania -2.5, Harvard +2.5	Pennsylvania	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 143, Under 143	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Pennsylvania is predicted to win due to their home advantage and previous performance against Harvard.

Predicted Score: Pennsylvania 73, Harvard 70

Match Analysis: Pennsylvania Quakers vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Palestra

Game Overview

The Pennsylvania Quakers host the Dartmouth Big Green in an Ivy League matchup. Both teams have had mixed results this season, with Dartmouth holding a slight edge in recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dartmouth has a 10-10 overall record and is 12-6 against the spread, showing strong ATS performance. Pennsylvania's recent form is less consistent, but they have a strong home advantage.
• Historically, Dartmouth has had mixed results against Penn, with recent games being closely contested. Penn has struggled against Dartmouth in some recent matchups.
• There are no reported injuries for Dartmouth, which could give them a slight advantage if Penn has any injuries.
• The game is at The Palestra, Penn's home court, which often provides a challenging environment for visiting teams.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Dartmouth might have a slight edge given their recent ATS success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	-1 -110 (Dartmouth), 1 -110 (Penn)	Dartmouth Big Green -1	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 148 -105, Under 148 -115	Under 148	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dartmouth Big Green to win outright.

Predicted Score: Dartmouth 72, Penn 70