Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Parc des Princes, Paris, France
Game Overview
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) enters this Ligue 1 matchup as strong favorites with a high-scoring, dominant home record. Auxerre, mid-table and less consistent, face an uphill task but have shown some resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- PSG is 2nd in Ligue 1 with 12 points from 5 games, featuring 4 wins and 1 loss, and a +6 goal difference at home, scoring and conceding frequently. Auxerre sits 10th with 6 points from 5 games and a negative goal difference, having mixed results including recent wins but defensive vulnerabilities.
- Recent direct encounters heavily favor PSG, with the last meeting ending 3-1 to PSG, demonstrating their clear superiority in these matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for PSG affecting their key starters. Auxerre has no known major injury concerns impacting starting lineup strength.
- The match takes place at PSGβs Parc des Princes, a stadium where PSG maintain a perfect home record this season, adding strong home advantage. The kickoff time is standard evening slot with no weather or external disruptions noted.
- PSG is motivated to consolidate their high standing early in the season with a home win, while Auxerre aims to climb from mid-table, likely playing for a resilient performance but expected to struggle for a positive result.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -675, away: +1200, draw: +750 | Paris Saint Germain | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | home: -112, away: -108, spread: 2.25 goals | Paris Saint Germain -2.25 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | over: -102, under: -118, line: 3.75 goals | Over 3.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Paris Saint Germain -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.75 43% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Paris Saint Germain win with over 2.5 total goals
Predicted Score: 4-1