Bahia hosts Palmeiras in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A match with Palmeiras favored due to superior form and table position.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras sits 3rd with 49 points (15-4-3 W-D-L), strong away form (7-2-1), and good recent momentum (W-W-D-W-W-W). Bahia is 6th with 37 points (10-7-6), decent home record (7-3-1), but weaker recent form (D-L-L-W-W-D).
Palmeiras generally outperforms Bahia with better recent results and higher table rank, indicating a psychological and quality edge.
No notable injury information available suggesting major absences; both teams expected to field strong lineups.
Match played at Bahia's home stadium, which slightly balances the odds but Palmeiras' superior away record suggests resilience.
Palmeiras is pushing for top positions with high motivation; Bahia is fighting for a strong mid-table finish, moderately motivated but less so than Palmeiras.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bahia +255, Palmeiras -115, Draw +230
Palmeiras
★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread
Bahia +25 at +100, Palmeiras -0.25 at -120
Palmeiras -0.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25 at -106, Under 2.25 at -114
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win on the moneyline; Palmeiras -0.25 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals
Palmeiras hosts Fortaleza in a Brazil Campeonato match where Palmeiras is the strong favorite given their home form and recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras holds a strong recent form with 14 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, showing consistency; Fortaleza struggles with 4 wins and 12 losses, including recent poor away form.
In the previous meeting on 20/04/2025, Palmeiras won 2-1 away at Fortaleza. Overall, Palmeiras has dominated recent encounters.
No major injury concerns reported for Palmeiras; Fortaleza has typical squad rotation issues but no key absences.
Match at Palmeiras’ home ground gives them a clear advantage; no weather or travel issues reported.
Palmeiras is motivated to consolidate league position with a home win, Fortaleza aims to upset but is under pressure due to poor away results.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras: -300, Fortaleza: +825, Draw: +390
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Palmeiras -1.25: -122, Fortaleza +1.25: +102
Palmeiras -1.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win straight up, with a winning margin of at least 2 goals and a game total of under 2.5 goals.
This Brasileirão Serie A match features Palmeiras, currently 3rd in the league and strong at home, hosting Internacional, ranked 10th, with a less potent recent scoring record.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras has been solid with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in last 5 matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.4. Internacional shows mixed form with 4 wins and 1 loss, scoring fewer goals (0.8 per game) but having a tighter defense (1.0 conceded).
Historically balanced rivalry with about equal wins (Palmeiras 13, Internacional 11) and draws (8). Palmeiras has slight home advantage; the total goals per game tend to hover around moderate scoring.
No major injury news impacting starting lineups significantly for this match from available data.
Match played at Palmeiras' home Allianz Parque stadium, enhancing their chances. No notable external disruptions detected.
Palmeiras motivated to solidify top 3 league position and qualify for Libertadores; Internacional motivated to climb table from mid-lower spots.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras: -172, Draw: +270, Internacional: +525
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Palmeiras -1: +108, Internacional +1: -128
Palmeiras -1
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 21%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win outright given home advantage, superior recent form, and motivation.
Palmeiras are the stronger side currently, sitting 2nd in the league with 42 points from 19 matches, while Corinthians are 11th with 25 points from 21 matches. Palmeiras have better recent form and a positive goal difference, indicating they are favorites heading into this match.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras have won 13 of 19 matches, with a +12 goal difference and strong away performance, while Corinthians have struggled recently with 6 wins in 21 matches and a -5 goal difference. Corinthians' home form shows more draws/losses and lower scoring.
Recent head-to-head results favor Palmeiras, who have a higher overall win percentage and generally dominate the fixture. Historically, Palmeiras have had more success in this matchup.
No specific injury reports were found from available data, so it is assumed both teams are near full strength.
No notable external factors such as weather or travel fatigue impacting the match. The venue is Corinthians' home ground but Palmeiras’ away form remains strong.
Palmeiras are highly motivated to maintain their league position and challenge for the title. Corinthians, mid-table with less at stake, lack the same urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
225 / 136 / 200
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Corinthians +25 -122, Palmeiras -0.25 +102
Palmeiras -0.25
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2 -108 / Under 2 -112
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras 18%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Palmeiras, currently 2nd in the Brazil Serie A with 33 points from 16 matches, hosts struggling Sport Recife, who sit 20th with just 6 points and no wins. Palmeiras have a strong home advantage and superior form, while Sport Recife have a poor defensive record and motivation to avoid relegation pressure.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras have won 10 of 16 matches, showing solid consistency and positive goal difference (+7). Sport Recife have no wins, with 6 draws and 10 losses, and a -16 goal difference.
In recent head-to-head this season, Palmeiras secured a 2-1 away win over Sport Recife. Historically, Palmeiras dominate these matchups and maintain a high winning probability (>66%).
No significant injuries reported for key Palmeiras players. Sport Recife squad lacks depth, but no major absences noted that drastically change strength balance.
Match is at Allianz Parque, Palmeiras' strong home stadium with robust fan support. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal, no external disruptions.
Palmeiras are chasing top positions and need full points. Sport Recife are fighting relegation, which may increase urgency but their poor recent form limits confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -300, away: +825, draw: +385
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Palmeiras: -1.25 -122, Sport Recife: +1.25 +102
Palmeiras -1.25
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win on moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and match to be under 2.5 goals
Location: Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
This Brazil Campeonato matchup features Botafogo hosting Palmeiras in a tightly contested fixture with both teams in strong form and close league positions. Botafogo currently ranks 5th while Palmeiras is 3rd, making this a significant clash in the Serie A standings.
Key Factors to Consider
Botafogo has scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches with key players like Alex Telles creating several big chances and Santiago Rodriguez delivering consistent shots on target. Palmeiras has scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches but ranks 1st away from home this season, showing strong away resilience.
Historically, Palmeiras leads with 14 wins to Botafogo's 9 over 30+ meetings, including a recent 1-0 extra-time win over Botafogo in the Club World Cup. Last season encounters and recent meetings show a slight edge to Palmeiras, though Botafogo has shown solid home form against top teams.
No critical injury information is currently available that significantly impacts starting lineups for either side, with predicted lineups expected to be mostly full strength.
The match is played at Botafogo’s home stadium, Estádio Nilton Santos, providing them home advantage. Motivation is high for both teams due to league standings and upcoming fixtures in the Brazilian Serie A.
Both teams are highly motivated with Palmeiras pushing to consolidate a top position and Botafogo aiming to close the points gap at home. The recent narrow loss to Palmeiras may add extra incentive for Botafogo to respond positively.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Botafogo: 1.7, Palmeiras: 1.65, Draw: 1.95
Palmeiras
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Botafogo: -108, Palmeiras: -112
Palmeiras 0 to win (pick 'Palmeiras -0' for narrow victory or draw no bet)
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102
Under 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras 38%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 19%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)