Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-29
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP hosts Sporting Cristal in a Group G fixture of the 2025 Copa Libertadores. This is a must-watch clash as Palmeiras leads Group G and aims to solidify their top position, while Sporting Cristal is in contention for advancement but currently sits in third. The match is critical for both teams' hopes in the knockout stages[3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras is in excellent form: recent wins in both Copa Libertadores and Serie A (including victories over Cerro Porteño, Bolívar, and local rivals São Paulo) underline their dominance. Sporting Cristal has mixed results, with occasional wins but inconsistency in away matches[1][5].
• Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal have met once this season, with Palmeiras likely holding an edge (specific result not stated, but Palmeiras is favored by bookmakers and their group position suggests previous success)[5].
• No major injury news is reported for either side in available data. Squad depth and recent rotations suggest both teams are at near full strength.
• Palmeiras plays at home (Allianz Parque), a significant advantage given their strong home record. Weather is not expected to be a factor. Fans will be present, boosting Palmeiras’ momentum.
• Palmeiras seeks to secure group dominance and avoid complacency. Sporting Cristal needs points to keep pace for advancement, which may motivate an aggressive, risk-taking approach[3][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP: -500, Draw: 500, Sporting Cristal: 1300	Palmeiras-SP win	Very High (90%)
Spread	Palmeiras-SP: -1.75 -125, Sporting Cristal: 1.75 -105	Palmeiras-SP covers -1.75	High (78%)
Over/under	Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: -105	Over 2.75	High (70%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is strongly favored to win, given their form, home advantage, and superior squad strength. Sporting Cristal's best hope is a resilient defensive performance, but the odds suggest a comfortable victory for Palmeiras.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras-SP 3-0 Sporting Cristal

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-15
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP, one of the top Brazilian teams, is facing Club Bolívar, a Bolivian team, in the Copa Libertadores. Given Palmeiras' recent form and home advantage, they are likely to dominate the match.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras-SP has been performing well in the Copa Libertadores, winning recent matches against strong opponents like Sporting Cristal and Bolívar. Bolívar has shown resilience in some games but generally struggles against top-tier teams.
• In their last match, Palmeiras won 3-2 against Bolívar, indicating a strong recent head-to-head record. Historically, Palmeiras tends to perform better in home games.
• As of now, there are no significant reports of injuries affecting the potential lineup for either team.
• The match is at Allianz Parque, which should provide a significant home advantage for Palmeiras. However, Bolívar has shown they can perform well in away games, particularly in high-altitude stadiums.
• Both teams will be highly motivated to secure a win, but Palmeiras might have an edge due to playing at home and having a strong recent record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP: -420, Club Bolívar: 1000, Draw: 500	Palmeiras-SP	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Palmeiras-SP: -1.75 -120, Club Bolívar: +1.75 -110	Palmeiras-SP -1.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: 3.25 -105, under: 3.25 -125	Over 3.25	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -20%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras-SP is likely to win the match due to their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras-SP 3, Club Bolívar 1

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 07, 2025 (played at 00:30 on May 8)
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, PRY

Game Overview

This match marks the second encounter between Cerro Porteño and Palmeiras-SP in the Copa Libertadores 2025, following their first meeting on April 10, where Palmeiras won 1-0. The upcoming game will test Cerro Porteño's resilience at home against Palmeiras, who have shown strong performance in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras currently appears stronger, given their recent win against Cerro Porteño. However, Cerro Porteño has the advantage of playing at home, which could boost their performance.
• Palmeiras has a slight edge from their previous victory but still faces a challenging away match.
• No specific injury reports are detailed, but this could impact team strategies.
• Weather conditions in Asunción could influence both teams' performances, but specific weather details are not available.
• Both teams have strong motivation, but Palmeiras may be more driven after their recent win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cerro Porteño: 320, Palmeiras-SP: -110, Draw: 225	Palmeiras-SP for a slight advantage	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Cerro Porteño: 50 -118, Palmeiras-SP: -0.5 -112	Palmeiras-SP to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -125	Under 2.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras' recent form and Cerro Porteño's home advantage, a tight match is expected, but Palmeiras may have a slight edge.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Palmeiras-SP

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-24
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

This match is part of the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores between Club Bolívar and Palmeiras-SP. Bolívar has a strong home record, having won 9 consecutive home matches and remaining unbeaten in their last 10 home games. Palmeiras-SP is on a five-match winning streak and has not lost in their last seven games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Club Bolívar is strong at home, while Palmeiras-SP has been performing well overall.
• Palmeiras-SP leads the head-to-head with three wins out of four matches, scoring 12 goals to Bolívar's 4.
• No specific information available about injuries for this match.
• High-altitude conditions at Estadio Hernando Siles might favor Club Bolívar.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points for advancing in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Club Bolívar: 100, Palmeiras-SP: 265, Draw: 230	Draw or Palmeiras-SP win	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Club Bolívar: -0.5 102, Palmeiras-SP: 50 -132	Palmeiras-SP to cover +0.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP 64%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 64% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras-SP's strong recent form and head-to-head advantage, they are likely to win or at least draw. However, Bolívar's home record presents a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: 1-1 draw or a close win by Palmeiras-SP

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 24, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Real Betis vs. Valladolid Prediction	Real Betis	-550	784%
AZ Alkmaar vs. NAC Breda Prediction	AZ Alkmaar	-240	355%
Club Bolívar vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction	Club Bolívar	100	28%

Combined Odds: +235 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $66.97

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-10
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP hosts Cerro Porteño in the Conmebol Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras has historically outperformed Cerro Porteño in head-to-head matches, with significant gaps in odds reflecting their favorites status.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras has shown consistent performance at home, while Cerro Porteño's away form has been variable.
• Palmeiras has won 5 out of 10 matches against Cerro Porteño, with Cerro Porteño winning 2 and 3 draws.
• No significant injury reports available for this match.
• The match is at Allianz Parque, which generally favors Palmeiras due to home advantage.
• Both teams are motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick
Moneyline	-375 (Palmeiras), 1000 (Cerro Porteño), 440 (Draw)	Palmeiras	★★★★☆ 80%	Palmeiras -68%
Spread	-1.5 (Palmeiras) -122, 1.5 (Cerro Porteño) -108	Palmeiras -1.5	★★★★☆ 75%	Palmeiras -1.5 -100%
Over_under	Over 2.5 -128, Under 2.5 -102	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%	Over 2.5 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on historical performance and current odds.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 3, Cerro Porteño 1

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-03
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Sporting Cristal hosts Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores, a match where Palmeiras is favored due to their overall strength and recent form, despite some mixed results in away games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras has shown mixed form away from home, while Sporting Cristal has been motivated by recent wins. However, Palmeiras generally holds an edge in talent and depth.
• The head-to-head record shows both teams have won once each in their past two meetings, indicating a competitive match.
• Palmeiras has several key injuries, including Bruno Rafael, Gustavo Gómez, and others, which could impact their performance.
• The Estadio Nacional de Lima crowd could give Sporting Cristal an advantage, but Palmeiras's experience in big games might offset this.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-185 for Palmeiras, 475 for Sporting Cristal, 300 for Draw	Palmeiras	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-1 for Palmeiras at -112	Palmeiras -1	★★★☆☆ 50%
Over_under	Over 2.5 at -120, Under 2.5 at -110	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on their overall strength and experience despite recent away form issues.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Palmeiras