Match Analysis: Olimpia Asunción vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-23
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
Game Overview
This match between Olimpia Asunción and Peñarol is a highly anticipated contest in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores. Both teams have rich histories in this competition, with Olimpia aiming to utilize their home advantage and Peñarol seeking to capitalize on their experience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Olimpia has shown strong form recently, notably with a 3-1 win over Sportivo Luqueño in their domestic league. Peñarol, known for their continental success, will aim to leverage their roster depth and tactical acumen.
- Historically, Peñarol has enjoyed success against Olimpia, including a semifinal win in 1961. However, Olimpia has had moments of triumph, like their 1-0 win in Asunción during the 1969 competition.
- No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team heading into this match.
- Weather and crowd support could influence the game, with Olimpia likely benefiting from their home fans.
- Both teams are highly motivated to perform well in the Copa Libertadores, but Olimpia's recent momentum might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Olimpia Asunción: 125, Peñarol Montevideo: 250, Draw: 195 | Olimpia Asunción | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Olimpia Asunción: -0.25 -115, Peñarol Montevideo: 25 -115 | Olimpia Asunción | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2 -102, Under: 2 -128 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Olimpia Asunción 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Olimpia Asunción at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Olimpia Asunción is expected to secure a narrow victory, driven by their home advantage and recent winning form.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Olimpia Asunción