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Manchester United vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-08
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Old Trafford

Game Overview

Manchester United lead 3-0 from the first leg in Bilbao. The second leg at Old Trafford will determine who advances to the final, with Athletic Club needing a historic comeback. United's dominant first-leg performance included goals from Casemiro and Bruno Fernandes (x2), while Athletic's Dani Vivian was sent off, leaving them shorthanded and demoralized.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Man Utd’s clinical first-leg display (3 goals in 30 minutes) contrasts sharply with Athletic’s inability to capitalize domestically or in Europe. United’s defensive organization limited Athletic to zero shots on target in the first leg[3].
  • Recent head-to-head favors United after their comprehensive first-leg victory. Historical data is limited as these teams rarely meet in European competition.
  • Man Utd’s squad received a boost with Matthijs de Ligt and Amad Diallo returning to the traveling party[4]. No reported injuries from Athletic beyond the red-card suspension of Vivian.
  • Athletic Club’s motivation stems from the final being held at their home stadium (San Mames), but their 3-goal deficit and away leg at Old Trafford make this nearly insurmountable.
  • United are prioritizing Europa League success to salvage their season and secure Champions League qualification[4], while Athletic face psychological pressure to avoid humiliation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Man Utd 110 | Draw 257 | Athletic 240 Manchester United ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Man Utd -0.25 (-120) | Athletic +25 (100) Manchester United to cover -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) | Under 2.5 (-102) Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester United 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manchester United at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester United to control the tempo and defend their aggregate lead, likely leading to a low-scoring game where Athletic Club struggle to break through.

Predicted Score: Manchester United 1-0 Athletic Club (4-0 aggregate)

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Sporting Cristal vs. Club Bolívar Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-08
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Sporting Cristal hosts Club Bolívar in a critical CONMEBOL Libertadores Group G match. Bolívar holds a recent win advantage, defeating Sporting Cristal 3-0 on April 10. Sporting Cristal, however, typically performs well at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Cristal has shown mixed results lately, while Bolívar seeks to continue their winning momentum.
  • Bolívar recently beat Sporting Cristal 3-0, but Sporting Cristal has a strong home record.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team.
  • The home crowd could give Sporting Cristal an edge.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for group stage advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Cristal: 110, Bolívar: 225, Draw: 250 Sporting Cristal for the win, given home field advantage. ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Sporting Cristal: -0.25 (-125), Bolívar: 25 (-105) Bolívar might keep it close, so lean towards Bolívar on the spread. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 3 (-105), Under 3 (-125) Under 3 goals, considering Sporting Cristal's recent defensive efforts. ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Cristal -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Sporting Cristal's home advantage and recent performance, they are likely to push for a win, but Bolívar's momentum could cause them to struggle.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Sporting Cristal


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Central Córdoba vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Central Córdoba vs Flamengo-RJ – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-08
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Unico Madre De Ciudades

Game Overview

Group stage Copa Libertadores match with Flamengo seeking redemption after a 1-2 home loss to Central Córdoba on April 9, 2025. This rematch features contrasting forms, with Central Córdoba struggling domestically (1 win in last 5 Liga Profesional matches) and Flamengo aiming to solidify knockout stage credentials.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Central Córdoba showed defensive vulnerability (2+ goals conceded in 3 of last 5 games) but demonstrated Libertadores resilience against Flamengo. Flamengo possesses superior squad depth and CONMEBOL experience, though recent defensive gaps remain exploitable.
  • Central Córdoba won the previous Libertadores encounter 2-1 on April 9, 2025, with Florentin scoring. Flamengo now seeks away revenge.
  • No injury reports available from provided data. Monitor pre-game squad announcements.
  • High humidity (82°F) could affect tempo, favoring Flamengo's technical midfield. Central Córdoba benefits from home support at the 30,000-seat Estadio Único.
  • Critical match for group positioning. Flamengo (-145 moneyline favorites) must win to avoid risking elimination, while Central Córdoba (420 underdogs) could secure knockout momentum with another upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Central Córdoba: 420, Draw: 245, Flamengo-RJ: -145 Flamengo-RJ ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Flamengo-RJ -0.75 (-115) Flamengo-RJ to cover -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-110), Under 2.25 (-120) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win narrowly (1-0 or 2-1) through superior technical quality, but Central Córdoba's organized defense and counterattack threat makes this a high-variance match.

Predicted Score: Flamengo-RJ 1-0 Central Córdoba


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Cerro Porteño vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 07, 2025 (played at 00:30 on May 8)
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, PRY

Game Overview

This match marks the second encounter between Cerro Porteño and Palmeiras-SP in the Copa Libertadores 2025, following their first meeting on April 10, where Palmeiras won 1-0. The upcoming game will test Cerro Porteño's resilience at home against Palmeiras, who have shown strong performance in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras currently appears stronger, given their recent win against Cerro Porteño. However, Cerro Porteño has the advantage of playing at home, which could boost their performance.
  • Palmeiras has a slight edge from their previous victory but still faces a challenging away match.
  • No specific injury reports are detailed, but this could impact team strategies.
  • Weather conditions in Asunción could influence both teams' performances, but specific weather details are not available.
  • Both teams have strong motivation, but Palmeiras may be more driven after their recent win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cerro Porteño: 320, Palmeiras-SP: -110, Draw: 225 Palmeiras-SP for a slight advantage ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cerro Porteño: 50 -118, Palmeiras-SP: -0.5 -112 Palmeiras-SP to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras' recent form and Cerro Porteño's home advantage, a tight match is expected, but Palmeiras may have a slight edge.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Palmeiras-SP


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Universidad de Chile vs. Estudiantes La Plata Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Universidad de Chile vs Estudiantes La Plata – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-08
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Nacional – Ñuñoa (presumed based on Universidad de Chile's home fixtures)

Game Overview

Universidad de Chile leads Group A with 6 points from previous victories, including a 2-1 away win against Estudiantes on April 8. Estudiantes seeks redemption after the recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Universidad de Chile has demonstrated tactical adaptability, with lineup changes like Guerra/Poblete inclusions and late-game substitutions (e.g., Montes for Díaz) proving impactful[1][4]. Estudiantes struggled to contain Chile's counterattacks in their previous meeting[4].
  • Universidad de Chile holds psychological advantage with 3+ wins against Argentine teams in away Libertadores matches[1], and a direct 2-1 victory over Estudiantes in April[4].
  • No specific injury data available from provided sources.
  • Potential fatigue from Estudiantes' travel to Chile, though no venue-specific challenges mentioned.
  • Universidad de Chile aims to maintain group leadership; Estudiantes must win to avoid early elimination risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estudiantes 220 | Draw 195 | Chile 135 Universidad de Chile ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Estudiantes +25 (-125) | Chile -0.25 (-105) Universidad de Chile -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 (-118) | Under 2 (-112) Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Universidad de Chile 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Universidad de Chile at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Universidad de Chile win (higher probability given home advantage and recent form), though Estudiantes' desperation could tighten the match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 (Universidad de Chile)


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Bahia vs. Nacional de Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Nacional de Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-07
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not explicitly stated in available data, but likely Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Brazil) based on Bahia's home matches[1][4]

Game Overview

Critical Copa Libertadores group stage match with Bahia seeking to build on recent momentum, having beaten both Nacional (COL)[2] and Nacional (URY)[3][5] in previous rounds. Nacional de Montevideo faces pressure to rebound after a 0-1 home loss to Bahia in April[3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia demonstrated effective counter-pressing and set-piece dominance (10 corners) against Nacional (COL)[2], while Nacional (URY) struggled with ball retention and defensive structure in their previous meeting[3][5].
  • Recent encounter on 9 April 2025 saw Bahia win 1-0 at Nacional (URY)[3][5].
  • No specific injury data available from provided sources.
  • Final will be held in Lima[4], but this match's location in Brazil's northeastern region could create travel fatigue for Nacional.
  • Bahia looking to solidify knockout stage position; Nacional needing points to avoid early elimination.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia -180 | Draw 290 | Nacional +500 Bahia ML ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bahia -1 (-110) | Nacional +1 (-120) Nacional +1 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-105) | Under 2.5 (-125) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win through sustained pressure and counterattacking efficiency, though likely low-scoring given Nacional's defensive focus.

Predicted Score: Bahia 1-0 Nacional de Montevideo


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Deportivo Táchira vs. LDU Quito Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Deportivo Táchira vs LDU Quito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-07
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristobal, VEN

Game Overview

Deportivo Táchira hosts LDU Quito in a crucial CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores match. Both teams are vying for group leadership in Group C.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LDU Quito has shown stronger recent performances, winning against Deportivo Táchira 2-0 in their previous encounter. Deportivo Táchira's home advantage may influence the outcome.
  • LDU Quito recently defeated Deportivo Táchira, indicating a slight edge for them in head-to-head matches.
  • No significant reported injuries that would impact the match outcome.
  • Weather and crowd support may not provide a significant advantage to either team.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win for advancement in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Deportivo Táchira: 245, LDU Quito: 120, Draw: 205 Draw or LDU Quito win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Deportivo Táchira: +25 -110, LDU Quito: -0.25 -120 LDU Quito to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LDU Quito may have an edge due to their recent form, but the match could end in a draw due to Deportivo Táchira's home ground advantage.

Predicted Score: 0-0 or 1-1


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C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Peñarol Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-07
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Felix Capriles, Cochabamba, Bolivia

Game Overview

The upcoming Conmebol Copa Libertadores match between C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Peñarol Montevideo could be an exciting contest. San Antonio Bulo Bulo, playing at home, faces a tough challenge against Peñarol, a historically strong team from Uruguay. The odds suggest Peñarol has an advantage, but San Antonio Bulo Bulo has shown resilience in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Antonio Bulo Bulo has had a decent recent run with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. However, Peñarol has also shown strength, winning three out of their last five games. Peñarol is known for their experience in major tournaments.
  • The teams have met once in 2025, with Peñarol winning 2-0. This lack of head-to-head data limits predictive power, but Peñarol's past performance indicates they might have an edge.
  • There is no available information on significant injuries for either team.
  • Home advantage might benefit San Antonio Bulo Bulo, but Peñarol's travel experience and depth in the squad could offset this.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated to secure a win and improve their standing in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo: 275, Peñarol Montevideo: 100, Draw: 235 Peñarol Montevideo ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo: -128, Peñarol Montevideo: -102 -0.5 Peñarol Montevideo ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -118 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Peñarol Montevideo 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Peñarol Montevideo at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Peñarol is likely to win due to their historical performance and recent form. However, San Antonio Bulo Bulo's home advantage could make the match competitive.

Predicted Score: C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0 – Peñarol Montevideo 2


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Fortaleza-EC vs. Colo Colo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza-EC vs Colo Colo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 7, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Castelao, Fortaleza, BRA

Game Overview

Fortaleza hosts Colo Colo in a crucial CONMEBOL Libertadores Group E match. Both teams are level with 1 goal scored and 4 goals conceded in their Libertadores campaigns, seeking their first clean sheets of the tournament. Fortaleza's Deyverson (1 goal) and Colo Colo's Juan Correa (2 goals) are key attacking threats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza and Colo Colo have identical defensive vulnerability (4 GA each) but Colo Colo shows marginally better attacking output (4 GF vs Fortaleza's 1 GF based on prior data interpretation, though current stats show 1 GF for Fortaleza)[1].
  • Recent H2H data unavailable beyond scheduling conflicts between sources (April 10-11 potential prior matchup referenced but not detailed)[3][4][5].
  • No injury data available in provided sources.
  • Fortaleza's home advantage at Estádio Castelão could prove decisive.
  • Both teams urgently need points for Libertadores progression given their defensive struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza 105 | Draw 215 | Colo Colo 285 Fortaleza ML ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fortaleza -0.5 (+102) | Colo Colo +50 (-132) Fortaleza -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-102) | Under 2.25 (-128) Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fortaleza-EC at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fortaleza to capitalize on home advantage with a narrow victory, though their defensive frailties suggest both teams will score.

Predicted Score: 2-1 to Fortaleza


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Carabobo FC vs. Botafogo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Carabobo FC vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-06
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)

Game Overview

Botafogo seeks to extend their dominance after a 2-0 home win against Carabobo in April, while the Venezuelan side aims for redemption in their second CONMEBOL Libertadores clash. Recent form shows Botafogo's mixed results against South American opponents, while Carabobo has struggled offensively with back-to-back scoreless draws domestically.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo demonstrated clinical finishing (2-0 H2H win) but shows defensive vulnerability (0-2 loss vs Racing Club). Carabobo exhibits defensive resilience (3 clean sheets in last 5 matches) but lacks attacking potency (0 goals in 2/5 recent matches).
  • Botafogo won the previous encounter 2-0 (April 9, 2025) with superior ball possession and shot accuracy[3][5].
  • No specific injury reports available; assume full squads given recent lineups.
  • High-stakes CONMEBOL tournament pressure favors experienced Brazilian sides. Carabobo's home advantage at altitude (Valencia) could marginally affect fitness.
  • Botafogo seeks continental credibility after recent mixed results, while Carabobo fights to avoid elimination from the competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo -180 | Draw 270 | Carabobo 525 Botafogo ML ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Botafogo -1 (-102) | Carabobo +1 (-128) Botafogo -1 (Cover) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2 (-132) | Under 2 (+102) Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo's superior individual quality and tournament experience should prevail, but Carabobo's organized defense could keep it competitive. Likely low-scoring affair with late-game separation.

Predicted Score: 0-1 Botafogo


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