Match Analysis: Club Atletico Talleres vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-08
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (assumed home venue for Talleres)
Game Overview
Conmebol Copa Libertadores match between Talleres (recent form: 2W-1D-2L in last 5) and Libertad (0W-3D-2L in last 5). Libertad won the only direct H2H meeting in April 2025 2-0, though historical context shows Libertad with 3 wins in past 12 meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Talleres averages 1.0 goals scored/1.8 conceded per match. Libertad averages 0.4 goals scored/1.2 conceded in last 5.
- Libertad holds 1-0 H2H advantage in 2025 meetings. Historical record shows 3 Libertad wins in past 12 encounters (data conflict in sources).
- No injury data available in provided sources
- Libertad's stronger defensive record (1.2 GA/match vs Talleres' 1.8) contrasts with Talleres' home advantage
- Libertad seeks back-to-back continental wins, while Talleres aims to avenge recent loss
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Talleres -135 | Libertad 400 | Draw 230 | Talleres win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Talleres -0.75 (-105) | Libertad +75 (-125) | Talleres cover (-0.75) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2 (-120) | Under 2 (-110) | Under 2 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club Atletico Talleres 175% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Atletico Talleres at 175% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Close match with Libertad defending narrowly, but Talleres favored due to home advantage and offensive edge. Likely under 2 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0 Talleres