Match Analysis: Villanova Wildcats vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Finneran Pavilion, Villanova, PA
Game Overview
The Villanova Wildcats host the Old Dominion Monarchs in an NCAA Men's Basketball match with no previous head-to-head matchups between the two teams. Villanova is currently strong with a 4-1 record, coming off wins over Temple and La Salle, showing solid offensive and rebounding performances. Old Dominion has a 3-4 record, with mixed results including a heavy loss to Xavier but noteworthy wins as well. Villanova is heavily favored with much shorter odds on the moneyline, reflecting their superior recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Villanova Wildcats have a 4-1 record with solid recent wins including an 88-58 victory over Temple and a 70-55 win against La Salle. Key players include Bryce Lindsay averaging 20.4 points per game and Duke Brennan who averages 14.4 rebounds per game. Old Dominion Monarchs have a 3-4 record, with high scoring games in recent matches but less consistent defensive performance, including an 88-56 win against Morgan State and a 99-69 loss to Xavier. Monarchs score over 130 points in 76% of their recent games, indicating strong offensive capabilities but with some defensive vulnerabilities.
- No previous head-to-head games between Villanova Wildcats and Old Dominion Monarchs have been recorded, making this a first matchup for these teams.
- No major injuries reported for either side in the most recent data. Key players from Villanova such as Bryce Lindsay and Duke Brennan are active and performing well.
- Villanova is playing at home in Finneran Pavilion, PA, which is a significant advantage. Old Dominion is coming off a tough schedule with games against higher-ranked Big East teams, possibly causing fatigue or motivation variation.
- Villanova looks motivated to extend their winning streak and improve on recent performances to regain NCAA Tournament presence, while Old Dominion seeks to bounce back from recent losses and prove competitive against a strong Big East opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs: 1600, Villanova Wildcats: -4000 | Villanova Wildcats win | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Old Dominion Monarchs: 20.5 -115, Villanova Wildcats: -20.5 -105 | Villanova Wildcats to cover the -20.5 point spread | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 145.5 -105, Under: 145.5 -115 | Over 145.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Villanova Wildcats -17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 145.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 145.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Villanova Wildcats are expected to win comfortably due to their stronger recent form, home advantage, and personnel performance, with Old Dominion unlikely to keep the game within a close margin.
Predicted Score: Villanova Wildcats 90 – 65 Old Dominion Monarchs