Match Analysis: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Reilly Center
Game Overview
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies will host the Youngstown State Penguins in an NCAA college basketball game at the Reilly Center. St. Bonaventure enters undefeated at 3-0 while Youngstown State is 2-1. St. Bonaventure is the clear favorite based on current odds and predictive simulations, favored by around 9.5 points with a total points line near 143.5-144.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Bonaventure holds a perfect 3-0 record with strong recent scoring performances, while Youngstown State is 2-1 with a decent performance trend. St. Bonaventure has a 3-0 straight-up record and an ATS record of 1-2 in their last five games; Youngstown State has a balanced recent record, 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS over the last 10 games.
- No explicit recent direct head-to-head stats were found, but St. Bonaventure has shown dominance historically and currently with a projected win probability around 84%.
- No specific injury reports or absences were indicated in the sourced data for either team at game time.
- The game will be played at St. Bonaventure's home court, the Reilly Center, which supports the home team's strong advantage. Public betting trends show 100% bet volume on St. Bonaventure moneyline, indicating confidence in the home team.
- St. Bonaventure, undefeated and hosting, is motivated to maintain their winning streak, whereas Youngstown State aims to secure an upset on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Bonaventure: -500, Youngstown State: 380 | St. Bonaventure win | β β β β β 84% |
| Spread | St. Bonaventure: -9.5 -112, Youngstown State: +9.5 -108 | St. Bonaventure -9.5 | β β β β β 82% |
| Over/under | over: 143.5 -110, under: 143.5 -110 | Under 143.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Bonaventure Bonnies 303% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: St. Bonaventure Bonnies at 303% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 79.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Bonaventure to win convincingly with a score projection around 77-67 in their favor, covering the spread of -9.5.
Predicted Score: St. Bonaventure 77 – Youngstown State 67