Match Analysis: GW Revolutionaries vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC
Game Overview
George Washington Revolutionaries (3-0) host Old Dominion Monarchs (2-1) in a non-conference matchup. GW enters as heavy favorites with strong early-season form, averaging 91 points over their last three games. Old Dominion comes to Washington looking to upset the undefeated Revolutionaries after a 78-70 loss to GW last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- George Washington has started the 2025-26 season impressively with three consecutive wins: defeating Maine 67-47, South Florida 99-95 in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off, and most recently American University 107-67. The Revolutionaries are averaging 91 points per game and showing strong offensive efficiency. Old Dominion enters at 2-1 with wins over Randolph and Norfolk State, but will face a significant step up in competition against an undefeated GW team.
- GW defeated Old Dominion 78-70 on December 7, 2024, at Chartway Arena in Norfolk. This marks the first matchup between these programs since the 2003-04 season prior to last year's game. GW's recent success against ODU and home-court advantage provide additional context for this encounter.
- George Washington's Trey Autry (Guard #0) suffered an ankle injury in Wednesday's game against American University and is listed as questionable for this matchup. This could impact GW's backcourt depth and ball-handling capabilities, particularly if Autry is unavailable or limited.
- The game is played at GW's home venue where they have demonstrated strong performance this season. GW is 2-0 at home, while Old Dominion is 0-1 in away games. The spread of -14.5 reflects oddsmakers' confidence in a significant GW victory. The heavy moneyline odds (-1100 for GW) indicate extremely high probability favoring the home team.
- GW seeks to maintain their perfect record and build momentum in the early season. Old Dominion is motivated to record a quality road win and prove competitiveness at a higher level. However, GW's early-season dominance and undefeated status provide them with psychological advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | GW: -1100 | ODU: +700 | George Washington Revolutionaries | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | GW -14.5 (-105) | ODU +14.5 (-115) | George Washington -14.5 | β β β β β 88% |
| Over/under | Over 156.5 (-110) | Under 156.5 (-110) | Over 156.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | GW Revolutionaries 633% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: GW Revolutionaries at 633% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 90.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
George Washington is positioned to secure a convincing victory over Old Dominion. The Revolutionaries' undefeated record, superior scoring efficiency (91 PPG average), home-court advantage, and recent head-to-head success create a compelling case for a GW win. While Old Dominion poses a respectable challenge, the disparity in current form and oddsmakers' extreme confidence in GW suggests the Revolutionaries will likely cover the -14.5 spread and win decisively. The predicted outcome is GW victory by 15-18 points.
Predicted Score: George Washington 83, Old Dominion 66